Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
33
Down 79%
$9.7K
$958.05
Smart Money Signal
26 of 33 top traders (79%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 92¢ | $2.9K | $3.2K | +$255.87 | 58% 236-169 (405) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$1.99 | 42% 240-335 (575) |
BO bosona | Downavg 86¢ | $450.45 | $500 | +$49.55 | 50% 3484-3522 (7006) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 71.1¢ | $324.91 | $436.22 | +$111.32 | 47% 240-272 (512) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 57.9¢ | $291.26 | $321.09 | +$29.83 | 54% 321-270 (591) |
38 38791873984189 | Downavg 48.4¢ | $222.8 | $460 | +$237.2 | 48% 721-776 (1497) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 85.2¢ | $212.87 | $211.03 | -$1.84 | 52% 3064-2828 (5892) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 44.7¢ | $170.33 | $342.8 | +$172.46 | 41% 424-609 (1033) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 86¢ | $136.77 | $142.27 | +$5.5 | 38% 246-396 (642) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 64.4¢ | $127.98 | $137.06 | +$9.08 | 18% 201-903 (1104) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 92.9¢ | $129.64 | $131.72 | +$4.14 | 54% 538-458 (996) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 82.2¢ | $126.07 | $130.09 | +$4.02 | 41% 169-241 (410) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $128.27 | $129.57 | +$1.3 | 98% 902-18 (920) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $61.37 | $78.55 | +$17.18 | 39% 249-385 (634) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 60.6¢ | $65.59 | $69.96 | +$4.37 | 61% 933-598 (1531) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 77.7¢ | $43.59 | $56.06 | +$12.47 | 65% 845-450 (1295) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 57.2¢ | $32 | $55.98 | +$23.98 | 44% 208-270 (478) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 67.3¢ | $39.56 | $58.82 | +$19.26 | 31% 257-580 (837) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $36.83 | $47.83 | +$11 | 44% 429-541 (970) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 80.4¢ | $31.13 | $35.39 | +$4.25 | 37% 168-286 (454) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $21.49 | $44.21 | +$22.72 | 55% 202-168 (370) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $24.84 | $31.85 | +$7.01 | 79% 340-90 (430) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100 | Upavg 17.4¢ | $31.31 | — | -$31.31 | 52% 189-176 (365) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $11.8 | $15.46 | +$3.66 | 56% 592-457 (1049) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $11.85 | $15 | +$3.15 | 43% 115-154 (269) |
Invested
$2,933.5
Value
$3.2K
PnL
+$255.87
Record
58%
236-169 (405)
Invested
$3,006.02
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$1.99
Record
42%
240-335 (575)
Invested
$450.45
Value
$500
PnL
+$49.55
Record
50%
3484-3522 (7006)
Invested
$324.91
Value
$436.22
PnL
+$111.32
Record
47%
240-272 (512)
Invested
$291.26
Value
$321.09
PnL
+$29.83
Record
54%
321-270 (591)
Invested
$222.8
Value
$460
PnL
+$237.2
Record
48%
721-776 (1497)
Invested
$212.87
Value
$211.03
PnL
-$1.84
Record
52%
3064-2828 (5892)
Invested
$170.33
Value
$342.8
PnL
+$172.46
Record
41%
424-609 (1033)
Invested
$136.77
Value
$142.27
PnL
+$5.5
Record
38%
246-396 (642)
Invested
$127.98
Value
$137.06
PnL
+$9.08
Record
18%
201-903 (1104)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$129.64
Value
$131.72
PnL
+$4.14
Record
54%
538-458 (996)
Invested
$126.07
Value
$130.09
PnL
+$4.02
Record
41%
169-241 (410)
Invested
$128.27
Value
$129.57
PnL
+$1.3
Record
98%
902-18 (920)
Invested
$61.37
Value
$78.55
PnL
+$17.18
Record
39%
249-385 (634)
Invested
$65.59
Value
$69.96
PnL
+$4.37
Record
61%
933-598 (1531)
Invested
$43.59
Value
$56.06
PnL
+$12.47
Record
65%
845-450 (1295)
Invested
$32
Value
$55.98
PnL
+$23.98
Record
44%
208-270 (478)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$39.56
Value
$58.82
PnL
+$19.26
Record
31%
257-580 (837)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$36.83
Value
$47.83
PnL
+$11
Record
44%
429-541 (970)
Invested
$31.13
Value
$35.39
PnL
+$4.25
Record
37%
168-286 (454)
Invested
$21.49
Value
$44.21
PnL
+$22.72
Record
55%
202-168 (370)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$24.84
Value
$31.85
PnL
+$7.01
Record
79%
340-90 (430)
Invested
$31.31
Value
—
PnL
-$31.31
Record
52%
189-176 (365)
Invested
$11.8
Value
$15.46
PnL
+$3.66
Record
56%
592-457 (1049)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$11.85
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.15
Record
43%
115-154 (269)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $3.2K
0x50f7
Down — $3.0K
bosona
Down — $500
CrouchPredictions
Down — $436.22
1000monkeys
Down — $321.09
38791873984189
Down — $460
blue.birds
Down — $211.03
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $342.8
mo-money
Down — $142.27
ply-pm0
Down — $137.06