Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
35
Down 79%
$8.6K
$629.61
Smart Money Signal
28 of 35 top traders (80%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $3.0K | $3.0K | +$3.01 | 41% 223-323 (546) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.8¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K | +$15.29 | 98% 867-17 (884) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 89¢ | $1.3K | $1.2K | -$17.21 | 59% 226-157 (383) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 76¢ | $364.8 | $480 | +$115.2 | 49% 392-405 (797) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 77.5¢ | $352.28 | $454.72 | +$102.44 | 29% 239-572 (811) |
BO bosona | Downavg 84¢ | $266.09 | $303.59 | +$37.5 | 50% 3470-3505 (6975) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 55.4¢ | $221.01 | $396.23 | +$175.22 | 45% 219-265 (484) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 85.7¢ | $164.42 | $186.8 | +$22.38 | 53% 505-440 (945) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 62.1¢ | $151.65 | $165.63 | +$13.98 | 54% 302-258 (560) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 76.2¢ | $129.55 | $106.74 | -$22.81 | 42% 164-223 (387) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 58¢ | $65.02 | $112.07 | +$47.05 | 51% 177-168 (345) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 61¢ | $62.5 | $100 | +$37.5 | 52% 3028-2788 (5816) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 79.2¢ | $71.65 | $88.24 | +$16.59 | 64% 784-440 (1224) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 90.9¢ | $68.15 | $75 | +$6.85 | 44% 385-488 (873) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 77.9¢ | $83.78 | $70 | -$13.79 | 37% 160-271 (431) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 89.6¢ | $51.07 | $57 | +$5.93 | 53% 535-482 (1017) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 53¢ | $57.52 | $108.53 | +$51.01 | 40% 402-591 (993) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 71.4¢ | $109.77 | $53.6 | +$34.76 | 53% 564-506 (1070) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Downavg 80.1¢ | $40.65 | $50.73 | +$10.08 | 41% 103-146 (249) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 66.9¢ | $33.45 | $50 | +$16.55 | 44% 400-513 (913) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 80.3¢ | $32.1 | $40 | +$7.9 | 48% 400-433 (833) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $33 | $50 | +$17 | 49% 2719-2815 (5534) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $26.96 | $27 | +$0.04 | 37% 186-313 (499) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $29.6 | $40 | +$10.4 | 43% 196-261 (457) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $20.72 | $28 | +$7.28 | 78% 315-87 (402) |
Invested
$3,005
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$3.01
Record
41%
223-323 (546)
Invested
$1,248.22
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$15.29
Record
98%
867-17 (884)
Invested
$1,265.17
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$17.21
Record
59%
226-157 (383)
Invested
$364.8
Value
$480
PnL
+$115.2
Record
49%
392-405 (797)
machinelearnedInvested
$352.28
Value
$454.72
PnL
+$102.44
Record
29%
239-572 (811)
Invested
$266.09
Value
$303.59
PnL
+$37.5
Record
50%
3470-3505 (6975)
Invested
$221.01
Value
$396.23
PnL
+$175.22
Record
45%
219-265 (484)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$164.42
Value
$186.8
PnL
+$22.38
Record
53%
505-440 (945)
Invested
$151.65
Value
$165.63
PnL
+$13.98
Record
54%
302-258 (560)
Invested
$129.55
Value
$106.74
PnL
-$22.81
Record
42%
164-223 (387)
Invested
$65.02
Value
$112.07
PnL
+$47.05
Record
51%
177-168 (345)
Invested
$62.5
Value
$100
PnL
+$37.5
Record
52%
3028-2788 (5816)
Invested
$71.65
Value
$88.24
PnL
+$16.59
Record
64%
784-440 (1224)
Invested
$68.15
Value
$75
PnL
+$6.85
Record
44%
385-488 (873)
Invested
$83.78
Value
$70
PnL
-$13.79
Record
37%
160-271 (431)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$51.07
Value
$57
PnL
+$5.93
Record
53%
535-482 (1017)
Invested
$57.52
Value
$108.53
PnL
+$51.01
Record
40%
402-591 (993)
Invested
$109.77
Value
$53.6
PnL
+$34.76
Record
53%
564-506 (1070)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$40.65
Value
$50.73
PnL
+$10.08
Record
41%
103-146 (249)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$33.45
Value
$50
PnL
+$16.55
Record
44%
400-513 (913)
ohioism<$100Invested
$32.1
Value
$40
PnL
+$7.9
Record
48%
400-433 (833)
Invested
$33
Value
$50
PnL
+$17
Record
49%
2719-2815 (5534)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$26.96
Value
$27
PnL
+$0.04
Record
37%
186-313 (499)
Invested
$29.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$10.4
Record
43%
196-261 (457)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$20.72
Value
$28
PnL
+$7.28
Record
78%
315-87 (402)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $3.0K
hoodquant
Down — $1.3K
Bonereaper
Down — $1.2K
uninformedfloww
Down — $480
machinelearned
Down — $454.72
bosona
Down — $303.59
CrouchPredictions
Down — $396.23
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $186.8
1000monkeys
Down — $165.63
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $106.74