Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
40
Down 80%
$11.9K
$-3.0K
Smart Money Signal
32 of 40 top traders (80%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MO mo-money | Downavg 69.9¢ | $1.2K | $1.7K | +$469.5 | 44% 474-605 (1079) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 81.9¢ | $1.4K | $1.5K | +$80.55 | 45% 386-468 (854) |
AL almach | Downavg 69¢ | $1.0K | $1.5K | +$446.4 | 44% 468-591 (1059) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 73.9¢ | $555.96 | $677.38 | +$121.41 | 53% 851-764 (1615) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 63.4¢ | $639.66 | $660.77 | +$21.12 | 54% 3622-3038 (6660) |
BO bosona | Downavg 67.6¢ | $433.61 | $625 | +$191.39 | 50% 3699-3735 (7434) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 73.6¢ | $870.64 | $614.19 | -$256.45 | 59% 401-273 (674) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 65.7¢ | $542.67 | $598 | +$55.33 | 23% 315-1047 (1362) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Downavg 72.5¢ | $549.33 | $559.29 | +$9.96 | 52% 319-294 (613) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.3¢ | $519.41 | $528.63 | +$9.22 | 98% 1462-31 (1493) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 77.1¢ | $464.22 | $476.66 | +$12.44 | 52% 3476-3233 (6709) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 71¢ | $441.32 | $362.6 | -$78.72 | 41% 273-400 (673) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 69.5¢ | $376 | $400 | +$24 | 39% 458-724 (1182) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 50.5¢ | $222.66 | $351.62 | +$128.96 | 45% 722-869 (1591) |
 ohioism | Downavg 65.8¢ | $129.69 | $174.99 | +$45.3 | 48% 745-806 (1551) |
 FairValueMachine | Downavg 80.6¢ | $135.72 | $150 | +$14.28 | 54% 4042-3512 (7554) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 58.3¢ | $133.82 | $229.68 | +$95.86 | 53% 315-285 (600) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 84.3¢ | $177.51 | $136.19 | -$41.31 | 41% 292-424 (716) |
PB PBot-5 | Downavg 65.7¢ | $110.33 | $134.41 | +$36.48 | 47% 445-493 (938) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 61.7¢ | $96.21 | $99.17 | +$11.77 | 39% 547-873 (1420) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 77.2¢ | $76.12 | $96.85 | +$20.73 | 38% 449-718 (1167) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 69.8¢ | $38.94 | $55.6 | +$16.66 | 35% 390-738 (1128) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 79.1¢ | $41.38 | $52.31 | +$10.93 | 65% 1384-737 (2121) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Downavg 67.8¢ | $50.1 | $50.1 | -$0 | 61% 392-247 (639) |
PA PapeasyCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.4¢ | $55.71 | — | -$55.71 | 50% 3363-3311 (6674) |
Invested
$1,182.8
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$469.5
Record
44%
474-605 (1079)
Invested
$1,415.31
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$80.55
Record
45%
386-468 (854)
Invested
$1,041.97
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$446.4
Record
44%
468-591 (1059)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$555.96
Value
$677.38
PnL
+$121.41
Record
53%
851-764 (1615)
Invested
$639.66
Value
$660.77
PnL
+$21.12
Record
54%
3622-3038 (6660)
Invested
$433.61
Value
$625
PnL
+$191.39
Record
50%
3699-3735 (7434)
Invested
$870.64
Value
$614.19
PnL
-$256.45
Record
59%
401-273 (674)
Invested
$542.67
Value
$598
PnL
+$55.33
Record
23%
315-1047 (1362)
Invested
$549.33
Value
$559.29
PnL
+$9.96
Record
52%
319-294 (613)
Invested
$519.41
Value
$528.63
PnL
+$9.22
Record
98%
1462-31 (1493)
Invested
$464.22
Value
$476.66
PnL
+$12.44
Record
52%
3476-3233 (6709)
Invested
$441.32
Value
$362.6
PnL
-$78.72
Record
41%
273-400 (673)
machinelearnedInvested
$376
Value
$400
PnL
+$24
Record
39%
458-724 (1182)
Invested
$222.66
Value
$351.62
PnL
+$128.96
Record
45%
722-869 (1591)
ohioismInvested
$129.69
Value
$174.99
PnL
+$45.3
Record
48%
745-806 (1551)
FairValueMachineInvested
$135.72
Value
$150
PnL
+$14.28
Record
54%
4042-3512 (7554)
Invested
$133.82
Value
$229.68
PnL
+$95.86
Record
53%
315-285 (600)
Invested
$177.51
Value
$136.19
PnL
-$41.31
Record
41%
292-424 (716)
Invested
$110.33
Value
$134.41
PnL
+$36.48
Record
47%
445-493 (938)
Invested
$96.21
Value
$99.17
PnL
+$11.77
Record
39%
547-873 (1420)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$76.12
Value
$96.85
PnL
+$20.73
Record
38%
449-718 (1167)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$38.94
Value
$55.6
PnL
+$16.66
Record
35%
390-738 (1128)
Invested
$41.38
Value
$52.31
PnL
+$10.93
Record
65%
1384-737 (2121)
Invested
$50.1
Value
$50.1
PnL
-$0
Record
61%
392-247 (639)
Invested
$55.71
Value
—
PnL
-$55.71
Record
50%
3363-3311 (6674)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
mo-money
Down — $1.7K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $1.5K
almach
Down — $1.5K
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $677.38
stepahead
Down — $660.77
bosona
Down — $625
Bonereaper
Down — $614.19
ply-pm0
Down — $598
0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212
Down — $559.29
hoodquant
Down — $528.63