Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 60%

9 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

-$235.12

Smart Money Signal

9 of 16 top traders (56%)9 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares746

Combined PnL-$344.67

Down7 traders

Total Value$283.54

Total Shares284

Combined PnL+$109.56

Up — 56%Down — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO BonereaperARB<$100	Upavg 40.2¢	$282.15	$240.99	-$41.16	58% 249-180 (429)
└ Up leg	Upavg 40.2¢	$146.43	—	-$146.43
└ Down leg	Downavg 56.3¢	$135.71	$240.99	+$105.27
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100	Upavg 37.1¢	$210.95	$158.03	-$52.92	41% 180-254 (434)
└ Up leg	Upavg 37.1¢	$122.56	—	-$122.56
└ Down leg	Downavg 55.9¢	$88.38	$158.03	+$69.64
CR CrouchPredictionsARB<$100	Downavg 60.1¢	$221.24	$248.16	+$26.91	47% 258-286 (544)
└ Down leg	Downavg 60.1¢	$149.13	$248.16	+$99.03
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.9¢	$72.11	—	-$72.11
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Downavg 57.5¢	$134.12	$151.71	+$17.59	54% 566-490 (1056)
└ Down leg	Downavg 57.5¢	$87.19	$151.71	+$64.52
└ Up leg	Upavg 33.7¢	$46.93	—	-$46.93
BL blue.birdsARB<$100	Upavg 48.8¢	$144.28	$112.27	-$32.01	52% 3094-2872 (5966)
└ Up leg	Upavg 48.8¢	$76.83	—	-$76.83
└ Down leg	Downavg 60.1¢	$67.45	$112.27	+$44.82
10 1000monkeysARB<$100	Downavg 55.3¢	$126.88	$142.21	+$15.34	53% 332-291 (623)
└ Down leg	Downavg 55.3¢	$78.64	$142.21	+$63.57
└ Up leg	Upavg 45.7¢	$48.23	—	-$48.23
PL ply-pm0ARB<$100	Downavg 54.6¢	$107.33	$127.72	+$20.4	19% 213-915 (1128)
└ Down leg	Downavg 54.6¢	$69.69	$127.72	+$58.03
└ Up leg	Upavg 38.8¢	$37.63	—	-$37.63
BO bosonaCTR<$100	Upavg 45¢	$90.99	—	-$90.99	50% 3498-3542 (7040)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$98	—	-$98	48% 752-814 (1566)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 50¢	$81.1	$162.2	+$81.1	41% 438-624 (1062)
GO GoodFallenARB<$100	Upavg 39.9¢	$61.75	$45.69	-$16.06	38% 181-297 (478)
└ Up leg	Upavg 39.9¢	$31.14	—	-$31.14
└ Down leg	Downavg 67¢	$30.62	$45.69	+$15.07
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212CTR<$100	Upavg 48.4¢	$59.7	—	-$59.7	54% 212-181 (393)
WZ wzbbbARB<$100	Downavg 62.5¢	$49.3	$45.63	-$3.68	44% 222-279 (501)
└ Down leg	Downavg 62.5¢	$28.5	$45.63	+$17.13
└ Up leg	Upavg 44.3¢	$20.8	—	-$20.8
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 55.8¢	$37.43	$35.1	-$2.33	61% 992-638 (1630)
PA PapeasyCTR<$100	Upavg 49.9¢	$42.45	—	-$42.45	50% 3245-3212 (6457)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 31¢	$15.5	—	-$15.5	49% 2783-2896 (5679)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 58.8¢	$19.2	$25	+$5.8	44% 454-583 (1037)
machinelearnedCTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$19.9	—	-$19.9	32% 278-586 (864)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100	Downavg 58¢	$18.95	$32.67	+$13.72	51% 197-190 (387)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$10.29	—	-$10.29	25% 186-563 (749)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 61¢	$10.37	$17	+$6.63	65% 895-482 (1377)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 31¢	$6.2	—	-$6.2	49% 467-490 (957)
BY ByteBadger92<$100	Downavg 51.1¢	$40.73	$11.57	+$4.64	57% 858-636 (1494)
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100	Upavg 33¢	$1.65	—	-$1.65	39% 265-413 (678)
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989<$100	Down	—	—	+$0	53% 19-17 (36)