Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Down 54%
$4.1K
-$475.28
Smart Money Signal
14 of 26 top traders (54%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 96.6¢ | $2.3K | $2.4K | +$75.99 | 59% 326-224 (550) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 81.9¢ | $456.1 | $421.42 | +$0.6 | 52% 3288-3043 (6331) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $342.51 | $349.5 | +$6.99 | 98% 1235-27 (1262) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Upavg 30.5¢ | $211.9 | — | -$211.9 | 46% 320-374 (694) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 70.4¢ | $266.11 | $278.55 | +$26.39 | 42% 230-322 (552) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 74.9¢ | $272.64 | $234.69 | -$37.95 | 54% 3536-2962 (6498) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 98¢ | $136.85 | $104.59 | -$32.26 | 22% 270-973 (1243) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 94.4¢ | $68.11 | $72.16 | +$4.05 | 65% 1142-605 (1747) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Upavg 33.6¢ | $119.81 | — | -$119.81 | 53% 728-635 (1363) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 58.9¢ | $29.68 | $50.43 | +$20.75 | 39% 452-721 (1173) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $65.89 | $50 | -$15.89 | 49% 2975-3069 (6044) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Upavg 43.9¢ | $114.25 | — | -$114.25 | 39% 233-363 (596) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 68.7¢ | $44.65 | $65 | +$20.35 | 44% 594-770 (1364) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $26.91 | — | -$26.91 | 53% 3975-3465 (7440) |
 OhioAICTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $12.74 | — | -$12.74 | 47% 177-201 (378) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 79.5¢ | $8.75 | $11 | +$2.25 | 59% 788-556 (1344) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 46.8¢ | $9.45 | — | -$9.45 | 58% 1179-851 (2030) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $12.2 | $20 | +$7.8 | 47% 290-324 (614) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.5¢ | $15.74 | — | -$15.74 | 48% 352-387 (739) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $8.4 | — | -$8.4 | 28% 238-607 (845) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $9.68 | — | -$9.68 | 34% 291-563 (854) |
PA PapeasyCTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 50% 3298-3262 (6560) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $4.56 | $4.85 | +$0.29 | 36% 371-646 (1017) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $3.29 | $3.43 | +$0.14 | 42% 378-516 (894) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.8¢ | $22.7 | — | -$22.7 | 37% 318-539 (857) |
Invested
$2,321.21
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$75.99
Record
59%
326-224 (550)
Invested
$456.1
Value
$421.42
PnL
+$0.6
Record
52%
3288-3043 (6331)
Invested
$342.51
Value
$349.5
PnL
+$6.99
Record
98%
1235-27 (1262)
Invested
$211.9
Value
—
PnL
-$211.9
Record
46%
320-374 (694)
Invested
$266.11
Value
$278.55
PnL
+$26.39
Record
42%
230-322 (552)
Invested
$272.64
Value
$234.69
PnL
-$37.95
Record
54%
3536-2962 (6498)
Invested
$136.85
Value
$104.59
PnL
-$32.26
Record
22%
270-973 (1243)
Invested
$68.11
Value
$72.16
PnL
+$4.05
Record
65%
1142-605 (1747)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$119.81
Value
—
PnL
-$119.81
Record
53%
728-635 (1363)
Invested
$29.68
Value
$50.43
PnL
+$20.75
Record
39%
452-721 (1173)
Invested
$65.89
Value
$50
PnL
-$15.89
Record
49%
2975-3069 (6044)
Invested
$114.25
Value
—
PnL
-$114.25
Record
39%
233-363 (596)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$44.65
Value
$65
PnL
+$20.35
Record
44%
594-770 (1364)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$26.91
Value
—
PnL
-$26.91
Record
53%
3975-3465 (7440)
OhioAICTR<$100Invested
$12.74
Value
—
PnL
-$12.74
Record
47%
177-201 (378)
Invested
$8.75
Value
$11
PnL
+$2.25
Record
59%
788-556 (1344)
Invested
$9.45
Value
—
PnL
-$9.45
Record
58%
1179-851 (2030)
Invested
$12.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$7.8
Record
47%
290-324 (614)
Invested
$15.74
Value
—
PnL
-$15.74
Record
48%
352-387 (739)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100Invested
$8.4
Value
—
PnL
-$8.4
Record
28%
238-607 (845)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$9.68
Value
—
PnL
-$9.68
Record
34%
291-563 (854)
Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
50%
3298-3262 (6560)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$4.56
Value
$4.85
PnL
+$0.29
Record
36%
371-646 (1017)
Invested
$3.29
Value
$3.43
PnL
+$0.14
Record
42%
378-516 (894)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$22.7
Value
—
PnL
-$22.7
Record
37%
318-539 (857)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $2.4K
blue.birds
Down — $421.42
hoodquant
Down — $349.5
CrouchPredictions
CTRUp — $0
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $278.55
stepahead
Down — $234.69
ply-pm0
Down — $104.59
asdaefef
Down — $72.16
Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp — $0
antsaslyku
Down — $50.43