Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 87% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Down 90%
$11.4K
$688.45
Smart Money Signal
26 of 30 top traders (87%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.8K | $3.8K | +$3.8 | 41% 249-352 (601) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 93.6¢ | $3.2K | $3.4K | +$218.84 | 58% 243-174 (417) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 91.2¢ | $873.79 | $958.14 | +$84.35 | 31% 268-583 (851) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $831.35 | $839.75 | +$8.4 | 98% 923-20 (943) |
BO bosona | Downavg 99.8¢ | $518.99 | $499.99 | -$19 | 50% 3491-3532 (7023) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 42.6¢ | $189.22 | $443.91 | +$254.69 | 41% 425-614 (1039) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 91.1¢ | $214.61 | $221.87 | +$7.27 | 47% 248-280 (528) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 65.4¢ | $121.42 | $131 | +$9.58 | 54% 325-282 (607) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 83¢ | $137.58 | $127 | +$11.04 | 52% 3079-2848 (5927) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 52.4¢ | $59.32 | $110 | +$50.68 | 37% 172-294 (466) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100 | Downavg 57.2¢ | $77.86 | $89.99 | +$12.13 | 41% 173-249 (422) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 94.9¢ | $87.68 | $88.56 | +$0.88 | 54% 549-476 (1025) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 58.8¢ | $48.8 | $82.99 | +$34.19 | 44% 215-274 (489) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 89.5¢ | $55.48 | $62 | +$6.52 | 53% 584-522 (1106) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 76.9¢ | $57.52 | $74.8 | +$17.28 | 65% 869-465 (1334) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 93.4¢ | $56.96 | $61 | +$4.04 | 37% 212-358 (570) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100 | Downavg 53.7¢ | $37.58 | $70 | +$32.42 | 24% 179-560 (739) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $90.77 | $51.82 | -$38.96 | 54% 206-176 (382) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 93.6¢ | $51.7 | $55.24 | +$3.54 | 37% 216-370 (586) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 84.7¢ | $50.8 | $60 | +$9.2 | 49% 439-452 (891) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 99.7¢ | $30.87 | $30.9 | +$0.03 | 39% 256-397 (653) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $24.85 | $35 | +$10.15 | 61% 962-618 (1580) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $20 | $40 | +$20 | 53% 3913-3407 (7320) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $17.5 | $35 | +$17.5 | 48% 444-473 (917) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100 | Upavg 17.8¢ | $43.5 | — | -$43.5 | 51% 193-182 (375) |
Invested
$3,792.35
Value
$3.8K
PnL
+$3.8
Record
41%
249-352 (601)
Invested
$3,224.04
Value
$3.4K
PnL
+$218.84
Record
58%
243-174 (417)
machinelearnedInvested
$873.79
Value
$958.14
PnL
+$84.35
Record
31%
268-583 (851)
Invested
$831.35
Value
$839.75
PnL
+$8.4
Record
98%
923-20 (943)
Invested
$518.99
Value
$499.99
PnL
-$19
Record
50%
3491-3532 (7023)
Invested
$189.22
Value
$443.91
PnL
+$254.69
Record
41%
425-614 (1039)
Invested
$214.61
Value
$221.87
PnL
+$7.27
Record
47%
248-280 (528)
Invested
$121.42
Value
$131
PnL
+$9.58
Record
54%
325-282 (607)
Invested
$137.58
Value
$127
PnL
+$11.04
Record
52%
3079-2848 (5927)
Invested
$59.32
Value
$110
PnL
+$50.68
Record
37%
172-294 (466)
Invested
$77.86
Value
$89.99
PnL
+$12.13
Record
41%
173-249 (422)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$87.68
Value
$88.56
PnL
+$0.88
Record
54%
549-476 (1025)
Invested
$48.8
Value
$82.99
PnL
+$34.19
Record
44%
215-274 (489)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$55.48
Value
$62
PnL
+$6.52
Record
53%
584-522 (1106)
Invested
$57.52
Value
$74.8
PnL
+$17.28
Record
65%
869-465 (1334)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$56.96
Value
$61
PnL
+$4.04
Record
37%
212-358 (570)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100Invested
$37.58
Value
$70
PnL
+$32.42
Record
24%
179-560 (739)
Invested
$90.77
Value
$51.82
PnL
-$38.96
Record
54%
206-176 (382)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$51.7
Value
$55.24
PnL
+$3.54
Record
37%
216-370 (586)
Invested
$50.8
Value
$60
PnL
+$9.2
Record
49%
439-452 (891)
Invested
$30.87
Value
$30.9
PnL
+$0.03
Record
39%
256-397 (653)
Invested
$24.85
Value
$35
PnL
+$10.15
Record
61%
962-618 (1580)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$20
Value
$40
PnL
+$20
Record
53%
3913-3407 (7320)
ohioism<$100Invested
$17.5
Value
$35
PnL
+$17.5
Record
48%
444-473 (917)
Invested
$43.5
Value
—
PnL
-$43.5
Record
51%
193-182 (375)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.8K
Bonereaper
Down — $3.4K
machinelearned
Down — $958.14
hoodquant
Down — $839.75
bosona
Down — $499.99
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $443.91
CrouchPredictions
Down — $221.87
1000monkeys
Down — $131
blue.birds
Down — $127
GoodFallen
Down — $110