Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Up 83%
2 arb excluded
$7.8K
$215.09
Smart Money Signal
25 of 30 top traders (83%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $2.6K | $2.6K | +$26.16 | 75% 606-205 (811) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 96.8¢ | $2.2K | $2.2K | +$26.5 | 59% 423-299 (722) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.3¢ | $515.64 | $524.69 | +$9.05 | 98% 1544-32 (1576) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 68.4¢ | $298.74 | $298.79 | +$0.05 | 45% 412-502 (914) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 79¢ | $349.01 | $293.7 | -$55.31 | 40% 291-429 (720) |
AL almach | Upavg 68.8¢ | $216.75 | $314.86 | +$98.11 | 45% 507-626 (1133) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 60.8¢ | $150.43 | $176.13 | +$25.7 | 54% 3652-3070 (6722) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 66.5¢ | $142.39 | $214.23 | +$71.84 | 39% 480-748 (1228) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 99¢ | $129.69 | $131 | +$1.31 | 39% 508-784 (1292) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 68.2¢ | $120.76 | $127.86 | +$7.1 | 51% 1009-957 (1966) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 68.2¢ | $87.26 | $127.86 | +$40.6 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 33.5¢ | $33.5 | — | -$33.5 | |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Upavg 71.5¢ | $96.5 | $110 | +$13.5 | 31% 314-687 (1001) |
BO bosona | Upavg 75¢ | $99.49 | $132.65 | +$33.16 | 50% 3738-3764 (7502) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 72.8¢ | $80.25 | $99.99 | +$19.74 | 53% 908-821 (1729) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 79¢ | $94.06 | $119.06 | +$25 | 45% 515-642 (1157) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Upavg 71.1¢ | $69.59 | $83.76 | +$14.17 | 24% 335-1074 (1409) |
GO GoodFallenARB<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $67.82 | $41.3 | -$26.52 | 41% 315-448 (763) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 25¢ | $34.63 | — | -$34.63 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 80.4¢ | $33.19 | $41.3 | +$8.11 | |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $59.7 | $65.27 | +$5.57 | 49% 380-402 (782) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $48 | — | -$48 | 51% 339-320 (659) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.6¢ | $41.24 | $48.17 | +$6.93 | 65% 1481-789 (2270) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Upavg 89.2¢ | $39.04 | $41.64 | +$2.6 | 60% 414-271 (685) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $37.56 | $38.33 | +$0.77 | 35% 429-801 (1230) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $29.4 | $35 | +$5.6 | 61% 1683-1060 (2743) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.6¢ | $18.86 | — | -$18.86 | 49% 3233-3339 (6572) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 94.4¢ | $18.07 | $19.13 | +$1.06 | 60% 1032-684 (1716) |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Downavg 22.8¢ | $100.14 | — | -$51.14 | 52% 3542-3305 (6847) |
BoneOhioInvested
$2,589.73
Value
$2.6K
PnL
+$26.16
Record
75%
606-205 (811)
Invested
$2,151.81
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$26.5
Record
59%
423-299 (722)
Invested
$515.64
Value
$524.69
PnL
+$9.05
Record
98%
1544-32 (1576)
Invested
$298.74
Value
$298.79
PnL
+$0.05
Record
45%
412-502 (914)
Invested
$349.01
Value
$293.7
PnL
-$55.31
Record
40%
291-429 (720)
Invested
$216.75
Value
$314.86
PnL
+$98.11
Record
45%
507-626 (1133)
Invested
$150.43
Value
$176.13
PnL
+$25.7
Record
54%
3652-3070 (6722)
machinelearnedInvested
$142.39
Value
$214.23
PnL
+$71.84
Record
39%
480-748 (1228)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$129.69
Value
$131
PnL
+$1.31
Record
39%
508-784 (1292)
Invested
$120.76
Value
$127.86
PnL
+$7.1
Record
51%
1009-957 (1966)
Both legs:
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$96.5
Value
$110
PnL
+$13.5
Record
31%
314-687 (1001)
Invested
$99.49
Value
$132.65
PnL
+$33.16
Record
50%
3738-3764 (7502)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$80.25
Value
$99.99
PnL
+$19.74
Record
53%
908-821 (1729)
Invested
$94.06
Value
$119.06
PnL
+$25
Record
45%
515-642 (1157)
Invested
$69.59
Value
$83.76
PnL
+$14.17
Record
24%
335-1074 (1409)
Invested
$67.82
Value
$41.3
PnL
-$26.52
Record
41%
315-448 (763)
Both legs:
Invested
$59.7
Value
$65.27
PnL
+$5.57
Record
49%
380-402 (782)
Invested
$48
Value
—
PnL
-$48
Record
51%
339-320 (659)
Invested
$41.24
Value
$48.17
PnL
+$6.93
Record
65%
1481-789 (2270)
Invested
$39.04
Value
$41.64
PnL
+$2.6
Record
60%
414-271 (685)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$37.56
Value
$38.33
PnL
+$0.77
Record
35%
429-801 (1230)
Invested
$29.4
Value
$35
PnL
+$5.6
Record
61%
1683-1060 (2743)
Invested
$18.86
Value
—
PnL
-$18.86
Record
49%
3233-3339 (6572)
Invested
$18.07
Value
$19.13
PnL
+$1.06
Record
60%
1032-684 (1716)
Invested
$100.14
Value
—
PnL
-$51.14
Record
52%
3542-3305 (6847)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Up — $2.6K
Bonereaper
Up — $2.2K
hoodquant
Up — $524.69
CrouchPredictions
Up — $298.79
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $293.7
almach
Up — $314.86
stepahead
Up — $176.13
machinelearned
Up — $214.23
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $131
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded