Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 52%
2 arb excluded
$2.4K
-$901
Smart Money Signal
14 of 27 top traders (52%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BL blue.birds | Upavg 88.5¢ | $646.67 | $598.35 | -$29.07 | 52% 3416-3175 (6591) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Upavg 91.8¢ | $340.4 | $339 | -$1.39 | 53% 298-268 (566) |
AL almach | Upavg 80.9¢ | $239.44 | $283.3 | +$43.86 | 44% 444-567 (1011) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 63.4¢ | $232.18 | $198.79 | -$33.39 | 40% 255-380 (635) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 65.1¢ | $172.85 | $151.08 | -$21.77 | 54% 3595-3014 (6609) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Downavg 52.4¢ | $128.9 | — | -$128.9 | 60% 379-256 (635) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 86.8¢ | $120.68 | $114.91 | -$5.77 | 65% 1307-699 (2006) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Downavg 16.2¢ | $368.09 | — | -$368.09 | 38% 437-701 (1138) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 59.2¢ | $91.58 | $91.41 | -$0.17 | 51% 877-838 (1715) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 59.2¢ | $57.97 | — | -$57.97 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 36.8¢ | $33.61 | $91.41 | +$57.8 | |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 87.8¢ | $85.08 | $96.53 | +$11.45 | 44% 451-577 (1028) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cCTR | Downavg 30.3¢ | $116.31 | — | -$116.31 | 61% 374-236 (610) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 48.4¢ | $79.7 | $164.6 | +$84.9 | 45% 680-835 (1515) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $64 | $70 | +$6 | 30% 277-643 (920) |
BO bosonaARB<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $76.88 | $44.58 | -$32.3 | 50% 3677-3707 (7384) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 78.7¢ | $35.08 | $44.58 | +$9.5 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 8¢ | $41.8 | — | -$41.8 | |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Downavg 39.5¢ | $147.91 | — | -$147.91 | 23% 304-1020 (1324) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $41.02 | $50 | +$8.98 | 49% 3098-3207 (6305) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 40.9¢ | $38.57 | $50.93 | +$12.36 | 40% 273-406 (679) |
 OhioAICTR<$100 | Downavg 63.3¢ | $69.15 | — | -$66.25 | 47% 214-244 (458) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR<$100 | Downavg 14.7¢ | $65.7 | — | -$65.7 | 45% 361-442 (803) |
PA PapeasyCTR<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $40.5 | — | -$40.5 | 50% 3342-3297 (6639) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 57.2¢ | $22.89 | $40 | +$17.11 | 47% 416-463 (879) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $28.4 | $41.76 | +$13.36 | 49% 339-356 (695) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $18.97 | $25 | +$6.03 | 48% 708-758 (1466) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212CTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $13.3 | — | -$13.3 | 53% 303-273 (576) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 6.1¢ | $9.72 | — | -$9.72 | 34% 358-693 (1051) |
Invested
$646.67
Value
$598.35
PnL
-$29.07
Record
52%
3416-3175 (6591)
Invested
$340.4
Value
$339
PnL
-$1.39
Record
53%
298-268 (566)
Invested
$239.44
Value
$283.3
PnL
+$43.86
Record
44%
444-567 (1011)
Invested
$232.18
Value
$198.79
PnL
-$33.39
Record
40%
255-380 (635)
Invested
$172.85
Value
$151.08
PnL
-$21.77
Record
54%
3595-3014 (6609)
Invested
$128.9
Value
—
PnL
-$128.9
Record
60%
379-256 (635)
Invested
$120.68
Value
$114.91
PnL
-$5.77
Record
65%
1307-699 (2006)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$368.09
Value
—
PnL
-$368.09
Record
38%
437-701 (1138)
Invested
$91.58
Value
$91.41
PnL
-$0.17
Record
51%
877-838 (1715)
Both legs:
Invested
$85.08
Value
$96.53
PnL
+$11.45
Record
44%
451-577 (1028)
Invested
$116.31
Value
—
PnL
-$116.31
Record
61%
374-236 (610)
Invested
$79.7
Value
$164.6
PnL
+$84.9
Record
45%
680-835 (1515)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100Invested
$64
Value
$70
PnL
+$6
Record
30%
277-643 (920)
Invested
$76.88
Value
$44.58
PnL
-$32.3
Record
50%
3677-3707 (7384)
Both legs:
Invested
$147.91
Value
—
PnL
-$147.91
Record
23%
304-1020 (1324)
Invested
$41.02
Value
$50
PnL
+$8.98
Record
49%
3098-3207 (6305)
Invested
$38.57
Value
$50.93
PnL
+$12.36
Record
40%
273-406 (679)
OhioAICTR<$100Invested
$69.15
Value
—
PnL
-$66.25
Record
47%
214-244 (458)
Invested
$65.7
Value
—
PnL
-$65.7
Record
45%
361-442 (803)
Invested
$40.5
Value
—
PnL
-$40.5
Record
50%
3342-3297 (6639)
Invested
$22.89
Value
$40
PnL
+$17.11
Record
47%
416-463 (879)
Invested
$28.4
Value
$41.76
PnL
+$13.36
Record
49%
339-356 (695)
ohioism<$100Invested
$18.97
Value
$25
PnL
+$6.03
Record
48%
708-758 (1466)
Invested
$13.3
Value
—
PnL
-$13.3
Record
53%
303-273 (576)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$9.72
Value
—
PnL
-$9.72
Record
34%
358-693 (1051)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
blue.birds
Up — $598.35
0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335
Up — $339
almach
Up — $283.3
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $198.79
stepahead
Up — $151.08
Bonereaper
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $114.91
machinelearned
CTRDown — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
mo-money
Up — $96.53