Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
36
Up 88%
$12.7K
-$861.06
Smart Money Signal
31 of 36 top traders (86%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $4.4K | $4.4K | +$4.37 | 44% 293-379 (672) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 92¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$52.83 | 58% 270-192 (462) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 94.5¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | -$54.38 | 47% 276-307 (583) |
PB PBot-5 | Upavg 53.3¢ | $463.34 | $869.44 | +$406.1 | 47% 277-315 (592) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.6¢ | $856 | $867.99 | +$11.99 | 98% 1022-21 (1043) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 77.7¢ | $385.52 | $425.42 | +$39.9 | 54% 3468-2917 (6385) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 30.8¢ | $1.3K | — | $-1.3K | 42% 484-660 (1144) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 97.7¢ | $322.11 | $314.07 | -$8.04 | 66% 969-510 (1479) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 82.4¢ | $245.2 | $297.39 | +$52.19 | 34% 304-598 (902) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 97.2¢ | $397.06 | $290.01 | -$68.06 | 54% 617-523 (1140) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Upavg 69.7¢ | $202.32 | $290.32 | +$88 | 54% 227-197 (424) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 77¢ | $255.81 | $258.38 | +$2.57 | 42% 195-272 (467) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 78.4¢ | $191.88 | $244.78 | +$52.9 | 78% 380-110 (490) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 80.5¢ | $177 | $220 | +$43 | 49% 505-518 (1023) |
BO bosona | Upavg 98¢ | $231.81 | $192.54 | -$39.27 | 50% 3533-3574 (7107) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 84.3¢ | $193.2 | $162.81 | -$30.39 | 45% 240-291 (531) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Upavg 94¢ | $277.39 | $155 | +$5.92 | 61% 1075-686 (1761) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Upavg 71¢ | $92.96 | $121.41 | +$28.45 | 52% 219-200 (419) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 95¢ | $96.89 | $102.02 | +$5.12 | 36% 242-429 (671) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 95.1¢ | $95.06 | $100 | +$4.94 | 53% 650-579 (1229) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $79.24 | $78.22 | -$1.02 | 40% 302-444 (746) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 94.7¢ | $108.03 | $79.75 | +$2.66 | 37% 241-404 (645) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 77.8¢ | $46.7 | $60 | +$13.3 | 44% 497-632 (1129) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $40.5 | $50 | +$9.5 | 53% 675-591 (1266) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 77.5¢ | $38.75 | $50 | +$11.25 | 45% 480-591 (1071) |
Invested
$4,369.6
Value
$4.4K
PnL
+$4.37
Record
44%
293-379 (672)
Invested
$1,561.69
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$52.83
Record
58%
270-192 (462)
Invested
$1,420.49
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$54.38
Record
47%
276-307 (583)
Invested
$463.34
Value
$869.44
PnL
+$406.1
Record
47%
277-315 (592)
Invested
$856
Value
$867.99
PnL
+$11.99
Record
98%
1022-21 (1043)
Invested
$385.52
Value
$425.42
PnL
+$39.9
Record
54%
3468-2917 (6385)
Invested
$1,330.27
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
42%
484-660 (1144)
Invested
$322.11
Value
$314.07
PnL
-$8.04
Record
66%
969-510 (1479)
machinelearnedInvested
$245.2
Value
$297.39
PnL
+$52.19
Record
34%
304-598 (902)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$397.06
Value
$290.01
PnL
-$68.06
Record
54%
617-523 (1140)
Invested
$202.32
Value
$290.32
PnL
+$88
Record
54%
227-197 (424)
Invested
$255.81
Value
$258.38
PnL
+$2.57
Record
42%
195-272 (467)
BoneOhioInvested
$191.88
Value
$244.78
PnL
+$52.9
Record
78%
380-110 (490)
Invested
$177
Value
$220
PnL
+$43
Record
49%
505-518 (1023)
Invested
$231.81
Value
$192.54
PnL
-$39.27
Record
50%
3533-3574 (7107)
Invested
$193.2
Value
$162.81
PnL
-$30.39
Record
45%
240-291 (531)
Invested
$277.39
Value
$155
PnL
+$5.92
Record
61%
1075-686 (1761)
Invested
$92.96
Value
$121.41
PnL
+$28.45
Record
52%
219-200 (419)
pspspsps5Invested
$96.89
Value
$102.02
PnL
+$5.12
Record
36%
242-429 (671)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$95.06
Value
$100
PnL
+$4.94
Record
53%
650-579 (1229)
Invested
$79.24
Value
$78.22
PnL
-$1.02
Record
40%
302-444 (746)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$108.03
Value
$79.75
PnL
+$2.66
Record
37%
241-404 (645)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$46.7
Value
$60
PnL
+$13.3
Record
44%
497-632 (1129)
Invested
$40.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$9.5
Record
53%
675-591 (1266)
Invested
$38.75
Value
$50
PnL
+$11.25
Record
45%
480-591 (1071)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $4.4K
Bonereaper
Up — $1.6K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $1.4K
PBot-5
Up — $869.44
hoodquant
Up — $867.99
stepahead
Up — $425.42
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
Up — $314.07
machinelearned
Up — $297.39
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $290.01