Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 73%

Total Value

$12.3K

Combined PnL

$177.27

Smart Money Signal

28 of 38 top traders (74%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up28 traders

Total Value$12.3K

Total Shares12,349

Combined PnL+$815.74

Down10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,296

Combined PnL-$638.46

Up — 74%Down — 26%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$4.9K	$4.9K	+$4.9	46% 487-576 (1063)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 83.5¢	$2.1K	$2.2K	+$170.9	59% 423-299 (722)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 77.4¢	$701.96	$663.06	-$38.9	51% 1009-957 (1966)
machinelearned	Upavg 74.8¢	$468.56	$626.2	+$157.64	39% 480-748 (1228)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 74.8¢	$645.54	$607.82	-$28.33	52% 3542-3305 (6847)
BO bosona	Upavg 52¢	$260	$500	+$240	50% 3738-3764 (7502)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 65¢	$448.3	$438.06	-$10.24	45% 412-502 (914)
ST stepahead	Upavg 69¢	$371.2	$386.51	+$15.32	54% 3652-3070 (6722)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 69.1¢	$250.73	$335.97	+$85.23	60% 414-271 (685)
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR	Downavg 33.2¢	$429.84	—	-$425.84	40% 291-429 (720)
MO mo-money	Upavg 81.3¢	$209.31	$257.61	+$48.3	45% 515-642 (1157)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 77.5¢	$215.91	$241.88	+$25.97	53% 908-821 (1729)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 65.6¢	$217.44	$205	-$12.44	24% 335-1074 (1409)
AL almach	Upavg 79.6¢	$133.42	$167.59	+$34.17	45% 507-626 (1133)
ohioism	Upavg 86.4¢	$173.75	$165	-$8.75	48% 807-866 (1673)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 65.1¢	$102.93	$150.26	+$47.33	49% 380-402 (782)
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Upavg 68.2¢	$101.59	$106.81	+$5.22	31% 314-687 (1001)
OhioAI<$100	Upavg 51.4¢	$65.43	$62.01	+$6.18	47% 253-288 (541)
GO GoodFallenCTR	Downavg 28.8¢	$121.89	—	-$102.93	41% 315-448 (763)
PA Papeasy<$100	Upavg 41¢	$23.86	$58.2	+$34.34	50% 3384-3334 (6718)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 73.9¢	$77.12	$57.43	+$5.51	61% 1683-1060 (2743)
FairValueMachine<$100	Upavg 66.8¢	$35.22	$50.15	+$14.93	53% 4062-3539 (7601)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 78.1¢	$50.39	$49.48	+$2.99	65% 1481-789 (2270)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212<$100	Upavg 75.5¢	$33.54	$36.59	+$3.05	51% 339-320 (659)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 69.5¢	$22.82	$21.38	+$1.63	39% 586-930 (1516)

0x50f7

Invested

$4,891.12

Value

$4.9K

PnL

+$4.9

Record

46%

487-576 (1063)

Bonereaper

Invested

$2,057.67

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$170.9

Record

59%

423-299 (722)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$701.96

Value

$663.06

PnL

-$38.9

Record

51%

1009-957 (1966)

machinelearned

Invested

$468.56

Value

$626.2

PnL

+$157.64

Record

39%

480-748 (1228)

blue.birds

Invested

$645.54

Value

$607.82

PnL

-$28.33

Record

52%

3542-3305 (6847)

bosona

Invested

$260

Value

$500

PnL

+$240

Record

50%

3738-3764 (7502)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$448.3

Value

$438.06

PnL

-$10.24

Record

45%

412-502 (914)

stepahead

Invested

$371.2

Value

$386.51

PnL

+$15.32

Record

54%

3652-3070 (6722)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$250.73

Value

$335.97

PnL

+$85.23

Record

60%

414-271 (685)

dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR

Down

Invested

$429.84

Value

—

PnL

-$425.84

Record

40%

291-429 (720)

mo-money

Invested

$209.31

Value

$257.61

PnL

+$48.3

Record

45%

515-642 (1157)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$215.91

Value

$241.88

PnL

+$25.97

Record

53%

908-821 (1729)

ply-pm0

Invested

$217.44

Value

$205

PnL

-$12.44

Record

24%

335-1074 (1409)

almach

Invested

$133.42

Value

$167.59

PnL

+$34.17

Record

45%

507-626 (1133)

ohioism

Invested

$173.75

Value

$165

PnL

-$8.75

Record

48%

807-866 (1673)

wzbbb

Invested

$102.93

Value

$150.26

PnL

+$47.33

Record

49%

380-402 (782)

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Invested

$101.59

Value

$106.81

PnL

+$5.22

Record

31%

314-687 (1001)

OhioAI<$100

Invested

$65.43

Value

$62.01

PnL

+$6.18

Record

47%

253-288 (541)

GoodFallenCTR

Down

Invested

$121.89

Value

—

PnL

-$102.93

Record

41%

315-448 (763)

Papeasy<$100

Invested

$23.86

Value

$58.2

PnL

+$34.34

Record

50%

3384-3334 (6718)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$77.12

Value

$57.43

PnL

+$5.51

Record

61%

1683-1060 (2743)

FairValueMachine<$100

Invested

$35.22

Value

$50.15

PnL

+$14.93

Record

53%

4062-3539 (7601)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$50.39

Value

$49.48

PnL

+$2.99

Record

65%

1481-789 (2270)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212<$100

Invested

$33.54

Value

$36.59

PnL

+$3.05

Record

51%

339-320 (659)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$22.82

Value

$21.38

PnL

+$1.63

Record

39%

586-930 (1516)

Smart Money Signal

28 of 38 top traders (74%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa89b1704...6a760a

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794396900

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $4.9K

+$4.9

Bonereaper

Up — $2.2K

+$170.9

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $663.06

-$38.9

machinelearned

Up — $626.2

+$157.64

blue.birds

Up — $607.82

-$28.33

bosona

Up — $500

+$240

CrouchPredictions

Up — $438.06

-$10.24

stepahead

Up — $386.51

+$15.32

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Up — $335.97

+$85.23

dangerously-skip-permissions

CTR

Down — $0

-$425.84

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