Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Up 59%
$3.5K
-$473.53
Smart Money Signal
17 of 29 top traders (59%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98¢ | $553.95 | $565.26 | +$11.31 | 98% 902-18 (920) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 94.6¢ | $568.34 | $452.34 | -$116 | 31% 257-580 (837) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 84.2¢ | $460.82 | $413.7 | -$47.12 | 18% 201-903 (1104) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 84.6¢ | $362.33 | $369.18 | +$23.59 | 52% 3064-2828 (5892) |
10 1000monkeys | Upavg 72.3¢ | $398.57 | $361.18 | -$37.4 | 54% 321-270 (591) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 82¢ | $346.31 | $322.46 | -$23.84 | 41% 169-241 (410) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Upavg 97.7¢ | $262.97 | $253.5 | -$9.47 | 52% 189-176 (365) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 85.8¢ | $240.34 | $235.79 | -$4.04 | 58% 236-169 (405) |
 ohioism | Upavg 90.7¢ | $210.99 | $218.61 | +$10.81 | 48% 428-460 (888) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Downavg 38.8¢ | $161.29 | — | -$161.29 | 47% 240-272 (512) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Upavg 90.1¢ | $103.64 | $75 | -$2.4 | 61% 933-598 (1531) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 89.1¢ | $58.02 | $65.11 | +$7.1 | 65% 845-450 (1295) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $44.61 | $48.41 | +$3.8 | 49% 2754-2852 (5606) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 84.7¢ | $42.74 | $50 | +$7.26 | 44% 429-541 (970) |
PA PapeasyCTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $35.24 | — | -$35.24 | 50% 3236-3198 (6434) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $19.38 | $19 | -$0.38 | 56% 592-457 (1049) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 81.5¢ | $22.98 | $16.19 | -$6.79 | 37% 168-286 (454) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Downavg 38.9¢ | $43.6 | — | -$42.25 | 53% 3908-3402 (7310) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $6.29 | $10.48 | +$4.19 | 38% 344-554 (898) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $6.8 | — | -$6.8 | 44% 403-515 (918) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 16.9¢ | $5.82 | — | -$5.82 | 53% 570-504 (1074) |
 OhioAICTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $3.78 | — | -$3.78 | 43% 115-154 (269) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $3.8 | — | -$3.8 | 47% 242-272 (514) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $2.85 | $5 | +$2.15 | 44% 208-270 (478) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $50.29 | — | -$8.19 | 58% 794-586 (1380) |
Invested
$553.95
Value
$565.26
PnL
+$11.31
Record
98%
902-18 (920)
machinelearnedInvested
$568.34
Value
$452.34
PnL
-$116
Record
31%
257-580 (837)
Invested
$460.82
Value
$413.7
PnL
-$47.12
Record
18%
201-903 (1104)
Invested
$362.33
Value
$369.18
PnL
+$23.59
Record
52%
3064-2828 (5892)
Invested
$398.57
Value
$361.18
PnL
-$37.4
Record
54%
321-270 (591)
Invested
$346.31
Value
$322.46
PnL
-$23.84
Record
41%
169-241 (410)
Invested
$262.97
Value
$253.5
PnL
-$9.47
Record
52%
189-176 (365)
Invested
$240.34
Value
$235.79
PnL
-$4.04
Record
58%
236-169 (405)
ohioismInvested
$210.99
Value
$218.61
PnL
+$10.81
Record
48%
428-460 (888)
Invested
$161.29
Value
—
PnL
-$161.29
Record
47%
240-272 (512)
Invested
$103.64
Value
$75
PnL
-$2.4
Record
61%
933-598 (1531)
Invested
$58.02
Value
$65.11
PnL
+$7.1
Record
65%
845-450 (1295)
Invested
$44.61
Value
$48.41
PnL
+$3.8
Record
49%
2754-2852 (5606)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$42.74
Value
$50
PnL
+$7.26
Record
44%
429-541 (970)
Invested
$35.24
Value
—
PnL
-$35.24
Record
50%
3236-3198 (6434)
Invested
$19.38
Value
$19
PnL
-$0.38
Record
56%
592-457 (1049)
Invested
$22.98
Value
$16.19
PnL
-$6.79
Record
37%
168-286 (454)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$43.6
Value
—
PnL
-$42.25
Record
53%
3908-3402 (7310)
Invested
$6.29
Value
$10.48
PnL
+$4.19
Record
38%
344-554 (898)
Invested
$6.8
Value
—
PnL
-$6.8
Record
44%
403-515 (918)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.82
Value
—
PnL
-$5.82
Record
53%
570-504 (1074)
OhioAICTR<$100Invested
$3.78
Value
—
PnL
-$3.78
Record
43%
115-154 (269)
Invested
$3.8
Value
—
PnL
-$3.8
Record
47%
242-272 (514)
Invested
$2.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.15
Record
44%
208-270 (478)
Invested
$50.29
Value
—
PnL
-$8.19
Record
58%
794-586 (1380)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $565.26
machinelearned
Up — $452.34
ply-pm0
Up — $413.7
blue.birds
Up — $369.18
1000monkeys
Up — $361.18
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $322.46
0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335
Up — $253.5
Bonereaper
Up — $235.79
ohioism
Up — $218.61
CrouchPredictions
CTRDown — $0