Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
35
Down 80%
$7.4K
-$495.87
Smart Money Signal
28 of 35 top traders (80%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | -$7.19 | 42% 261-355 (616) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 83.3¢ | $846.79 | $801.35 | -$45.44 | 58% 249-180 (429) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 99.5¢ | $854.33 | $793.92 | -$60.41 | 39% 265-413 (678) |
BO bosona | Downavg 99.1¢ | $656.61 | $500 | -$156.61 | 50% 3498-3542 (7040) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 68.8¢ | $381.08 | $296.33 | -$84.75 | 41% 180-254 (434) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 71.8¢ | $317.24 | $284.29 | -$32.95 | 47% 258-286 (544) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 56.8¢ | $193.22 | $254.62 | +$61.4 | 52% 3094-2872 (5966) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 67.8¢ | $240.1 | $204.28 | -$35.82 | 38% 181-297 (478) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 67.6¢ | $190.36 | $213.14 | +$22.78 | 32% 278-586 (864) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 65¢ | $153.1 | $146.84 | -$6.26 | 19% 213-915 (1128) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 69.1¢ | $198.43 | $144.79 | -$53.65 | 44% 222-279 (501) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 67.8¢ | $129.67 | $148.32 | +$18.65 | 49% 2783-2896 (5679) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 64.1¢ | $160.76 | $139.18 | -$6.78 | 53% 635-552 (1187) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.7¢ | $83.48 | — | -$83.48 | 79% 359-97 (456) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 82.6¢ | $84.89 | $61.88 | +$15.21 | 54% 566-490 (1056) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 71.6¢ | $36.3 | $35 | -$1.3 | 61% 992-638 (1630) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $38.8 | $40.84 | +$2.04 | 57% 4025-3043 (7068) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Downavg 69.6¢ | $37.5 | $39.38 | +$11.19 | 44% 126-161 (287) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $34.29 | $44.53 | +$10.24 | 51% 197-190 (387) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $31.64 | $35 | +$3.36 | 44% 454-583 (1037) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $30.05 | $40 | +$9.95 | 49% 467-490 (957) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $30 | $40 | +$10 | 38% 357-573 (930) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $15 | $30 | +$15 | 25% 186-563 (749) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 70.6¢ | $27.37 | $38.76 | +$11.39 | 65% 895-482 (1377) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $14.69 | $29.99 | +$15.29 | 53% 3920-3411 (7331) |
Invested
$3,015.2
Value
$3.0K
PnL
-$7.19
Record
42%
261-355 (616)
Invested
$846.79
Value
$801.35
PnL
-$45.44
Record
58%
249-180 (429)
Invested
$854.33
Value
$793.92
PnL
-$60.41
Record
39%
265-413 (678)
Invested
$656.61
Value
$500
PnL
-$156.61
Record
50%
3498-3542 (7040)
Invested
$381.08
Value
$296.33
PnL
-$84.75
Record
41%
180-254 (434)
Invested
$317.24
Value
$284.29
PnL
-$32.95
Record
47%
258-286 (544)
Invested
$193.22
Value
$254.62
PnL
+$61.4
Record
52%
3094-2872 (5966)
Invested
$240.1
Value
$204.28
PnL
-$35.82
Record
38%
181-297 (478)
machinelearnedInvested
$190.36
Value
$213.14
PnL
+$22.78
Record
32%
278-586 (864)
Invested
$153.1
Value
$146.84
PnL
-$6.26
Record
19%
213-915 (1128)
Invested
$198.43
Value
$144.79
PnL
-$53.65
Record
44%
222-279 (501)
Invested
$129.67
Value
$148.32
PnL
+$18.65
Record
49%
2783-2896 (5679)
Invested
$160.76
Value
$139.18
PnL
-$6.78
Record
53%
635-552 (1187)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$83.48
Value
—
PnL
-$83.48
Record
79%
359-97 (456)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$84.89
Value
$61.88
PnL
+$15.21
Record
54%
566-490 (1056)
Invested
$36.3
Value
$35
PnL
-$1.3
Record
61%
992-638 (1630)
Invested
$38.8
Value
$40.84
PnL
+$2.04
Record
57%
4025-3043 (7068)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$37.5
Value
$39.38
PnL
+$11.19
Record
44%
126-161 (287)
Invested
$34.29
Value
$44.53
PnL
+$10.24
Record
51%
197-190 (387)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$31.64
Value
$35
PnL
+$3.36
Record
44%
454-583 (1037)
ohioism<$100Invested
$30.05
Value
$40
PnL
+$9.95
Record
49%
467-490 (957)
Invested
$30
Value
$40
PnL
+$10
Record
38%
357-573 (930)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100Invested
$15
Value
$30
PnL
+$15
Record
25%
186-563 (749)
Invested
$27.37
Value
$38.76
PnL
+$11.39
Record
65%
895-482 (1377)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$14.69
Value
$29.99
PnL
+$15.29
Record
53%
3920-3411 (7331)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.0K
Bonereaper
Down — $801.35
mo-money
Down — $793.92
bosona
Down — $500
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $296.33
CrouchPredictions
Down — $284.29
blue.birds
Down — $254.62
GoodFallen
Down — $204.28
machinelearned
Down — $213.14
ply-pm0
Down — $146.84