Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 34% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
35
Up 34%
3 arb excluded
$7.2K
$-4.6K
Smart Money Signal
12 of 35 top traders (34%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed23 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $3.1K | $3.1K | +$3.12 | 46% 487-576 (1063) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Downavg 50.4¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | 45% 412-502 (914) |
BO bosona | Upavg 96¢ | $1.1K | $856.25 | -$265.36 | 50% 3738-3764 (7502) |
ST stepaheadCTR | Downavg 57.9¢ | $732.75 | — | -$732.75 | 54% 3652-3070 (6722) |
AL almach | Upavg 96.2¢ | $1.1K | $818.56 | -$244.79 | 45% 507-626 (1133) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Downavg 83.8¢ | $429.43 | — | -$413.76 | 40% 291-429 (720) |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Downavg 67.5¢ | $411.46 | — | -$411.46 | 52% 3542-3305 (6847) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 97¢ | $506.5 | $522 | +$15.5 | 98% 1544-32 (1576) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Downavg 47.2¢ | $468.64 | — | -$468.64 | 48% 1286-1384 (2670) |
BO BonereaperARB<$100 | Downavg 88.8¢ | $730.69 | $372.04 | -$358.66 | 59% 423-299 (722) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 34.3¢ | $127.75 | $372.04 | +$244.29 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 88.8¢ | $602.95 | — | -$602.95 | |
 machinelearnedARB<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $488.48 | $357.47 | -$131.02 | 39% 480-748 (1228) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 7¢ | $25.04 | $357.47 | +$332.42 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 87¢ | $463.44 | — | -$463.44 | |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 21.8¢ | $203.15 | $380 | +$253.26 | 41% 315-448 (763) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Downavg 88.4¢ | $273.44 | — | -$273.44 | 45% 515-642 (1157) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Downavg 51.8¢ | $174.15 | — | -$144.75 | 51% 1009-957 (1966) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Downavg 91.4¢ | $302.96 | — | -$302.96 | 53% 908-821 (1729) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Downavg 28.3¢ | $132.83 | — | -$108.02 | 24% 335-1074 (1409) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR | Downavg 85¢ | $145.76 | — | -$145.76 | 52% 334-312 (646) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cCTR | Downavg 88.8¢ | $152.14 | — | -$152.14 | 60% 414-271 (685) |
 OhioAI | Upavg 17.3¢ | $27.64 | $159.54 | +$131.9 | 47% 253-288 (541) |
AS asdcaxzCTR | Downavg 30.7¢ | $100.8 | — | -$92.88 | 49% 3233-3339 (6572) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.8¢ | $74.92 | — | -$74.92 | 44% 798-998 (1796) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR | Downavg 99¢ | $134.96 | — | -$134.96 | 39% 508-784 (1292) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR | Downavg 82.1¢ | $102.76 | — | -$102.76 | 31% 314-687 (1001) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 48.1¢ | $43.09 | $89.68 | +$46.59 | 48% 807-866 (1673) |
PA PapeasyCTR<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $71.15 | — | -$71.15 | 50% 3384-3334 (6718) |
Invested
$3,114.89
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$3.12
Record
46%
487-576 (1063)
Invested
$1,089.32
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
45%
412-502 (914)
Invested
$1,121.61
Value
$856.25
PnL
-$265.36
Record
50%
3738-3764 (7502)
Invested
$732.75
Value
—
PnL
-$732.75
Record
54%
3652-3070 (6722)
Invested
$1,063.35
Value
$818.56
PnL
-$244.79
Record
45%
507-626 (1133)
Invested
$429.43
Value
—
PnL
-$413.76
Record
40%
291-429 (720)
Invested
$411.46
Value
—
PnL
-$411.46
Record
52%
3542-3305 (6847)
Invested
$506.5
Value
$522
PnL
+$15.5
Record
98%
1544-32 (1576)
Invested
$468.64
Value
—
PnL
-$468.64
Record
48%
1286-1384 (2670)
Invested
$730.69
Value
$372.04
PnL
-$358.66
Record
59%
423-299 (722)
Both legs:
machinelearnedARB<$100Invested
$488.48
Value
$357.47
PnL
-$131.02
Record
39%
480-748 (1228)
Both legs:
Invested
$203.15
Value
$380
PnL
+$253.26
Record
41%
315-448 (763)
Invested
$273.44
Value
—
PnL
-$273.44
Record
45%
515-642 (1157)
Invested
$174.15
Value
—
PnL
-$144.75
Record
51%
1009-957 (1966)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$302.96
Value
—
PnL
-$302.96
Record
53%
908-821 (1729)
Invested
$132.83
Value
—
PnL
-$108.02
Record
24%
335-1074 (1409)
Invested
$145.76
Value
—
PnL
-$145.76
Record
52%
334-312 (646)
Invested
$152.14
Value
—
PnL
-$152.14
Record
60%
414-271 (685)
OhioAIInvested
$27.64
Value
$159.54
PnL
+$131.9
Record
47%
253-288 (541)
Invested
$100.8
Value
—
PnL
-$92.88
Record
49%
3233-3339 (6572)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$74.92
Value
—
PnL
-$74.92
Record
44%
798-998 (1796)
OhioRiskManagementCTRInvested
$134.96
Value
—
PnL
-$134.96
Record
39%
508-784 (1292)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTRInvested
$102.76
Value
—
PnL
-$102.76
Record
31%
314-687 (1001)
ohioism<$100Invested
$43.09
Value
$89.68
PnL
+$46.59
Record
48%
807-866 (1673)
Invested
$71.15
Value
—
PnL
-$71.15
Record
50%
3384-3334 (6718)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $3.1K
CrouchPredictions
CTRDown — $0
bosona
Up — $856.25
stepahead
CTRDown — $0
almach
Up — $818.56
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRDown — $0
blue.birds
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $522
38791873984189
CTRDown — $0
Bonereaper
ARBArbitrage — excluded