Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Up 68%
1 arb excluded
$7.0K
-$100.39
Smart Money Signal
23 of 34 top traders (68%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 89.2¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K | +$43.99 | 59% 410-288 (698) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 81.1¢ | $669.47 | $814.96 | +$145.49 | 39% 472-733 (1205) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 89.9¢ | $747.02 | $734.56 | -$12.46 | 51% 933-914 (1847) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 82.8¢ | $498.6 | $513.92 | +$35.78 | 41% 283-414 (697) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 91.4¢ | $571.94 | $489 | -$24.94 | 53% 887-786 (1673) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8¢ | $491.23 | $496.97 | +$5.74 | 98% 1499-31 (1530) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 73.6¢ | $285.34 | $342.1 | +$56.76 | 61% 402-260 (662) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 69.3¢ | $285.18 | $300.36 | +$15.18 | 54% 3640-3052 (6692) |
BO bosona | Upavg 67.3¢ | $197.65 | $271.52 | +$73.86 | 50% 3720-3750 (7470) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 91.6¢ | $250.48 | $230.29 | -$20.18 | 52% 3510-3269 (6779) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 87.8¢ | $266.03 | $222.35 | -$43.68 | 46% 403-481 (884) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 86.4¢ | $199.06 | $201.8 | +$2.74 | 48% 367-392 (759) |
 G-Penis-Monster | Upavg 72.6¢ | $126.76 | $168.18 | +$41.42 | 45% 772-956 (1728) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 22.9¢ | $338.86 | — | -$338.86 | 46% 758-894 (1652) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Upavg 85.3¢ | $172.15 | $149.09 | -$23.06 | 31% 302-677 (979) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212ARB<$100 | Downavg 36.7¢ | $153.69 | $100 | -$53.69 | 52% 329-308 (637) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 47¢ | $47 | $100 | +$53 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 36.7¢ | $106.69 | — | -$106.69 | |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 72.2¢ | $130.08 | $131.4 | +$1.32 | 41% 303-437 (740) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Upavg 59.5¢ | $109.68 | $184.49 | +$74.81 | 52% 327-296 (623) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Upavg 90.6¢ | $150.67 | $115.95 | +$4.27 | 62% 1634-1017 (2651) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87.7¢ | $75.29 | $74.56 | -$0.72 | 65% 1431-763 (2194) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $76.67 | $66.3 | -$10.37 | 35% 408-771 (1179) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 66.5¢ | $61.74 | $72.14 | +$10.4 | 53% 4053-3525 (7578) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Downavg 19.1¢ | $67.09 | — | -$67.09 | 24% 328-1058 (1386) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Upavg 66.3¢ | $25.35 | $23.49 | -$1.86 | 47% 244-274 (518) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $15.05 | $24.19 | +$9.14 | 39% 572-895 (1467) |
Invested
$1,233.02
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$43.99
Record
59%
410-288 (698)
machinelearnedInvested
$669.47
Value
$814.96
PnL
+$145.49
Record
39%
472-733 (1205)
Invested
$747.02
Value
$734.56
PnL
-$12.46
Record
51%
933-914 (1847)
Invested
$498.6
Value
$513.92
PnL
+$35.78
Record
41%
283-414 (697)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$571.94
Value
$489
PnL
-$24.94
Record
53%
887-786 (1673)
Invested
$491.23
Value
$496.97
PnL
+$5.74
Record
98%
1499-31 (1530)
Invested
$285.34
Value
$342.1
PnL
+$56.76
Record
61%
402-260 (662)
Invested
$285.18
Value
$300.36
PnL
+$15.18
Record
54%
3640-3052 (6692)
Invested
$197.65
Value
$271.52
PnL
+$73.86
Record
50%
3720-3750 (7470)
Invested
$250.48
Value
$230.29
PnL
-$20.18
Record
52%
3510-3269 (6779)
Invested
$266.03
Value
$222.35
PnL
-$43.68
Record
46%
403-481 (884)
Invested
$199.06
Value
$201.8
PnL
+$2.74
Record
48%
367-392 (759)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$126.76
Value
$168.18
PnL
+$41.42
Record
45%
772-956 (1728)
Invested
$338.86
Value
—
PnL
-$338.86
Record
46%
758-894 (1652)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$172.15
Value
$149.09
PnL
-$23.06
Record
31%
302-677 (979)
Invested
$153.69
Value
$100
PnL
-$53.69
Record
52%
329-308 (637)
Both legs:
Invested
$130.08
Value
$131.4
PnL
+$1.32
Record
41%
303-437 (740)
Invested
$109.68
Value
$184.49
PnL
+$74.81
Record
52%
327-296 (623)
Invested
$150.67
Value
$115.95
PnL
+$4.27
Record
62%
1634-1017 (2651)
Invested
$75.29
Value
$74.56
PnL
-$0.72
Record
65%
1431-763 (2194)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$76.67
Value
$66.3
PnL
-$10.37
Record
35%
408-771 (1179)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$61.74
Value
$72.14
PnL
+$10.4
Record
53%
4053-3525 (7578)
Invested
$67.09
Value
—
PnL
-$67.09
Record
24%
328-1058 (1386)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$25.35
Value
$23.49
PnL
-$1.86
Record
47%
244-274 (518)
Invested
$15.05
Value
$24.19
PnL
+$9.14
Record
39%
572-895 (1467)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Up — $1.3K
machinelearned
Up — $814.96
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $734.56
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $513.92
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $489
hoodquant
Up — $496.97
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Up — $342.1
stepahead
Up — $300.36
bosona
Up — $271.52
blue.birds
Up — $230.29