Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
42
Up 46%
$23.2K
$1.8K
Smart Money Signal
19 of 42 top traders (45%)23 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BI bigbeliever | Upavg 74.9¢ | $13.1K | $17.6K | +$4.4K | — 8-3 (11) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 79.9¢ | $796.11 | $799.31 | +$3.28 | 52% 3043-2807 (5850) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 79¢ | $720.78 | $603.29 | -$91.09 | 42% 166-231 (397) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 82.7¢ | $612.23 | $580.97 | -$31.26 | 18% 196-895 (1091) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 75.7¢ | $618.96 | $507.26 | -$108.66 | 58% 228-164 (392) |
10 1000monkeys | Upavg 69.1¢ | $441.54 | $440.11 | -$1.42 | 54% 311-263 (574) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 85¢ | $492.88 | $434.79 | -$58.09 | 46% 226-269 (495) |
0X 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489 | Upavg 96¢ | $391.03 | $361 | -$22.27 | — 3-3 (6) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 81.5¢ | $383.82 | $343.53 | -$40.29 | 53% 579-512 (1091) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $286.97 | $287.26 | +$0.29 | 41% 232-329 (561) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 81.3¢ | $236.24 | $229.9 | -$6.34 | 54% 518-449 (967) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 79.1¢ | $165.32 | $186.48 | +$21.16 | 30% 248-574 (822) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 82.8¢ | $170.9 | $167.08 | -$3.82 | 65% 811-445 (1256) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 79.9¢ | $125.06 | $144.43 | +$23.57 | 53% 3902-3396 (7298) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Upavg 76.5¢ | $149.5 | $139.07 | +$29.29 | 61% 903-581 (1484) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 79.1¢ | $207.75 | $131.39 | -$23.86 | 37% 163-278 (441) |
 AtomforgeCTR | Downavg 20¢ | $189.14 | — | -$189.14 | 8% 60-658 (718) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $88.55 | $84.87 | -$3.68 | 50% 177-175 (352) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $78.1 | $75 | -$3.1 | 42% 108-149 (257) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 79.9¢ | $69.85 | $74.89 | +$5.04 | 44% 394-503 (897) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.8¢ | $47.04 | — | -$47.04 | 44% 416-524 (940) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.8¢ | $61.49 | — | -$50.09 | 24% 172-546 (718) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 50.3¢ | $934.07 | — | -$934.07 | 41% 416-597 (1013) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.6¢ | $54.74 | — | -$54.74 | 55% 195-162 (357) |
 NIULAI4CTR<$100 | Downavg 4.6¢ | $6.29 | — | -$6.29 | 9% 79-840 (919) |
Invested
$13,144.52
Value
$17.6K
PnL
+$4.4K
Record
—
8-3 (11)
Invested
$796.11
Value
$799.31
PnL
+$3.28
Record
52%
3043-2807 (5850)
Invested
$720.78
Value
$603.29
PnL
-$91.09
Record
42%
166-231 (397)
Invested
$612.23
Value
$580.97
PnL
-$31.26
Record
18%
196-895 (1091)
Invested
$618.96
Value
$507.26
PnL
-$108.66
Record
58%
228-164 (392)
Invested
$441.54
Value
$440.11
PnL
-$1.42
Record
54%
311-263 (574)
Invested
$492.88
Value
$434.79
PnL
-$58.09
Record
46%
226-269 (495)
Invested
$391.03
Value
$361
PnL
-$22.27
Record
—
3-3 (6)
Invested
$383.82
Value
$343.53
PnL
-$40.29
Record
53%
579-512 (1091)
Invested
$286.97
Value
$287.26
PnL
+$0.29
Record
41%
232-329 (561)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$236.24
Value
$229.9
PnL
-$6.34
Record
54%
518-449 (967)
machinelearnedInvested
$165.32
Value
$186.48
PnL
+$21.16
Record
30%
248-574 (822)
Invested
$170.9
Value
$167.08
PnL
-$3.82
Record
65%
811-445 (1256)
FairValueMachineInvested
$125.06
Value
$144.43
PnL
+$23.57
Record
53%
3902-3396 (7298)
Invested
$149.5
Value
$139.07
PnL
+$29.29
Record
61%
903-581 (1484)
Invested
$207.75
Value
$131.39
PnL
-$23.86
Record
37%
163-278 (441)
AtomforgeCTRInvested
$189.14
Value
—
PnL
-$189.14
Record
8%
60-658 (718)
Invested
$88.55
Value
$84.87
PnL
-$3.68
Record
50%
177-175 (352)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$78.1
Value
$75
PnL
-$3.1
Record
42%
108-149 (257)
Invested
$69.85
Value
$74.89
PnL
+$5.04
Record
44%
394-503 (897)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$47.04
Value
—
PnL
-$47.04
Record
44%
416-524 (940)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100Invested
$61.49
Value
—
PnL
-$50.09
Record
24%
172-546 (718)
Invested
$934.07
Value
—
PnL
-$934.07
Record
41%
416-597 (1013)
Invested
$54.74
Value
—
PnL
-$54.74
Record
55%
195-162 (357)
NIULAI4CTR<$100Invested
$6.29
Value
—
PnL
-$6.29
Record
9%
79-840 (919)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
bigbeliever
Up — $17.6K
blue.birds
Up — $799.31
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $603.29
ply-pm0
Up — $580.97
Bonereaper
Up — $507.26
1000monkeys
Up — $440.11
CrouchPredictions
Up — $434.79
0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489
Up — $361
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $343.53
0x50f7
Up — $287.26