Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
38
Down 63%
$14.1K
-$283.22
Smart Money Signal
24 of 38 top traders (63%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO borderlocket | Downavg 58.2¢ | $3.2K | $5.6K | +$2.3K | 21% 31-115 (146) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 90.8¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | -$4.46 | 59% 401-273 (674) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 67.4¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | -$32.95 | 45% 386-468 (854) |
 AtomforgeCTR | Upavg 23.7¢ | $1.5K | — | -$926.43 | 18% 153-712 (865) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 61.7¢ | $672.47 | $658.14 | -$14.33 | 41% 273-400 (673) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 66.3¢ | $686.44 | $641.03 | -$45.42 | 23% 315-1047 (1362) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 69.1¢ | $629.49 | $639.09 | +$9.6 | 52% 3476-3233 (6709) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 64.8¢ | $661.59 | $625.53 | -$36.06 | 54% 3622-3038 (6660) |
BO bosona | Downavg 77.2¢ | $683.19 | $617.48 | -$65.71 | 50% 3699-3735 (7434) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 77.9¢ | $760.41 | $603.97 | -$156.44 | 53% 851-764 (1615) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 49.4¢ | $577.99 | — | -$577.99 | 45% 722-869 (1591) |
AL almach | Downavg 76.6¢ | $594.08 | $504.99 | -$89.08 | 44% 468-591 (1059) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 75.9¢ | $589.32 | $500 | -$80.05 | 44% 474-605 (1079) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Upavg 30.6¢ | $166.99 | — | -$166.99 | 41% 292-424 (716) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Downavg 73.9¢ | $103 | $112.88 | +$10 | 62% 1585-980 (2565) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Downavg 70.8¢ | $117.27 | $85 | -$24.32 | 31% 292-665 (957) |
 FairValueMachineCTR | Upavg 39.6¢ | $129.64 | — | -$129.64 | 54% 4042-3512 (7554) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90.3¢ | $98.83 | $85.27 | -$13.56 | 65% 1384-737 (2121) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Downavg 52.3¢ | $85.46 | $93.17 | +$7.71 | 61% 392-247 (639) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 62.6¢ | $65.55 | $90 | +$24.45 | 48% 745-806 (1551) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 55.8¢ | $36.3 | $65 | +$28.7 | 45% 744-919 (1663) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Downavg 58.6¢ | $58.78 | $60 | +$6.8 | 47% 232-262 (494) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212CTR<$100 | Upavg 40.9¢ | $77.68 | — | -$77.68 | 52% 319-294 (613) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 76.6¢ | $71.39 | $93.21 | +$21.82 | 51% 131-127 (258) |
PL ply-pm4<$100 | Downavg 66.7¢ | $45.92 | $55.6 | +$9.68 | 11% 41-316 (357) |
Invested
$3,238.01
Value
$5.6K
PnL
+$2.3K
Record
21%
31-115 (146)
Invested
$1,596.49
Value
$1.6K
PnL
-$4.46
Record
59%
401-273 (674)
Invested
$1,290.75
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$32.95
Record
45%
386-468 (854)
AtomforgeCTRInvested
$1,520.48
Value
—
PnL
-$926.43
Record
18%
153-712 (865)
Invested
$672.47
Value
$658.14
PnL
-$14.33
Record
41%
273-400 (673)
Invested
$686.44
Value
$641.03
PnL
-$45.42
Record
23%
315-1047 (1362)
Invested
$629.49
Value
$639.09
PnL
+$9.6
Record
52%
3476-3233 (6709)
Invested
$661.59
Value
$625.53
PnL
-$36.06
Record
54%
3622-3038 (6660)
Invested
$683.19
Value
$617.48
PnL
-$65.71
Record
50%
3699-3735 (7434)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$760.41
Value
$603.97
PnL
-$156.44
Record
53%
851-764 (1615)
Invested
$577.99
Value
—
PnL
-$577.99
Record
45%
722-869 (1591)
Invested
$594.08
Value
$504.99
PnL
-$89.08
Record
44%
468-591 (1059)
Invested
$589.32
Value
$500
PnL
-$80.05
Record
44%
474-605 (1079)
Invested
$166.99
Value
—
PnL
-$166.99
Record
41%
292-424 (716)
Invested
$103
Value
$112.88
PnL
+$10
Record
62%
1585-980 (2565)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$117.27
Value
$85
PnL
-$24.32
Record
31%
292-665 (957)
FairValueMachineCTRInvested
$129.64
Value
—
PnL
-$129.64
Record
54%
4042-3512 (7554)
Invested
$98.83
Value
$85.27
PnL
-$13.56
Record
65%
1384-737 (2121)
Invested
$85.46
Value
$93.17
PnL
+$7.71
Record
61%
392-247 (639)
ohioism<$100Invested
$65.55
Value
$90
PnL
+$24.45
Record
48%
745-806 (1551)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$36.3
Value
$65
PnL
+$28.7
Record
45%
744-919 (1663)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$58.78
Value
$60
PnL
+$6.8
Record
47%
232-262 (494)
Invested
$77.68
Value
—
PnL
-$77.68
Record
52%
319-294 (613)
Invested
$71.39
Value
$93.21
PnL
+$21.82
Record
51%
131-127 (258)
Invested
$45.92
Value
$55.6
PnL
+$9.68
Record
11%
41-316 (357)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
borderlocket
Down — $5.6K
Bonereaper
Down — $1.6K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $1.3K
Atomforge
CTRUp — $0
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $658.14
ply-pm0
Down — $641.03
blue.birds
Down — $639.09
stepahead
Down — $625.53
bosona
Down — $617.48
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $603.97