Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Down 67%
$6.4K
$38.94
Smart Money Signal
20 of 30 top traders (67%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 95.3¢ | $3.0K | $3.2K | +$149.73 | 58% 228-164 (392) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$11.86 | 98% 884-17 (901) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 93.1¢ | $486.32 | $519.85 | +$34.14 | 46% 226-269 (495) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 93¢ | $418.5 | $450 | +$31.5 | 30% 248-574 (822) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 95.9¢ | $223.36 | $232.87 | +$9.51 | 53% 551-490 (1041) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 95.8¢ | $151.48 | $148.74 | -$2.74 | 54% 518-449 (967) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 76.7¢ | $65.6 | $85.58 | +$19.98 | 57% 3992-3026 (7018) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 89.5¢ | $71.6 | $80 | +$8.4 | 44% 416-524 (940) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 94.9¢ | $129.5 | $79.65 | -$7.62 | 52% 3043-2807 (5850) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 89.1¢ | $53.47 | $60 | +$6.53 | 44% 394-503 (897) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $66.95 | $50 | -$16.95 | 18% 196-895 (1091) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100 | Downavg 90.5¢ | $56.4 | $60 | +$3.6 | 42% 166-231 (397) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 94.5¢ | $47.65 | $50.4 | +$2.75 | 37% 202-339 (541) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $47.27 | $50.83 | +$3.56 | 38% 197-327 (524) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $44.09 | — | -$44.09 | 48% 709-765 (1474) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $42.9 | $44.72 | +$1.82 | 55% 195-162 (357) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 80.7¢ | $33.2 | $41.15 | +$7.95 | 43% 200-266 (466) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $44.47 | $31.59 | +$2.72 | 61% 903-581 (1484) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.6¢ | $30.22 | — | -$30.22 | 50% 177-175 (352) |
10 1000monkeysCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.2¢ | $46.85 | — | -$46.85 | 54% 311-263 (574) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.2¢ | $44.97 | — | -$44.97 | 50% 3474-3513 (6987) |
PA PapeasyCTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $18.33 | — | -$18.33 | 50% 3231-3190 (6421) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93.2¢ | $32.9 | $11.31 | +$1.08 | 56% 571-449 (1020) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $21.06 | — | -$21.06 | 39% 238-378 (616) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.8¢ | $16.97 | — | -$16.97 | 38% 239-389 (628) |
Invested
$3,016.64
Value
$3.2K
PnL
+$149.73
Record
58%
228-164 (392)
Invested
$1,174.14
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$11.86
Record
98%
884-17 (901)
Invested
$486.32
Value
$519.85
PnL
+$34.14
Record
46%
226-269 (495)
machinelearnedInvested
$418.5
Value
$450
PnL
+$31.5
Record
30%
248-574 (822)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$223.36
Value
$232.87
PnL
+$9.51
Record
53%
551-490 (1041)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$151.48
Value
$148.74
PnL
-$2.74
Record
54%
518-449 (967)
Invested
$65.6
Value
$85.58
PnL
+$19.98
Record
57%
3992-3026 (7018)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$71.6
Value
$80
PnL
+$8.4
Record
44%
416-524 (940)
Invested
$129.5
Value
$79.65
PnL
-$7.62
Record
52%
3043-2807 (5850)
Invested
$53.47
Value
$60
PnL
+$6.53
Record
44%
394-503 (897)
Invested
$66.95
Value
$50
PnL
-$16.95
Record
18%
196-895 (1091)
Invested
$56.4
Value
$60
PnL
+$3.6
Record
42%
166-231 (397)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$47.65
Value
$50.4
PnL
+$2.75
Record
37%
202-339 (541)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$47.27
Value
$50.83
PnL
+$3.56
Record
38%
197-327 (524)
Invested
$44.09
Value
—
PnL
-$44.09
Record
48%
709-765 (1474)
Invested
$42.9
Value
$44.72
PnL
+$1.82
Record
55%
195-162 (357)
Invested
$33.2
Value
$41.15
PnL
+$7.95
Record
43%
200-266 (466)
Invested
$44.47
Value
$31.59
PnL
+$2.72
Record
61%
903-581 (1484)
Invested
$30.22
Value
—
PnL
-$30.22
Record
50%
177-175 (352)
Invested
$46.85
Value
—
PnL
-$46.85
Record
54%
311-263 (574)
Invested
$44.97
Value
—
PnL
-$44.97
Record
50%
3474-3513 (6987)
Invested
$18.33
Value
—
PnL
-$18.33
Record
50%
3231-3190 (6421)
Invested
$32.9
Value
$11.31
PnL
+$1.08
Record
56%
571-449 (1020)
Invested
$21.06
Value
—
PnL
-$21.06
Record
39%
238-378 (616)
Invested
$16.97
Value
—
PnL
-$16.97
Record
38%
239-389 (628)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $3.2K
hoodquant
Down — $1.2K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $519.85
machinelearned
Down — $450
MayorMamdani
Down — $232.87
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $148.74
Hcrystallash
Down — $85.58
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $80
blue.birds
Down — $79.65
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $60