Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 77%

Total Value

$19.6K

Combined PnL

-$438.45

Smart Money Signal

28 of 36 top traders (78%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up28 traders

Total Value$19.6K

Total Shares19,642

Combined PnL+$307.19

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,893

Combined PnL-$745.65

Up — 78%Down — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$9.0K	$9.0K	+$9.01	45% 449-558 (1007)
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$3.5K	$3.5K	+$35	74% 577-199 (776)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 95.9¢	$2.0K	$2.0K	+$8.27	59% 410-288 (698)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$956.34	$966	+$9.66	98% 1499-31 (1530)
machinelearned	Upavg 73.3¢	$589.86	$804.7	+$214.85	39% 472-733 (1205)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 48.5¢	$611.5	—	-$611.5	46% 758-894 (1652)
AL almach	Upavg 99.1¢	$495.5	$500	+$4.5	45% 490-607 (1097)
BO bosona	Upavg 99.1¢	$495.5	$500	+$4.5	50% 3720-3750 (7470)
MO mo-money	Upavg 74¢	$318.19	$429.83	+$111.64	44% 496-623 (1119)
ST stepahead	Upavg 65.8¢	$368.26	$372.96	+$4.7	54% 3640-3052 (6692)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 77.1¢	$329.14	$282.83	-$46.31	46% 403-481 (884)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 88.1¢	$212.45	$200	-$12.45	53% 887-786 (1673)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 81.9¢	$180.8	$160.72	-$20.07	24% 328-1058 (1386)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 79.3¢	$176.18	$144.16	-$32.02	41% 283-414 (697)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 79.2¢	$131.58	$131.44	-$0.14	52% 3510-3269 (6779)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 98¢	$101.48	$103.55	+$2.07	39% 480-751 (1231)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100	Upavg 80.7¢	$99.71	$88.9	-$10.81	31% 302-677 (979)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100	Downavg 45¢	$82.92	—	-$82.92	52% 327-296 (623)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 82.5¢	$87.98	$90	+$2.02	51% 933-914 (1847)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 71¢	$58.8	$82.81	+$24.01	48% 367-392 (759)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 84.3¢	$49.59	$57.58	+$7.99	65% 1431-763 (2194)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 83¢	$53.7	$44.98	+$1.27	62% 1634-1017 (2651)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100	Upavg 85.8¢	$56.35	$40.86	-$15.49	61% 402-260 (662)
HC Hcrystallash<$100	Upavg 69.1¢	$28.4	$41.07	+$12.67	57% 4243-3185 (7428)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 68¢	$44.5	$40.33	+$3.47	49% 3193-3306 (6499)

0x50f7

Invested

$8,997.01

Value

$9.0K

PnL

+$9.01

Record

45%

449-558 (1007)

BoneOhio

Invested

$3,465

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$35

Record

74%

577-199 (776)

Bonereaper

Invested

$1,951.05

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$8.27

Record

59%

410-288 (698)

hoodquant

Invested

$956.34

Value

$966

PnL

+$9.66

Record

98%

1499-31 (1530)

machinelearned

Invested

$589.86

Value

$804.7

PnL

+$214.85

Record

39%

472-733 (1205)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Down

Invested

$611.5

Value

—

PnL

-$611.5

Record

46%

758-894 (1652)

almach

Invested

$495.5

Value

$500

PnL

+$4.5

Record

45%

490-607 (1097)

bosona

Invested

$495.5

Value

$500

PnL

+$4.5

Record

50%

3720-3750 (7470)

mo-money

Invested

$318.19

Value

$429.83

PnL

+$111.64

Record

44%

496-623 (1119)

stepahead

Invested

$368.26

Value

$372.96

PnL

+$4.7

Record

54%

3640-3052 (6692)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$329.14

Value

$282.83

PnL

-$46.31

Record

46%

403-481 (884)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$212.45

Value

$200

PnL

-$12.45

Record

53%

887-786 (1673)

ply-pm0

Invested

$180.8

Value

$160.72

PnL

-$20.07

Record

24%

328-1058 (1386)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$176.18

Value

$144.16

PnL

-$32.02

Record

41%

283-414 (697)

blue.birds

Invested

$131.58

Value

$131.44

PnL

-$0.14

Record

52%

3510-3269 (6779)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$101.48

Value

$103.55

PnL

+$2.07

Record

39%

480-751 (1231)

x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100

Invested

$99.71

Value

$88.9

PnL

-$10.81

Record

31%

302-677 (979)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$82.92

Value

—

PnL

-$82.92

Record

52%

327-296 (623)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$87.98

Value

$90

PnL

+$2.02

Record

51%

933-914 (1847)

wzbbb<$100

Invested

$58.8

Value

$82.81

PnL

+$24.01

Record

48%

367-392 (759)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$49.59

Value

$57.58

PnL

+$7.99

Record

65%

1431-763 (2194)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$53.7

Value

$44.98

PnL

+$1.27

Record

62%

1634-1017 (2651)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100

Invested

$56.35

Value

$40.86

PnL

-$15.49

Record

61%

402-260 (662)

Hcrystallash<$100

Invested

$28.4

Value

$41.07

PnL

+$12.67

Record

57%

4243-3185 (7428)

asdcaxz<$100

Invested

$44.5

Value

$40.33

PnL

+$3.47

Record

49%

3193-3306 (6499)

Smart Money Signal

28 of 36 top traders (78%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd8089737...599a2d

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794392400

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $9.0K

+$9.01

BoneOhio

Up — $3.5K

+$35

Bonereaper

Up — $2.0K

+$8.27

hoodquant

Up — $966

+$9.66

machinelearned

Up — $804.7

+$214.85

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$611.5

almach

Up — $500

+$4.5

bosona

Up — $500

+$4.5

mo-money

Up — $429.83

+$111.64

stepahead

Up — $372.96

+$4.7

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