Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
36
Up 64%
1 arb excluded
$3.9K
-$231.79
Smart Money Signal
24 of 36 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 99¢ | $990 | $1.0K | +$10 | 45% 665-826 (1491) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 75.3¢ | $475.62 | $541.41 | +$65.79 | 60% 374-250 (624) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 66.5¢ | $473.65 | $474.03 | +$0.38 | 54% 3586-3008 (6594) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 87.4¢ | $272.5 | $279.21 | +$7.71 | 52% 3399-3159 (6558) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c | Upavg 82¢ | $231.65 | $282.66 | +$51.01 | 61% 366-233 (599) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 83.6¢ | $243.71 | $265.78 | +$22.07 | 52% 800-726 (1526) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 86.7¢ | $252.72 | $229.34 | -$23.37 | 51% 863-824 (1687) |
 ohioism | Upavg 85.3¢ | $138.34 | $151.46 | +$17.56 | 48% 697-745 (1442) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Downavg 21.6¢ | $199.53 | — | -$198.28 | 45% 355-435 (790) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 76.8¢ | $110.79 | $130.53 | +$21.54 | 49% 333-350 (683) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100 | Downavg 24.1¢ | $168.6 | $99.97 | -$68.63 | 41% 253-371 (624) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 84.3¢ | $84.27 | $99.97 | +$15.7 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 24.1¢ | $84.33 | — | -$84.33 | |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 75.1¢ | $117.16 | $104.71 | -$12.45 | 23% 299-1014 (1313) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Upavg 60¢ | $106 | $100 | -$6 | 53% 297-268 (565) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 87.4¢ | $54.27 | $57.05 | +$2.78 | 65% 1284-691 (1975) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 79.8¢ | $58.14 | $42.94 | -$15.2 | 40% 268-400 (668) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Upavg 84.3¢ | $47.08 | $55.82 | +$8.75 | 38% 427-698 (1125) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.7¢ | $65.44 | — | -$65.44 | 50% 3667-3701 (7368) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 79.1¢ | $19.45 | $24.59 | +$5.14 | 39% 512-817 (1329) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Upavg 66.7¢ | $23.94 | $21.81 | -$2.13 | 47% 209-239 (448) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $28.49 | $19.99 | -$4.5 | 49% 3081-3189 (6270) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 96.3¢ | $24.43 | $20 | -$0.95 | 59% 895-612 (1507) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100 | Downavg 10.7¢ | $24.81 | — | -$24.81 | 52% 290-265 (555) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 82.2¢ | $14.62 | $16.87 | +$2.25 | 53% 4010-3496 (7506) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 12.2¢ | $35.73 | — | -$6.31 | 62% 1469-913 (2382) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100 | Downavg 19.8¢ | $22.03 | — | -$22.03 | 30% 270-641 (911) |
Invested
$990
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$10
Record
45%
665-826 (1491)
Invested
$475.62
Value
$541.41
PnL
+$65.79
Record
60%
374-250 (624)
Invested
$473.65
Value
$474.03
PnL
+$0.38
Record
54%
3586-3008 (6594)
Invested
$272.5
Value
$279.21
PnL
+$7.71
Record
52%
3399-3159 (6558)
Invested
$231.65
Value
$282.66
PnL
+$51.01
Record
61%
366-233 (599)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$243.71
Value
$265.78
PnL
+$22.07
Record
52%
800-726 (1526)
Invested
$252.72
Value
$229.34
PnL
-$23.37
Record
51%
863-824 (1687)
ohioismInvested
$138.34
Value
$151.46
PnL
+$17.56
Record
48%
697-745 (1442)
Invested
$199.53
Value
—
PnL
-$198.28
Record
45%
355-435 (790)
Invested
$110.79
Value
$130.53
PnL
+$21.54
Record
49%
333-350 (683)
Invested
$168.6
Value
$99.97
PnL
-$68.63
Record
41%
253-371 (624)
Both legs:
Invested
$117.16
Value
$104.71
PnL
-$12.45
Record
23%
299-1014 (1313)
Invested
$106
Value
$100
PnL
-$6
Record
53%
297-268 (565)
Invested
$54.27
Value
$57.05
PnL
+$2.78
Record
65%
1284-691 (1975)
Invested
$58.14
Value
$42.94
PnL
-$15.2
Record
40%
268-400 (668)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$47.08
Value
$55.82
PnL
+$8.75
Record
38%
427-698 (1125)
Invested
$65.44
Value
—
PnL
-$65.44
Record
50%
3667-3701 (7368)
Invested
$19.45
Value
$24.59
PnL
+$5.14
Record
39%
512-817 (1329)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$23.94
Value
$21.81
PnL
-$2.13
Record
47%
209-239 (448)
Invested
$28.49
Value
$19.99
PnL
-$4.5
Record
49%
3081-3189 (6270)
Invested
$24.43
Value
$20
PnL
-$0.95
Record
59%
895-612 (1507)
Invested
$24.81
Value
—
PnL
-$24.81
Record
52%
290-265 (555)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$14.62
Value
$16.87
PnL
+$2.25
Record
53%
4010-3496 (7506)
Invested
$35.73
Value
—
PnL
-$6.31
Record
62%
1469-913 (2382)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100Invested
$22.03
Value
—
PnL
-$22.03
Record
30%
270-641 (911)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $1.0K
Bonereaper
Up — $541.41
stepahead
Up — $474.03
blue.birds
Up — $279.21
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c
Up — $282.66
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $265.78
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $229.34
ohioism
Up — $151.46
CrouchPredictions
CTRDown — $0
wzbbb
Up — $130.53