Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Down 65%
$4.6K
-$240.4
Smart Money Signal
18 of 27 top traders (67%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 90.7¢ | $2.2K | $2.3K | +$129.49 | 59% 326-224 (550) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 95¢ | $687.18 | $723.02 | +$35.84 | 47% 290-324 (614) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 64¢ | $381.01 | $407.01 | +$39.79 | 52% 3288-3043 (6331) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $317.79 | $321 | +$3.21 | 98% 1235-27 (1262) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 67.9¢ | $248.02 | $242.49 | -$1.48 | 22% 270-973 (1243) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 52.3¢ | $231.83 | — | -$231.83 | 44% 595-762 (1357) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 61.4¢ | $147.64 | $121.13 | -$26.5 | 54% 3536-2962 (6498) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 79.3¢ | $51.3 | $64.69 | +$13.39 | 65% 1142-605 (1747) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $48 | $60 | +$12 | 39% 233-363 (596) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 60.8¢ | $32.6 | $53.64 | +$21.04 | 48% 607-654 (1261) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $22.5 | $53.57 | +$31.07 | 49% 2975-3069 (6044) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Downavg 68.8¢ | $66.98 | $52 | -$9.78 | 47% 177-201 (378) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.9¢ | $69.36 | — | -$69.36 | 53% 728-635 (1363) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Upavg 40.1¢ | $60.73 | — | -$60.73 | 36% 371-646 (1017) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $44.5 | $40 | +$3.5 | 42% 230-322 (552) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $36.27 | $39 | +$2.73 | 75% 441-144 (585) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Upavg 31.9¢ | $113.88 | — | -$113.88 | 46% 320-374 (694) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $18 | $35 | +$17.6 | 61% 1274-816 (2090) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212CTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $19.05 | — | -$19.05 | 51% 259-244 (503) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $11.79 | $14.74 | +$2.95 | 59% 788-556 (1344) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $15 | — | -$15 | 39% 452-721 (1173) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $12.84 | $17.12 | +$4.28 | 57% 4135-3098 (7233) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.9¢ | $2.69 | — | -$2.69 | 34% 291-563 (854) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $0.97 | $1.23 | +$0.26 | 28% 238-607 (845) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.1¢ | $19.54 | — | -$4.33 | 58% 1179-851 (2030) |
Invested
$2,179.28
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$129.49
Record
59%
326-224 (550)
Invested
$687.18
Value
$723.02
PnL
+$35.84
Record
47%
290-324 (614)
Invested
$381.01
Value
$407.01
PnL
+$39.79
Record
52%
3288-3043 (6331)
Invested
$317.79
Value
$321
PnL
+$3.21
Record
98%
1235-27 (1262)
Invested
$248.02
Value
$242.49
PnL
-$1.48
Record
22%
270-973 (1243)
Invested
$231.83
Value
—
PnL
-$231.83
Record
44%
595-762 (1357)
Invested
$147.64
Value
$121.13
PnL
-$26.5
Record
54%
3536-2962 (6498)
Invested
$51.3
Value
$64.69
PnL
+$13.39
Record
65%
1142-605 (1747)
Invested
$48
Value
$60
PnL
+$12
Record
39%
233-363 (596)
ohioism<$100Invested
$32.6
Value
$53.64
PnL
+$21.04
Record
48%
607-654 (1261)
Invested
$22.5
Value
$53.57
PnL
+$31.07
Record
49%
2975-3069 (6044)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$66.98
Value
$52
PnL
-$9.78
Record
47%
177-201 (378)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$69.36
Value
—
PnL
-$69.36
Record
53%
728-635 (1363)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$60.73
Value
—
PnL
-$60.73
Record
36%
371-646 (1017)
Invested
$44.5
Value
$40
PnL
+$3.5
Record
42%
230-322 (552)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$36.27
Value
$39
PnL
+$2.73
Record
75%
441-144 (585)
Invested
$113.88
Value
—
PnL
-$113.88
Record
46%
320-374 (694)
Invested
$18
Value
$35
PnL
+$17.6
Record
61%
1274-816 (2090)
Invested
$19.05
Value
—
PnL
-$19.05
Record
51%
259-244 (503)
Invested
$11.79
Value
$14.74
PnL
+$2.95
Record
59%
788-556 (1344)
Invested
$15
Value
—
PnL
-$15
Record
39%
452-721 (1173)
Invested
$12.84
Value
$17.12
PnL
+$4.28
Record
57%
4135-3098 (7233)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.69
Value
—
PnL
-$2.69
Record
34%
291-563 (854)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100Invested
$0.97
Value
$1.23
PnL
+$0.26
Record
28%
238-607 (845)
Invested
$19.54
Value
—
PnL
-$4.33
Record
58%
1179-851 (2030)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $2.3K
wzbbb
Down — $723.02
blue.birds
Down — $407.01
hoodquant
Down — $321
ply-pm0
Down — $242.49
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
stepahead
Down — $121.13
asdaefef
Down — $64.69
GoodFallen
Down — $60
ohioism
Down — $53.64