Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
38
Down 62%
$27.3K
$3.2K
Smart Money Signal
23 of 38 top traders (61%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BI bigbeliever | Downavg 74.8¢ | $13.2K | $17.6K | +$4.4K | 75% 15-5 (20) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $2.5K | $2.5K | +$25.48 | 77% 386-114 (500) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 89.8¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$7.93 | 59% 279-195 (474) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 78.6¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K | +$68 | 47% 282-317 (599) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 77.9¢ | $764.35 | $772.94 | +$8.59 | 52% 3162-2947 (6109) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $574.66 | $580.46 | +$5.8 | 98% 1050-22 (1072) |
ST stepahead | Downavg 71.1¢ | $527.6 | $558.33 | +$30.73 | 54% 3478-2923 (6401) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Downavg 83¢ | $685.71 | $539.05 | -$146.67 | 53% 232-203 (435) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 47.2¢ | $301.42 | $528.63 | +$227.21 | 43% 498-671 (1169) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 78.5¢ | $550.9 | $495.1 | -$55.81 | 42% 199-280 (479) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 95.4¢ | $283.49 | $194.36 | -$88.83 | 54% 632-542 (1174) |
AL almach | Downavg 78.8¢ | $361.46 | $160.66 | -$79.83 | 41% 315-447 (762) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 70.2¢ | $140.85 | $123.11 | -$11.73 | 45% 246-297 (543) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 77.3¢ | $116.21 | $120 | +$3.79 | 38% 197-326 (523) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 93¢ | $181.53 | $114.59 | -$66.94 | 35% 317-601 (918) |
AS asdaefef | Downavg 97.6¢ | $108.2 | $101 | -$7.2 | 65% 993-525 (1518) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100 | Downavg 63.5¢ | $53.81 | $83.17 | +$29.36 | 53% 226-203 (429) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 48.3¢ | $34.35 | $71.14 | +$36.8 | 48% 802-884 (1686) |
BO bosonaCTR | Upavg 24.6¢ | $199.41 | — | -$199.41 | 50% 3547-3589 (7136) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 79.3¢ | $31.7 | $40 | +$8.3 | 53% 3944-3431 (7375) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Downavg 75.5¢ | $112.3 | $39.01 | +$5.25 | 61% 1101-706 (1807) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 64.1¢ | $24.91 | $38.79 | +$13.88 | 38% 395-633 (1028) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $22.97 | $27.35 | +$4.38 | 57% 4059-3065 (7124) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 87.9¢ | $26.94 | $17.05 | -$0.44 | 58% 690-506 (1196) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.5¢ | $36.92 | — | -$36.92 | 49% 532-558 (1090) |
Invested
$13,176.6
Value
$17.6K
PnL
+$4.4K
Record
75%
15-5 (20)
BoneOhioInvested
$2,522.75
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$25.48
Record
77%
386-114 (500)
Invested
$1,318.83
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$7.93
Record
59%
279-195 (474)
Invested
$1,184.92
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$68
Record
47%
282-317 (599)
Invested
$764.35
Value
$772.94
PnL
+$8.59
Record
52%
3162-2947 (6109)
Invested
$574.66
Value
$580.46
PnL
+$5.8
Record
98%
1050-22 (1072)
Invested
$527.6
Value
$558.33
PnL
+$30.73
Record
54%
3478-2923 (6401)
Invested
$685.71
Value
$539.05
PnL
-$146.67
Record
53%
232-203 (435)
Invested
$301.42
Value
$528.63
PnL
+$227.21
Record
43%
498-671 (1169)
Invested
$550.9
Value
$495.1
PnL
-$55.81
Record
42%
199-280 (479)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$283.49
Value
$194.36
PnL
-$88.83
Record
54%
632-542 (1174)
Invested
$361.46
Value
$160.66
PnL
-$79.83
Record
41%
315-447 (762)
Invested
$140.85
Value
$123.11
PnL
-$11.73
Record
45%
246-297 (543)
Invested
$116.21
Value
$120
PnL
+$3.79
Record
38%
197-326 (523)
machinelearnedInvested
$181.53
Value
$114.59
PnL
-$66.94
Record
35%
317-601 (918)
Invested
$108.2
Value
$101
PnL
-$7.2
Record
65%
993-525 (1518)
Invested
$53.81
Value
$83.17
PnL
+$29.36
Record
53%
226-203 (429)
Invested
$34.35
Value
$71.14
PnL
+$36.8
Record
48%
802-884 (1686)
Invested
$199.41
Value
—
PnL
-$199.41
Record
50%
3547-3589 (7136)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$31.7
Value
$40
PnL
+$8.3
Record
53%
3944-3431 (7375)
Invested
$112.3
Value
$39.01
PnL
+$5.25
Record
61%
1101-706 (1807)
Invested
$24.91
Value
$38.79
PnL
+$13.88
Record
38%
395-633 (1028)
Invested
$22.97
Value
$27.35
PnL
+$4.38
Record
57%
4059-3065 (7124)
Invested
$26.94
Value
$17.05
PnL
-$0.44
Record
58%
690-506 (1196)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$36.92
Value
—
PnL
-$36.92
Record
49%
532-558 (1090)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
bigbeliever
Down — $17.6K
BoneOhio
Down — $2.5K
Bonereaper
Down — $1.3K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $1.3K
blue.birds
Down — $772.94
hoodquant
Down — $580.46
stepahead
Down — $558.33
0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212
Down — $539.05
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $528.63
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $495.1