Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
33
Up 78%
3 arb excluded
$7.7K
-$709.45
Smart Money Signal
25 of 33 top traders (76%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 91.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$94 | 45% 665-826 (1491) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 69.2¢ | $749.61 | $774.39 | +$24.78 | 52% 3399-3159 (6558) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 57.8¢ | $608.05 | $656.45 | +$48.41 | 54% 3586-3008 (6594) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 54.1¢ | $628.2 | $606.77 | -$21.33 | 60% 374-250 (624) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 75.5¢ | $463.79 | $600 | +$136.21 | 38% 427-698 (1125) |
AL almach | Upavg 63¢ | $673.88 | $545.75 | -$128.13 | 44% 435-558 (993) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 60¢ | $475.79 | $412.69 | -$63.1 | 41% 253-371 (624) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 73.4¢ | $480.54 | $396.59 | -$83.95 | 45% 355-435 (790) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 91.6¢ | $333.23 | $318.16 | -$15.07 | 51% 863-824 (1687) |
BO bosonaCTR | Downavg 66¢ | $539.1 | — | -$539.1 | 50% 3667-3701 (7368) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98¢ | $274.4 | $280 | +$5.6 | 98% 1388-30 (1418) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 67.8¢ | $306.88 | $269.89 | -$36.99 | 23% 299-1014 (1313) |
MO mo-moneyARB<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $461.13 | $174.05 | -$287.07 | 44% 441-571 (1012) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 75.3¢ | $131.13 | $174.05 | +$42.93 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 66¢ | $330 | — | -$330 | |
WZ wzbbbARB<$100 | Downavg 55.5¢ | $186.71 | $182.06 | -$4.65 | 49% 333-350 (683) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 47¢ | $85.51 | $182.06 | +$96.55 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 55.5¢ | $101.2 | — | -$101.2 | |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Upavg 97¢ | $172.39 | $169 | -$3.39 | 53% 297-268 (565) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Upavg 93.9¢ | $160.62 | $164.86 | +$4.24 | 52% 290-265 (555) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Upavg 83.7¢ | $126.93 | $134.28 | +$8.55 | 62% 1469-913 (2382) |
PA Papeasy | Upavg 95.3¢ | $122.71 | $128.76 | +$6.05 | 50% 3337-3291 (6628) |
AN antsaslyku | Upavg 57.7¢ | $64.67 | $112.15 | +$47.48 | 39% 512-817 (1329) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 56.7¢ | $120.61 | $100.15 | +$5.34 | 40% 268-400 (668) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 88.7¢ | $163.69 | $98.41 | -$65.28 | 52% 800-726 (1526) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Upavg 56.3¢ | $94.05 | $93 | -$1.05 | 47% 209-239 (448) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c<$100 | Upavg 70.5¢ | $74.37 | $65.16 | -$9.2 | 61% 366-233 (599) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 40.5¢ | $29.19 | $62.4 | +$34.21 | 49% 3081-3189 (6270) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 90.8¢ | $60.3 | $63.62 | +$3.31 | 65% 1284-691 (1975) |
Invested
$1,070.71
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$94
Record
45%
665-826 (1491)
Invested
$749.61
Value
$774.39
PnL
+$24.78
Record
52%
3399-3159 (6558)
Invested
$608.05
Value
$656.45
PnL
+$48.41
Record
54%
3586-3008 (6594)
Invested
$628.2
Value
$606.77
PnL
-$21.33
Record
60%
374-250 (624)
machinelearnedInvested
$463.79
Value
$600
PnL
+$136.21
Record
38%
427-698 (1125)
Invested
$673.88
Value
$545.75
PnL
-$128.13
Record
44%
435-558 (993)
Invested
$475.79
Value
$412.69
PnL
-$63.1
Record
41%
253-371 (624)
Invested
$480.54
Value
$396.59
PnL
-$83.95
Record
45%
355-435 (790)
Invested
$333.23
Value
$318.16
PnL
-$15.07
Record
51%
863-824 (1687)
Invested
$539.1
Value
—
PnL
-$539.1
Record
50%
3667-3701 (7368)
Invested
$274.4
Value
$280
PnL
+$5.6
Record
98%
1388-30 (1418)
Invested
$306.88
Value
$269.89
PnL
-$36.99
Record
23%
299-1014 (1313)
Invested
$461.13
Value
$174.05
PnL
-$287.07
Record
44%
441-571 (1012)
Both legs:
Invested
$186.71
Value
$182.06
PnL
-$4.65
Record
49%
333-350 (683)
Both legs:
Invested
$172.39
Value
$169
PnL
-$3.39
Record
53%
297-268 (565)
Invested
$160.62
Value
$164.86
PnL
+$4.24
Record
52%
290-265 (555)
Invested
$126.93
Value
$134.28
PnL
+$8.55
Record
62%
1469-913 (2382)
Invested
$122.71
Value
$128.76
PnL
+$6.05
Record
50%
3337-3291 (6628)
Invested
$64.67
Value
$112.15
PnL
+$47.48
Record
39%
512-817 (1329)
Invested
$120.61
Value
$100.15
PnL
+$5.34
Record
40%
268-400 (668)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$163.69
Value
$98.41
PnL
-$65.28
Record
52%
800-726 (1526)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$94.05
Value
$93
PnL
-$1.05
Record
47%
209-239 (448)
Invested
$74.37
Value
$65.16
PnL
-$9.2
Record
61%
366-233 (599)
Invested
$29.19
Value
$62.4
PnL
+$34.21
Record
49%
3081-3189 (6270)
Invested
$60.3
Value
$63.62
PnL
+$3.31
Record
65%
1284-691 (1975)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $1.2K
blue.birds
Up — $774.39
stepahead
Up — $656.45
Bonereaper
Up — $606.77
machinelearned
Up — $600
almach
Up — $545.75
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $412.69
CrouchPredictions
Up — $396.59
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $318.16
bosona
CTRDown — $0