Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 85%

Total Value

$7.9K

Combined PnL

$384.94

Smart Money Signal

29 of 35 top traders (83%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up29 traders

Total Value$7.9K

Total Shares7,859

Combined PnL+$663.79

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,638

Combined PnL-$278.84

Up — 83%Down — 17%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 93.6¢	$2.1K	$2.2K	+$140.37	59% 410-288 (698)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98.7¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$15.16	98% 1499-31 (1530)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 79.9¢	$484.21	$555.86	+$71.65	46% 403-481 (884)
machinelearned	Upavg 83¢	$586.13	$461.84	-$124.29	39% 472-733 (1205)
AL almach	Upavg 82.2¢	$462.42	$562.41	+$99.98	45% 490-607 (1097)
MO mo-money	Upavg 82¢	$410	$500	+$90	44% 496-623 (1119)
ST stepahead	Upavg 62.2¢	$319.33	$378.6	+$59.27	54% 3640-3052 (6692)
BO bosona	Upavg 83.3¢	$335.36	$402.82	+$67.46	50% 3720-3750 (7470)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 79.8¢	$228.22	$244.36	+$16.14	51% 933-914 (1847)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 87.5¢	$192.19	$219.76	+$27.56	61% 402-260 (662)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 79.3¢	$140.45	$140	-$0.45	41% 283-414 (697)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212	Upavg 48¢	$58.14	$100	+$41.86	52% 329-308 (637)
38 38791873984189	Upavg 49¢	$98	$200	+$102	48% 1257-1350 (2607)
GO GoodFallen<$100	Upavg 82¢	$93.12	$95	+$1.88	41% 303-437 (740)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 61.4¢	$50.53	$82.34	+$31.8	39% 572-895 (1467)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100	Upavg 82¢	$69.29	$84.5	+$15.21	52% 327-296 (623)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100	Upavg 73.7¢	$76.52	$70	-$6.52	31% 302-677 (979)
PL ply-pm0<$100	Upavg 85.7¢	$85.62	$70	-$15.62	24% 328-1058 (1386)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 20.4¢	$249.69	—	-$249.69	46% 758-894 (1652)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Upavg 72.3¢	$65.85	$65.04	-$0.81	53% 887-786 (1673)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 97¢	$44.27	$44.01	-$0.26	35% 408-771 (1179)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 79¢	$43.96	$36.77	-$3.09	62% 1634-1017 (2651)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 86¢	$30.1	$34.99	+$4.9	48% 779-832 (1611)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 79¢	$25.76	$32.61	+$6.85	49% 3193-3306 (6499)
FairValueMachine<$100	Upavg 72¢	$41.7	$20.01	+$4.1	53% 4053-3525 (7578)

Bonereaper

Invested

$2,067.29

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$140.37

Record

59%

410-288 (698)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,158.84

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$15.16

Record

98%

1499-31 (1530)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$484.21

Value

$555.86

PnL

+$71.65

Record

46%

403-481 (884)

machinelearned

Invested

$586.13

Value

$461.84

PnL

-$124.29

Record

39%

472-733 (1205)

almach

Invested

$462.42

Value

$562.41

PnL

+$99.98

Record

45%

490-607 (1097)

mo-money

Invested

$410

Value

$500

PnL

+$90

Record

44%

496-623 (1119)

stepahead

Invested

$319.33

Value

$378.6

PnL

+$59.27

Record

54%

3640-3052 (6692)

bosona

Invested

$335.36

Value

$402.82

PnL

+$67.46

Record

50%

3720-3750 (7470)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$228.22

Value

$244.36

PnL

+$16.14

Record

51%

933-914 (1847)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$192.19

Value

$219.76

PnL

+$27.56

Record

61%

402-260 (662)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$140.45

Value

$140

PnL

-$0.45

Record

41%

283-414 (697)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212

Invested

$58.14

Value

$100

PnL

+$41.86

Record

52%

329-308 (637)

38791873984189

Invested

$98

Value

$200

PnL

+$102

Record

48%

1257-1350 (2607)

GoodFallen<$100

Invested

$93.12

Value

$95

PnL

+$1.88

Record

41%

303-437 (740)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$50.53

Value

$82.34

PnL

+$31.8

Record

39%

572-895 (1467)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100

Invested

$69.29

Value

$84.5

PnL

+$15.21

Record

52%

327-296 (623)

x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100

Invested

$76.52

Value

$70

PnL

-$6.52

Record

31%

302-677 (979)

ply-pm0<$100

Invested

$85.62

Value

$70

PnL

-$15.62

Record

24%

328-1058 (1386)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Down

Invested

$249.69

Value

—

PnL

-$249.69

Record

46%

758-894 (1652)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$65.85

Value

$65.04

PnL

-$0.81

Record

53%

887-786 (1673)

pspspsps5<$100

Invested

$44.27

Value

$44.01

PnL

-$0.26

Record

35%

408-771 (1179)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$43.96

Value

$36.77

PnL

-$3.09

Record

62%

1634-1017 (2651)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$30.1

Value

$34.99

PnL

+$4.9

Record

48%

779-832 (1611)

asdcaxz<$100

Invested

$25.76

Value

$32.61

PnL

+$6.85

Record

49%

3193-3306 (6499)

FairValueMachine<$100

Invested

$41.7

Value

$20.01

PnL

+$4.1

Record

53%

4053-3525 (7578)

Smart Money Signal

29 of 35 top traders (83%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa0b5abd8...89c8cb

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794392700

Traders in this Market

Bonereaper

Up — $2.2K

+$140.37

hoodquant

Up — $1.2K

+$15.16

CrouchPredictions

Up — $555.86

+$71.65

machinelearned

Up — $461.84

-$124.29

almach

Up — $562.41

+$99.98

mo-money

Up — $500

+$90

stepahead

Up — $378.6

+$59.27

bosona

Up — $402.82

+$67.46

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $244.36

+$16.14

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Up — $219.76

+$27.56

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