Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 49% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
37
Down 51%
$8.3K
$-5.1K
Smart Money Signal
18 of 37 top traders (49%)19 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 75.3¢ | $2.5K | $2.8K | +$323.39 | 58% 243-174 (417) |
BL blue.birdsCTR | Upavg 70.4¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 52% 3079-2848 (5927) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Upavg 52.2¢ | $1.4K | — | $-1.4K | 41% 173-249 (422) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 51.8¢ | $895.05 | $1.0K | +$111.58 | 47% 248-280 (528) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Upavg 48.2¢ | $842.13 | — | -$842.13 | 37% 172-294 (466) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $940.5 | $950 | +$9.5 | 98% 923-20 (943) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 48.4¢ | $312.5 | $634.29 | +$321.79 | 31% 268-583 (851) |
 NIULAI4 | Downavg 51¢ | $466.61 | $561.51 | +$94.9 | 9% 83-847 (930) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 40.1¢ | $210.33 | $525.11 | +$314.77 | 41% 425-614 (1039) |
BO bosona | Downavg 49.9¢ | $404.52 | $491.17 | +$86.65 | 50% 3491-3532 (7023) |
10 1000monkeysCTR | Upavg 57.6¢ | $418.18 | — | -$418.18 | 54% 325-282 (607) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 50.7¢ | $250.05 | $479.21 | +$229.15 | 51% 193-182 (375) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Upavg 38.5¢ | $343.73 | — | -$343.73 | 18% 205-911 (1116) |
 FairValueMachineCTR | Upavg 44.6¢ | $345.09 | — | -$345.09 | 53% 3913-3407 (7320) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212CTR | Upavg 72¢ | $342.95 | — | -$342.95 | 54% 206-176 (382) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Upavg 68.1¢ | $462.45 | — | -$462.45 | 38% 253-408 (661) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Downavg 73.6¢ | $221.54 | $189.21 | -$29.69 | 61% 962-618 (1580) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR | Upavg 64.4¢ | $217.4 | — | -$217.4 | 24% 179-560 (739) |
AL almachCTR | Upavg 67.7¢ | $182.28 | — | -$182.28 | 39% 256-397 (653) |
 OhioAI | Downavg 39¢ | $65.65 | $146 | +$80.35 | 43% 119-158 (277) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 42.1¢ | $106.79 | $140.46 | +$33.67 | 49% 2767-2874 (5641) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $76.51 | — | -$76.51 | 48% 444-473 (917) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $19.83 | $78.69 | +$58.86 | 47% 249-282 (531) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Upavg 78¢ | $206.71 | — | -$206.71 | 44% 215-274 (489) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 18.4¢ | $10.8 | $58.54 | +$47.74 | 57% 4012-3039 (7051) |
Invested
$2,509.07
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$323.39
Record
58%
243-174 (417)
Invested
$1,501.15
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
52%
3079-2848 (5927)
Invested
$1,445.8
Value
—
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
41%
173-249 (422)
Invested
$895.05
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$111.58
Record
47%
248-280 (528)
Invested
$842.13
Value
—
PnL
-$842.13
Record
37%
172-294 (466)
Invested
$940.5
Value
$950
PnL
+$9.5
Record
98%
923-20 (943)
machinelearnedInvested
$312.5
Value
$634.29
PnL
+$321.79
Record
31%
268-583 (851)
NIULAI4Invested
$466.61
Value
$561.51
PnL
+$94.9
Record
9%
83-847 (930)
Invested
$210.33
Value
$525.11
PnL
+$314.77
Record
41%
425-614 (1039)
Invested
$404.52
Value
$491.17
PnL
+$86.65
Record
50%
3491-3532 (7023)
Invested
$418.18
Value
—
PnL
-$418.18
Record
54%
325-282 (607)
Invested
$250.05
Value
$479.21
PnL
+$229.15
Record
51%
193-182 (375)
Invested
$343.73
Value
—
PnL
-$343.73
Record
18%
205-911 (1116)
FairValueMachineCTRInvested
$345.09
Value
—
PnL
-$345.09
Record
53%
3913-3407 (7320)
Invested
$342.95
Value
—
PnL
-$342.95
Record
54%
206-176 (382)
Invested
$462.45
Value
—
PnL
-$462.45
Record
38%
253-408 (661)
Invested
$221.54
Value
$189.21
PnL
-$29.69
Record
61%
962-618 (1580)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTRInvested
$217.4
Value
—
PnL
-$217.4
Record
24%
179-560 (739)
Invested
$182.28
Value
—
PnL
-$182.28
Record
39%
256-397 (653)
OhioAIInvested
$65.65
Value
$146
PnL
+$80.35
Record
43%
119-158 (277)
Invested
$106.79
Value
$140.46
PnL
+$33.67
Record
49%
2767-2874 (5641)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$76.51
Value
—
PnL
-$76.51
Record
48%
444-473 (917)
Invested
$19.83
Value
$78.69
PnL
+$58.86
Record
47%
249-282 (531)
Invested
$206.71
Value
—
PnL
-$206.71
Record
44%
215-274 (489)
Invested
$10.8
Value
$58.54
PnL
+$47.74
Record
57%
4012-3039 (7051)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $2.8K
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRUp — $0
CrouchPredictions
Down — $1.0K
GoodFallen
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $950
machinelearned
Down — $634.29
NIULAI4
Down — $561.51
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $525.11
bosona
Down — $491.17