Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 66% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
32
Up 67%
$4.0K
-$249.27
Smart Money Signal
21 of 32 top traders (66%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 93.1¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$6.2 | 58% 249-180 (429) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 80.1¢ | $308.84 | $320.32 | +$11.48 | 41% 180-254 (434) |
AL almach | Upavg 78¢ | $254.12 | $307 | +$52.88 | 40% 267-404 (671) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 70.7¢ | $208.84 | $230.12 | +$21.28 | 52% 3094-2872 (5966) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Upavg 47.7¢ | $116.79 | $229.58 | +$112.8 | 54% 212-181 (393) |
10 1000monkeys | Upavg 62.6¢ | $213.01 | $223.75 | +$10.74 | 53% 332-291 (623) |
MO mo-money | Upavg 78¢ | $172.02 | $204.15 | +$32.12 | 39% 265-413 (678) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 72.9¢ | $229.39 | $184.95 | -$44.44 | 47% 258-286 (544) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 73¢ | $156.82 | $150 | -$6.82 | 19% 213-915 (1128) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 76.6¢ | $139.49 | $116.86 | -$22.64 | 38% 181-297 (478) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 74.9¢ | $106.95 | $95 | -$11.95 | 54% 566-490 (1056) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 78.1¢ | $70.6 | $75 | +$4.4 | 61% 992-638 (1630) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100 | Upavg 91.5¢ | $48.45 | $52.78 | +$4.33 | 25% 186-563 (749) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $32.61 | $51.77 | +$19.15 | 32% 278-586 (864) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $35.4 | $41.65 | +$6.25 | 49% 452-474 (926) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 62.1¢ | $25.45 | $40 | +$14.55 | 49% 467-490 (957) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 82.7¢ | $31.38 | $37.94 | +$6.56 | 65% 895-482 (1377) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 72.7¢ | $21.8 | $30 | +$8.2 | 49% 2783-2896 (5679) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Downavg 48¢ | $305 | — | -$305 | 48% 752-814 (1566) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $5 | $8.33 | +$3.33 | 38% 357-573 (930) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $16.89 | — | -$16.89 | 50% 3498-3542 (7040) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $4.25 | $5 | +$0.75 | 57% 625-480 (1105) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.8¢ | $84.09 | — | -$84.09 | 41% 438-624 (1062) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.6¢ | $18.37 | — | -$18.37 | 44% 222-279 (501) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Downavg 23.2¢ | $31.9 | — | -$31.9 | 53% 3920-3411 (7331) |
Invested
$1,567.42
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$6.2
Record
58%
249-180 (429)
Invested
$308.84
Value
$320.32
PnL
+$11.48
Record
41%
180-254 (434)
Invested
$254.12
Value
$307
PnL
+$52.88
Record
40%
267-404 (671)
Invested
$208.84
Value
$230.12
PnL
+$21.28
Record
52%
3094-2872 (5966)
Invested
$116.79
Value
$229.58
PnL
+$112.8
Record
54%
212-181 (393)
Invested
$213.01
Value
$223.75
PnL
+$10.74
Record
53%
332-291 (623)
Invested
$172.02
Value
$204.15
PnL
+$32.12
Record
39%
265-413 (678)
Invested
$229.39
Value
$184.95
PnL
-$44.44
Record
47%
258-286 (544)
Invested
$156.82
Value
$150
PnL
-$6.82
Record
19%
213-915 (1128)
Invested
$139.49
Value
$116.86
PnL
-$22.64
Record
38%
181-297 (478)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$106.95
Value
$95
PnL
-$11.95
Record
54%
566-490 (1056)
Invested
$70.6
Value
$75
PnL
+$4.4
Record
61%
992-638 (1630)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100Invested
$48.45
Value
$52.78
PnL
+$4.33
Record
25%
186-563 (749)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$32.61
Value
$51.77
PnL
+$19.15
Record
32%
278-586 (864)
Invested
$35.4
Value
$41.65
PnL
+$6.25
Record
49%
452-474 (926)
ohioism<$100Invested
$25.45
Value
$40
PnL
+$14.55
Record
49%
467-490 (957)
Invested
$31.38
Value
$37.94
PnL
+$6.56
Record
65%
895-482 (1377)
Invested
$21.8
Value
$30
PnL
+$8.2
Record
49%
2783-2896 (5679)
Invested
$305
Value
—
PnL
-$305
Record
48%
752-814 (1566)
Invested
$5
Value
$8.33
PnL
+$3.33
Record
38%
357-573 (930)
Invested
$16.89
Value
—
PnL
-$16.89
Record
50%
3498-3542 (7040)
Invested
$4.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.75
Record
57%
625-480 (1105)
Invested
$84.09
Value
—
PnL
-$84.09
Record
41%
438-624 (1062)
Invested
$18.37
Value
—
PnL
-$18.37
Record
44%
222-279 (501)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$31.9
Value
—
PnL
-$31.9
Record
53%
3920-3411 (7331)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Up — $1.6K
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $320.32
almach
Up — $307
blue.birds
Up — $230.12
0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212
Up — $229.58
1000monkeys
Up — $223.75
mo-money
Up — $204.15
CrouchPredictions
Up — $184.95
ply-pm0
Up — $150
GoodFallen
Up — $116.86