Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 66% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Down 70%
$5.9K
-$116.85
Smart Money Signal
19 of 29 top traders (66%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$3.01 | 45% 393-471 (864) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 96.3¢ | $852.35 | $840.09 | -$12.01 | 60% 351-235 (586) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 84.7¢ | $360.53 | $367 | +$6.47 | 45% 336-405 (741) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 86.7¢ | $323.4 | $373.09 | +$49.69 | 37% 395-676 (1071) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 71.7¢ | $269.06 | $235.1 | -$33.96 | 54% 3564-2981 (6545) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 97.6¢ | $177.12 | $181.51 | +$4.39 | 35% 335-610 (945) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 86.1¢ | $120.64 | $140 | +$19.36 | 52% 759-690 (1449) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $112.74 | $114 | +$1.26 | 98% 1317-27 (1344) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 94¢ | $112.49 | $99.99 | -$12.5 | 22% 282-996 (1278) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 85¢ | $85 | $100 | +$15 | 49% 627-660 (1287) |
F9 0xf9b7...a37c<$100 | Downavg 92.9¢ | $84.98 | $91.49 | +$6.51 | — |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 95.5¢ | $77.88 | $81.51 | +$3.63 | 33% 311-632 (943) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90.7¢ | $61.84 | $68.18 | +$6.34 | 65% 1212-648 (1860) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $41.8 | $49.18 | +$7.38 | 43% 402-534 (936) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $45.6 | $40 | -$5.6 | 39% 248-383 (631) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $43.4 | $40 | -$3.4 | 41% 240-347 (587) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212CTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $27.61 | — | -$27.61 | 52% 273-256 (529) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $9.3 | $10.33 | +$1.03 | 59% 837-582 (1419) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $7.81 | $9.41 | +$1.6 | 44% 640-816 (1456) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.7¢ | $70.52 | — | -$70.52 | 52% 272-250 (522) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $65.21 | — | -$65.21 | 45% 632-786 (1418) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $3.04 | $4.22 | +$1.18 | 47% 373-414 (787) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1.66 | — | -$1.66 | 49% 3025-3129 (6154) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 61% 1366-863 (2229) |
PA PapeasyCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.57 | — | -$0.57 | 50% 3315-3276 (6591) |
Invested
$3,005
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$3.01
Record
45%
393-471 (864)
Invested
$852.35
Value
$840.09
PnL
-$12.01
Record
60%
351-235 (586)
Invested
$360.53
Value
$367
PnL
+$6.47
Record
45%
336-405 (741)
machinelearnedInvested
$323.4
Value
$373.09
PnL
+$49.69
Record
37%
395-676 (1071)
Invested
$269.06
Value
$235.1
PnL
-$33.96
Record
54%
3564-2981 (6545)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$177.12
Value
$181.51
PnL
+$4.39
Record
35%
335-610 (945)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$120.64
Value
$140
PnL
+$19.36
Record
52%
759-690 (1449)
Invested
$112.74
Value
$114
PnL
+$1.26
Record
98%
1317-27 (1344)
Invested
$112.49
Value
$99.99
PnL
-$12.5
Record
22%
282-996 (1278)
Invested
$85
Value
$100
PnL
+$15
Record
49%
627-660 (1287)
Invested
$84.98
Value
$91.49
PnL
+$6.51
Record
—
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$77.88
Value
$81.51
PnL
+$3.63
Record
33%
311-632 (943)
Invested
$61.84
Value
$68.18
PnL
+$6.34
Record
65%
1212-648 (1860)
Invested
$41.8
Value
$49.18
PnL
+$7.38
Record
43%
402-534 (936)
Invested
$45.6
Value
$40
PnL
-$5.6
Record
39%
248-383 (631)
Invested
$43.4
Value
$40
PnL
-$3.4
Record
41%
240-347 (587)
Invested
$27.61
Value
—
PnL
-$27.61
Record
52%
273-256 (529)
Invested
$9.3
Value
$10.33
PnL
+$1.03
Record
59%
837-582 (1419)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$7.81
Value
$9.41
PnL
+$1.6
Record
44%
640-816 (1456)
Invested
$70.52
Value
—
PnL
-$70.52
Record
52%
272-250 (522)
Invested
$65.21
Value
—
PnL
-$65.21
Record
45%
632-786 (1418)
Invested
$3.04
Value
$4.22
PnL
+$1.18
Record
47%
373-414 (787)
Invested
$1.66
Value
—
PnL
-$1.66
Record
49%
3025-3129 (6154)
Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
61%
1366-863 (2229)
Invested
$0.57
Value
—
PnL
-$0.57
Record
50%
3315-3276 (6591)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.0K
Bonereaper
Down — $840.09
CrouchPredictions
Down — $367
machinelearned
Down — $373.09
stepahead
Down — $235.1
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $181.51
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $140
hoodquant
Down — $114
ply-pm0
Down — $99.99
uninformedfloww
Down — $100