Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 67%

Total Value

$10.2K

Combined PnL

-$454.73

Smart Money Signal

Down

24 of 36 top traders (67%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down24 traders

Total Value$10.2K

Total Shares10,189

Combined PnL+$1.4K

Up12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,028

Combined PnL$-1.8K

Down — 67%Up — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 41.7¢	$1.2K	$1.6K	+$342.38	41% 169-241 (410)
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989	Downavg 51.3¢	$1.6K	$1.2K	+$122.09	50% 16-16 (32)
BO Bonereaper	Downavg 43.9¢	$786.34	$944.75	+$161.34	58% 236-169 (405)
10 1000monkeys	Downavg 61.7¢	$904.62	$858.06	-$46.57	54% 321-270 (591)
BL blue.birds	Downavg 59.8¢	$925.37	$849.65	-$75.72	52% 3064-2828 (5892)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 63.8¢	$954.53	$835.11	-$119.42	47% 240-272 (512)
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212	Downavg 56¢	$627.89	$581.71	-$46.18	55% 202-168 (370)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Upavg 47.2¢	$485.14	—	-$485.14	41% 424-609 (1033)
machinelearned	Downavg 56.8¢	$378.85	$474.79	+$95.94	31% 257-580 (837)
BO bosona	Downavg 47.7¢	$224.46	$462.22	+$237.76	50% 3484-3522 (7006)
GO GoodFallenCTR	Upavg 42.1¢	$508.68	—	-$422.88	37% 168-286 (454)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 39.6¢	$275.96	$382.8	+$116.3	18% 201-903 (1104)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$304.92	$308	+$3.08	98% 902-18 (920)
FairValueMachineCTR	Upavg 30.8¢	$234.29	—	-$234.29	53% 3908-3402 (7310)
NIULAI4	Downavg 40.5¢	$156.98	$299.55	+$142.57	9% 81-844 (925)
AL almach	Downavg 76.1¢	$210.85	$271.64	+$60.79	39% 249-385 (634)
OhioAI	Downavg 39.7¢	$153.58	$228	+$80.57	43% 115-154 (269)
x-MoneyForWhiskas	Downavg 36.4¢	$126.62	$168.23	+$87.99	24% 176-553 (729)
AS asdcaxzCTR	Upavg 38¢	$145.62	—	-$145.62	49% 2754-2852 (5606)
AS asdaefef	Downavg 59.7¢	$121.26	$143.46	+$22.2	65% 845-450 (1295)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335	Downavg 57.1¢	$149.15	$140.58	-$8.57	52% 189-176 (365)
MO mo-money	Downavg 66.6¢	$86.21	$126.09	+$39.88	38% 246-396 (642)
PB PBot-5	Downavg 24.9¢	$34.5	$100	+$80.9	47% 242-272 (514)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 33.4¢	$54.16	$84.41	+$30.25	48% 428-460 (888)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 43.6¢	$40.13	$81.78	+$41.65	44% 403-515 (918)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$1,220.94

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$342.38

Record

41%

169-241 (410)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Down

Invested

$1,551.8

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$122.09

Record

50%

16-16 (32)

Bonereaper

Down

Invested

$786.34

Value

$944.75

PnL

+$161.34

Record

58%

236-169 (405)

1000monkeys

Down

Invested

$904.62

Value

$858.06

PnL

-$46.57

Record

54%

321-270 (591)

blue.birds

Down

Invested

$925.37

Value

$849.65

PnL

-$75.72

Record

52%

3064-2828 (5892)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$954.53

Value

$835.11

PnL

-$119.42

Record

47%

240-272 (512)

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212

Down

Invested

$627.89

Value

$581.71

PnL

-$46.18

Record

55%

202-168 (370)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Invested

$485.14

Value

—

PnL

-$485.14

Record

41%

424-609 (1033)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$378.85

Value

$474.79

PnL

+$95.94

Record

31%

257-580 (837)

bosona

Down

Invested

$224.46

Value

$462.22

PnL

+$237.76

Record

50%

3484-3522 (7006)

GoodFallenCTR

Invested

$508.68

Value

—

PnL

-$422.88

Record

37%

168-286 (454)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$275.96

Value

$382.8

PnL

+$116.3

Record

18%

201-903 (1104)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$304.92

Value

$308

PnL

+$3.08

Record

98%

902-18 (920)

FairValueMachineCTR

Invested

$234.29

Value

—

PnL

-$234.29

Record

53%

3908-3402 (7310)

NIULAI4

Down

Invested

$156.98

Value

$299.55

PnL

+$142.57

Record

81-844 (925)

almach

Down

Invested

$210.85

Value

$271.64

PnL

+$60.79

Record

39%

249-385 (634)

OhioAI

Down

Invested

$153.58

Value

$228

PnL

+$80.57

Record

43%

115-154 (269)

x-MoneyForWhiskas

Down

Invested

$126.62

Value

$168.23

PnL

+$87.99

Record

24%

176-553 (729)

asdcaxzCTR

Invested

$145.62

Value

—

PnL

-$145.62

Record

49%

2754-2852 (5606)

asdaefef

Down

Invested

$121.26

Value

$143.46

PnL

+$22.2

Record

65%

845-450 (1295)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Down

Invested

$149.15

Value

$140.58

PnL

-$8.57

Record

52%

189-176 (365)

mo-money

Down

Invested

$86.21

Value

$126.09

PnL

+$39.88

Record

38%

246-396 (642)

PBot-5

Down

Invested

$34.5

Value

$100

PnL

+$80.9

Record

47%

242-272 (514)

ohioism<$100

Down

Invested

$54.16

Value

$84.41

PnL

+$30.25

Record

48%

428-460 (888)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Down

Invested

$40.13

Value

$81.78

PnL

+$41.65

Record

44%

403-515 (918)

Smart Money Signal

Down

24 of 36 top traders (67%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xeed2e47d...986c38

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794305100

Traders in this Market

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $1.6K

+$342.38

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989

Down — $1.2K

+$122.09

Bonereaper

Down — $944.75

+$161.34

1000monkeys

Down — $858.06

-$46.57

blue.birds

Down — $849.65

-$75.72

CrouchPredictions

Down — $835.11

-$119.42

0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212

Down — $581.71

-$46.18

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Up — $0

-$485.14

machinelearned

Down — $474.79

+$95.94

bosona

Down — $462.22

+$237.76

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