Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
37
Up 76%
1 arb excluded
$15.0K
$481.64
Smart Money Signal
28 of 37 top traders (76%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $9.0K | $9.0K | -$1.01 | 45% 449-558 (1007) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 71.8¢ | $485.88 | $674.01 | +$188.13 | 44% 496-623 (1119) |
BO bosona | Upavg 69.5¢ | $628.66 | $905.19 | +$276.53 | 50% 3720-3750 (7470) |
AL almach | Upavg 65¢ | $326.21 | $500 | +$173.79 | 45% 490-607 (1097) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 66.8¢ | $348.72 | $368.29 | +$19.57 | 46% 403-481 (884) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 79.4¢ | $421.94 | $375.41 | -$46.53 | 41% 283-414 (697) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 86.1¢ | $370.7 | $340.09 | -$30.61 | 52% 3510-3269 (6779) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 67.9¢ | $265.02 | $316.26 | +$51.24 | 41% 303-437 (740) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 64.8¢ | $277.24 | $302.66 | +$25.41 | 59% 410-288 (698) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Upavg 84.5¢ | $253.54 | $300 | +$46.46 | — |
ST stepahead | Upavg 70.1¢ | $282.71 | $286.66 | +$3.95 | 54% 3640-3052 (6692) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Upavg 77.9¢ | $206.51 | $223.3 | +$16.8 | 31% 302-677 (979) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 85.2¢ | $223.71 | $219.99 | -$3.72 | 53% 887-786 (1673) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 73.7¢ | $171.13 | $148.18 | -$22.95 | 24% 328-1058 (1386) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 71¢ | $106.5 | $150 | +$43.5 | 74% 577-199 (776) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 91.8¢ | $85.44 | $87.01 | +$1.57 | 65% 1431-763 (2194) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 88.5¢ | $88.94 | $88.32 | -$0.62 | 49% 3193-3306 (6499) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 73.4¢ | $65.19 | $84.99 | +$19.8 | 45% 772-956 (1728) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 92.4¢ | $90.28 | $80 | -$8.53 | 53% 4053-3525 (7578) |
AN antsaslyku | Upavg 60¢ | $74.19 | $123.56 | +$49.38 | 39% 572-895 (1467) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Upavg 81.7¢ | $74.71 | $77.5 | +$2.79 | 61% 402-260 (662) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 53.9¢ | $46.41 | $71.09 | +$27.46 | 62% 1634-1017 (2651) |
 ohioismARB<$100 | Upavg 59.3¢ | $50.56 | $51 | +$0.44 | 48% 779-832 (1611) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 21.4¢ | $20.3 | — | -$20.3 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 59.3¢ | $30.26 | $51 | +$20.74 | |
 machinelearnedCTR | Downavg 23.1¢ | $259.79 | — | -$259.79 | 39% 472-733 (1205) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Upavg 60.1¢ | $41.97 | $54 | +$12.03 | 47% 244-274 (518) |
Invested
$9,009.02
Value
$9.0K
PnL
-$1.01
Record
45%
449-558 (1007)
Invested
$485.88
Value
$674.01
PnL
+$188.13
Record
44%
496-623 (1119)
Invested
$628.66
Value
$905.19
PnL
+$276.53
Record
50%
3720-3750 (7470)
Invested
$326.21
Value
$500
PnL
+$173.79
Record
45%
490-607 (1097)
Invested
$348.72
Value
$368.29
PnL
+$19.57
Record
46%
403-481 (884)
Invested
$421.94
Value
$375.41
PnL
-$46.53
Record
41%
283-414 (697)
Invested
$370.7
Value
$340.09
PnL
-$30.61
Record
52%
3510-3269 (6779)
Invested
$265.02
Value
$316.26
PnL
+$51.24
Record
41%
303-437 (740)
Invested
$277.24
Value
$302.66
PnL
+$25.41
Record
59%
410-288 (698)
Invested
$253.54
Value
$300
PnL
+$46.46
Record
—
Invested
$282.71
Value
$286.66
PnL
+$3.95
Record
54%
3640-3052 (6692)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$206.51
Value
$223.3
PnL
+$16.8
Record
31%
302-677 (979)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$223.71
Value
$219.99
PnL
-$3.72
Record
53%
887-786 (1673)
Invested
$171.13
Value
$148.18
PnL
-$22.95
Record
24%
328-1058 (1386)
BoneOhioInvested
$106.5
Value
$150
PnL
+$43.5
Record
74%
577-199 (776)
Invested
$85.44
Value
$87.01
PnL
+$1.57
Record
65%
1431-763 (2194)
Invested
$88.94
Value
$88.32
PnL
-$0.62
Record
49%
3193-3306 (6499)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$65.19
Value
$84.99
PnL
+$19.8
Record
45%
772-956 (1728)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$90.28
Value
$80
PnL
-$8.53
Record
53%
4053-3525 (7578)
Invested
$74.19
Value
$123.56
PnL
+$49.38
Record
39%
572-895 (1467)
Invested
$74.71
Value
$77.5
PnL
+$2.79
Record
61%
402-260 (662)
Invested
$46.41
Value
$71.09
PnL
+$27.46
Record
62%
1634-1017 (2651)
ohioismARB<$100Invested
$50.56
Value
$51
PnL
+$0.44
Record
48%
779-832 (1611)
Both legs:
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$259.79
Value
—
PnL
-$259.79
Record
39%
472-733 (1205)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$41.97
Value
$54
PnL
+$12.03
Record
47%
244-274 (518)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $9.0K
mo-money
Up — $674.01
bosona
Up — $905.19
almach
Up — $500
CrouchPredictions
Up — $368.29
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $375.41
blue.birds
Up — $340.09
GoodFallen
Up — $316.26
Bonereaper
Up — $302.66
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $300