Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
35
Up 74%
$3.5K
-$536.6
Smart Money Signal
25 of 35 top traders (71%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 83.4¢ | $697.41 | $723.48 | +$26.07 | 45% 219-265 (484) |
10 1000monkeys | Upavg 72.8¢ | $367.96 | $378.58 | +$10.62 | 54% 302-258 (560) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 89¢ | $322.55 | $310.14 | -$12.41 | 52% 3028-2788 (5816) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Upavg 84.8¢ | $359.06 | $294.58 | -$64.48 | 51% 177-168 (345) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 80.5¢ | $291.05 | $265.42 | -$25.63 | 42% 164-223 (387) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 76.5¢ | $208.57 | $252.29 | +$43.72 | 53% 505-440 (945) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 88.5¢ | $241.63 | $232.25 | -$9.38 | 53% 564-506 (1070) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 79¢ | $205.96 | $136.44 | -$69.52 | 59% 226-157 (383) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 90.2¢ | $105.13 | $116.59 | +$11.46 | 78% 315-87 (402) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 80.9¢ | $123.62 | $105 | -$18.62 | 37% 160-271 (431) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 91.9¢ | $108.71 | $107.84 | -$0.87 | 53% 535-482 (1017) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Upavg 92¢ | $106.63 | $74.04 | -$6.83 | 61% 877-568 (1445) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Downavg 24¢ | $191.25 | — | -$191.25 | 29% 239-572 (811) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $64.97 | $66.3 | +$1.33 | 38% 195-324 (519) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 90.2¢ | $59.37 | $61 | +$1.63 | 64% 784-440 (1224) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 57.1¢ | $34.5 | $60.43 | +$25.93 | 47% 226-258 (484) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $79.36 | $50 | -$29.36 | 18% 193-888 (1081) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $52.36 | $50 | -$2.36 | 24% 168-544 (712) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 78.6¢ | $35.35 | $45 | +$9.65 | 44% 400-513 (913) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 81.8¢ | $33.6 | $41.06 | +$7.46 | 43% 196-261 (457) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $31.8 | $60 | +$28.2 | 40% 402-591 (993) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $29.65 | $30 | +$0.35 | 53% 3898-3390 (7288) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.5¢ | $92.78 | — | -$92.78 | 50% 3470-3505 (6975) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.7¢ | $83.41 | — | -$83.41 | 38% 236-379 (615) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Upavg 82.5¢ | $19.79 | $21 | +$2.08 | 41% 103-146 (249) |
Invested
$697.41
Value
$723.48
PnL
+$26.07
Record
45%
219-265 (484)
Invested
$367.96
Value
$378.58
PnL
+$10.62
Record
54%
302-258 (560)
Invested
$322.55
Value
$310.14
PnL
-$12.41
Record
52%
3028-2788 (5816)
Invested
$359.06
Value
$294.58
PnL
-$64.48
Record
51%
177-168 (345)
Invested
$291.05
Value
$265.42
PnL
-$25.63
Record
42%
164-223 (387)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$208.57
Value
$252.29
PnL
+$43.72
Record
53%
505-440 (945)
Invested
$241.63
Value
$232.25
PnL
-$9.38
Record
53%
564-506 (1070)
Invested
$205.96
Value
$136.44
PnL
-$69.52
Record
59%
226-157 (383)
BoneOhioInvested
$105.13
Value
$116.59
PnL
+$11.46
Record
78%
315-87 (402)
Invested
$123.62
Value
$105
PnL
-$18.62
Record
37%
160-271 (431)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$108.71
Value
$107.84
PnL
-$0.87
Record
53%
535-482 (1017)
Invested
$106.63
Value
$74.04
PnL
-$6.83
Record
61%
877-568 (1445)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$191.25
Value
—
PnL
-$191.25
Record
29%
239-572 (811)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$64.97
Value
$66.3
PnL
+$1.33
Record
38%
195-324 (519)
Invested
$59.37
Value
$61
PnL
+$1.63
Record
64%
784-440 (1224)
Invested
$34.5
Value
$60.43
PnL
+$25.93
Record
47%
226-258 (484)
Invested
$79.36
Value
$50
PnL
-$29.36
Record
18%
193-888 (1081)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100Invested
$52.36
Value
$50
PnL
-$2.36
Record
24%
168-544 (712)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$35.35
Value
$45
PnL
+$9.65
Record
44%
400-513 (913)
Invested
$33.6
Value
$41.06
PnL
+$7.46
Record
43%
196-261 (457)
Invested
$31.8
Value
$60
PnL
+$28.2
Record
40%
402-591 (993)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$29.65
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.35
Record
53%
3898-3390 (7288)
Invested
$92.78
Value
—
PnL
-$92.78
Record
50%
3470-3505 (6975)
Invested
$83.41
Value
—
PnL
-$83.41
Record
38%
236-379 (615)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$19.79
Value
$21
PnL
+$2.08
Record
41%
103-146 (249)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $723.48
1000monkeys
Up — $378.58
blue.birds
Up — $310.14
0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335
Up — $294.58
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $265.42
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $252.29
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $232.25
Bonereaper
Up — $136.44
BoneOhio
Up — $116.59
GoodFallen
Up — $105