Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
32
Down 90%
$14.3K
$-2.1K
Smart Money Signal
29 of 32 top traders (91%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$35 | 76% 403-129 (532) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 91.1¢ | $1.8K | $2.0K | +$174.25 | 59% 292-207 (499) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.4¢ | $1.8K | $1.8K | +$46.25 | 98% 1113-24 (1137) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $831.96 | $1.6K | +$811.15 | 43% 533-713 (1246) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 72.2¢ | $550.41 | $750 | +$199.59 | 35% 335-614 (949) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 64.2¢ | $457.45 | $526.16 | +$68.71 | 53% 662-577 (1239) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 56¢ | $302.29 | $500 | +$197.71 | 42% 340-478 (818) |
AL almach | Downavg 55¢ | $299.03 | $500 | +$200.97 | 43% 341-461 (802) |
BO bosona | Downavg 56¢ | $297.33 | $500 | +$202.67 | 50% 3566-3609 (7175) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 61.2¢ | $407.31 | $490.67 | +$83.36 | 54% 3503-2930 (6433) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 54.3¢ | $267.35 | $302.48 | +$35.13 | 53% 238-213 (451) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 52.5¢ | $207.06 | $300 | +$92.94 | 21% 248-946 (1194) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Downavg 52.3¢ | $237.58 | $295.59 | +$58 | 53% 243-215 (458) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 72.2¢ | $270.66 | $285.18 | +$14.52 | 52% 3206-2981 (6187) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 75.2¢ | $195.4 | $176.98 | -$18.43 | 42% 213-290 (503) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 77.1¢ | $117.16 | $152 | +$34.84 | 53% 699-627 (1326) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 84.4¢ | $102.4 | $121.28 | +$18.88 | 45% 257-310 (567) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 93.5¢ | $101.73 | $108.8 | +$7.08 | 35% 261-484 (745) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 74.9¢ | $116.14 | $89.98 | -$26.16 | 39% 213-334 (547) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 78.6¢ | $58.62 | $74.55 | +$15.93 | 38% 277-461 (738) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 79.3¢ | $37.7 | $47.52 | +$9.82 | 65% 1039-555 (1594) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $21.71 | $34.36 | +$12.65 | 61% 1159-747 (1906) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $32.34 | $28.04 | -$4.3 | 46% 154-183 (337) |
PA Papeasy<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $13.54 | $26.04 | +$12.5 | 50% 3275-3239 (6514) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 50.9¢ | $14.76 | $24.26 | +$9.51 | 46% 537-642 (1179) |
BoneOhioInvested
$3,465
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$35
Record
76%
403-129 (532)
Invested
$1,790.01
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$174.25
Record
59%
292-207 (499)
Invested
$1,763.74
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$46.25
Record
98%
1113-24 (1137)
Invested
$831.96
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$811.15
Record
43%
533-713 (1246)
machinelearnedInvested
$550.41
Value
$750
PnL
+$199.59
Record
35%
335-614 (949)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$457.45
Value
$526.16
PnL
+$68.71
Record
53%
662-577 (1239)
Invested
$302.29
Value
$500
PnL
+$197.71
Record
42%
340-478 (818)
Invested
$299.03
Value
$500
PnL
+$200.97
Record
43%
341-461 (802)
Invested
$297.33
Value
$500
PnL
+$202.67
Record
50%
3566-3609 (7175)
Invested
$407.31
Value
$490.67
PnL
+$83.36
Record
54%
3503-2930 (6433)
Invested
$267.35
Value
$302.48
PnL
+$35.13
Record
53%
238-213 (451)
Invested
$207.06
Value
$300
PnL
+$92.94
Record
21%
248-946 (1194)
Invested
$237.58
Value
$295.59
PnL
+$58
Record
53%
243-215 (458)
Invested
$270.66
Value
$285.18
PnL
+$14.52
Record
52%
3206-2981 (6187)
Invested
$195.4
Value
$176.98
PnL
-$18.43
Record
42%
213-290 (503)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$117.16
Value
$152
PnL
+$34.84
Record
53%
699-627 (1326)
Invested
$102.4
Value
$121.28
PnL
+$18.88
Record
45%
257-310 (567)
pspspsps5Invested
$101.73
Value
$108.8
PnL
+$7.08
Record
35%
261-484 (745)
Invested
$116.14
Value
$89.98
PnL
-$26.16
Record
39%
213-334 (547)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$58.62
Value
$74.55
PnL
+$15.93
Record
38%
277-461 (738)
Invested
$37.7
Value
$47.52
PnL
+$9.82
Record
65%
1039-555 (1594)
Invested
$21.71
Value
$34.36
PnL
+$12.65
Record
61%
1159-747 (1906)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$32.34
Value
$28.04
PnL
-$4.3
Record
46%
154-183 (337)
Invested
$13.54
Value
$26.04
PnL
+$12.5
Record
50%
3275-3239 (6514)
Invested
$14.76
Value
$24.26
PnL
+$9.51
Record
46%
537-642 (1179)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Down — $3.5K
Bonereaper
Down — $2.0K
hoodquant
Down — $1.8K
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $1.6K
machinelearned
Down — $750
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $526.16
mo-money
Down — $500
almach
Down — $500
bosona
Down — $500
stepahead
Down — $490.67