Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
34
Up 62%
2 arb excluded
$7.3K
$-1.7K
Smart Money Signal
21 of 34 top traders (62%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$10.45 | 98% 1113-24 (1137) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Downavg 40.2¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | 47% 297-333 (630) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 59.6¢ | $763.92 | $828.53 | +$64.62 | 52% 3206-2981 (6187) |
ST stepaheadCTR | Downavg 44.2¢ | $796.08 | — | -$796.08 | 54% 3503-2930 (6433) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 98.4¢ | $797.49 | $789.33 | -$8.16 | 43% 533-713 (1246) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 44.7¢ | $577.72 | $661.78 | +$84.06 | 42% 213-290 (503) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 49.6¢ | $597.64 | $664.17 | +$66.53 | 59% 292-207 (499) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 68.5¢ | $767.34 | $500 | -$158.8 | 42% 340-478 (818) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 38.3¢ | $162 | $423.35 | +$261.35 | 49% 562-580 (1142) |
AL almach | Upavg 73.7¢ | $418.49 | $366.27 | -$52.22 | 43% 341-461 (802) |
 machinelearnedARB<$100 | Downavg 61.9¢ | $607.62 | $200 | -$407.62 | 35% 335-614 (949) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 61.9¢ | $486.62 | — | -$486.62 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 60.5¢ | $121 | $200 | +$79 | |
 G-Penis-Monster | Upavg 39¢ | $118.92 | $304.99 | +$186.07 | 44% 550-695 (1245) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Upavg 38¢ | $117.63 | $259.18 | +$141.55 | 46% 537-642 (1179) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Downavg 55.8¢ | $187.9 | — | -$187.9 | 39% 213-334 (547) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 56.1¢ | $119.53 | $181.88 | +$68.73 | 45% 257-310 (567) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Upavg 62.8¢ | $165.38 | $145.44 | -$19.93 | 53% 238-213 (451) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212ARB<$100 | Downavg 84.5¢ | $141.37 | $195.56 | +$54.19 | 53% 243-215 (458) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 35.6¢ | $69.56 | $195.56 | +$126.01 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 84.5¢ | $71.82 | — | -$71.82 | |
38 38791873984189CTR | Downavg 48¢ | $108.89 | — | -$108.89 | 48% 859-937 (1796) |
BO bosonaCTR | Downavg 83¢ | $129.79 | — | -$129.79 | 50% 3566-3609 (7175) |
 ohioism | Upavg 46.5¢ | $53.08 | $114.28 | +$61.2 | 48% 559-599 (1158) |
PB PBot-5 | Upavg 41.9¢ | $76.1 | $140 | +$63.9 | 47% 319-357 (676) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Downavg 50.8¢ | $125.39 | — | -$125.39 | 21% 248-946 (1194) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $64.44 | $90.85 | +$26.41 | 38% 415-663 (1078) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 39¢ | $58.5 | $150 | +$91.5 | 76% 403-129 (532) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 57.9¢ | $39.68 | $68.54 | +$28.86 | 61% 1159-747 (1906) |
Invested
$1,034.54
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$10.45
Record
98%
1113-24 (1137)
Invested
$1,081.74
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
47%
297-333 (630)
Invested
$763.92
Value
$828.53
PnL
+$64.62
Record
52%
3206-2981 (6187)
Invested
$796.08
Value
—
PnL
-$796.08
Record
54%
3503-2930 (6433)
Invested
$797.49
Value
$789.33
PnL
-$8.16
Record
43%
533-713 (1246)
Invested
$577.72
Value
$661.78
PnL
+$84.06
Record
42%
213-290 (503)
Invested
$597.64
Value
$664.17
PnL
+$66.53
Record
59%
292-207 (499)
Invested
$767.34
Value
$500
PnL
-$158.8
Record
42%
340-478 (818)
Invested
$162
Value
$423.35
PnL
+$261.35
Record
49%
562-580 (1142)
Invested
$418.49
Value
$366.27
PnL
-$52.22
Record
43%
341-461 (802)
machinelearnedARB<$100Invested
$607.62
Value
$200
PnL
-$407.62
Record
35%
335-614 (949)
Both legs:
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$118.92
Value
$304.99
PnL
+$186.07
Record
44%
550-695 (1245)
Invested
$117.63
Value
$259.18
PnL
+$141.55
Record
46%
537-642 (1179)
Invested
$187.9
Value
—
PnL
-$187.9
Record
39%
213-334 (547)
Invested
$119.53
Value
$181.88
PnL
+$68.73
Record
45%
257-310 (567)
Invested
$165.38
Value
$145.44
PnL
-$19.93
Record
53%
238-213 (451)
Invested
$141.37
Value
$195.56
PnL
+$54.19
Record
53%
243-215 (458)
Both legs:
Invested
$108.89
Value
—
PnL
-$108.89
Record
48%
859-937 (1796)
Invested
$129.79
Value
—
PnL
-$129.79
Record
50%
3566-3609 (7175)
ohioismInvested
$53.08
Value
$114.28
PnL
+$61.2
Record
48%
559-599 (1158)
Invested
$76.1
Value
$140
PnL
+$63.9
Record
47%
319-357 (676)
Invested
$125.39
Value
—
PnL
-$125.39
Record
21%
248-946 (1194)
Invested
$64.44
Value
$90.85
PnL
+$26.41
Record
38%
415-663 (1078)
BoneOhioInvested
$58.5
Value
$150
PnL
+$91.5
Record
76%
403-129 (532)
Invested
$39.68
Value
$68.54
PnL
+$28.86
Record
61%
1159-747 (1906)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.0K
CrouchPredictions
CTRDown — $0
blue.birds
Up — $828.53
stepahead
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $789.33
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $661.78
Bonereaper
Up — $664.17
mo-money
Up — $500
uninformedfloww
Up — $423.35
almach
Up — $366.27