Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
31
Down 84%
$12.1K
$474.94
Smart Money Signal
26 of 31 top traders (84%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $2.9K | $2.9K | +$28.8 | 78% 315-87 (402) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $2.5K | $2.5K | +$2.5 | 41% 223-323 (546) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 93.8¢ | $2.1K | $2.1K | +$30.63 | 59% 226-157 (383) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 83.5¢ | $751.5 | $900 | +$148.5 | 29% 239-572 (811) |
AL almach | Downavg 80¢ | $430 | $500 | +$70 | 39% 234-369 (603) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 85.2¢ | $456.89 | $480 | +$23.11 | 53% 505-440 (945) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 76.4¢ | $431.12 | $454.6 | +$23.49 | 54% 302-258 (560) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 81.8¢ | $312.58 | $382.01 | +$69.43 | 45% 219-265 (484) |
0X 0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212 | Downavg 83.4¢ | $360.55 | $357.38 | -$3.17 | 55% 190-157 (347) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 87¢ | $190.52 | $219 | +$28.48 | 53% 535-482 (1017) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 82.5¢ | $177.2 | $199 | +$21.8 | 52% 3028-2788 (5816) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 81.8¢ | $204.2 | $167.12 | -$18.48 | 42% 164-223 (387) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 85.5¢ | $155.42 | $149.99 | -$5.43 | 37% 160-271 (431) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 85.3¢ | $136.7 | $150 | +$13.3 | 18% 193-888 (1081) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 82.3¢ | $131.6 | $160 | +$28.4 | 49% 392-405 (797) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 83.8¢ | $128.4 | $101.71 | -$11.47 | 43% 196-261 (457) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 80.5¢ | $100.8 | $70 | +$18.2 | 53% 564-506 (1070) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 88.6¢ | $56.02 | $63.21 | +$7.19 | 37% 186-313 (499) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 87.8¢ | $54.72 | $62.29 | +$7.57 | 38% 195-324 (519) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83.4¢ | $43.91 | $52.63 | +$8.72 | 64% 784-440 (1224) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $42.59 | $30 | -$12.59 | 53% 3898-3390 (7288) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 77.9¢ | $23.08 | $29.62 | +$6.54 | 47% 226-258 (484) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $26.69 | $27.23 | +$0.54 | 98% 867-17 (884) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $18.05 | $20 | +$1.95 | 44% 400-513 (913) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 82.5¢ | $8.85 | $10.73 | +$1.88 | 55% 552-445 (997) |
BoneOhioInvested
$2,850.9
Value
$2.9K
PnL
+$28.8
Record
78%
315-87 (402)
Invested
$2,495.32
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$2.5
Record
41%
223-323 (546)
Invested
$2,094.1
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$30.63
Record
59%
226-157 (383)
machinelearnedInvested
$751.5
Value
$900
PnL
+$148.5
Record
29%
239-572 (811)
Invested
$430
Value
$500
PnL
+$70
Record
39%
234-369 (603)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$456.89
Value
$480
PnL
+$23.11
Record
53%
505-440 (945)
Invested
$431.12
Value
$454.6
PnL
+$23.49
Record
54%
302-258 (560)
Invested
$312.58
Value
$382.01
PnL
+$69.43
Record
45%
219-265 (484)
Invested
$360.55
Value
$357.38
PnL
-$3.17
Record
55%
190-157 (347)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$190.52
Value
$219
PnL
+$28.48
Record
53%
535-482 (1017)
Invested
$177.2
Value
$199
PnL
+$21.8
Record
52%
3028-2788 (5816)
Invested
$204.2
Value
$167.12
PnL
-$18.48
Record
42%
164-223 (387)
Invested
$155.42
Value
$149.99
PnL
-$5.43
Record
37%
160-271 (431)
Invested
$136.7
Value
$150
PnL
+$13.3
Record
18%
193-888 (1081)
Invested
$131.6
Value
$160
PnL
+$28.4
Record
49%
392-405 (797)
Invested
$128.4
Value
$101.71
PnL
-$11.47
Record
43%
196-261 (457)
Invested
$100.8
Value
$70
PnL
+$18.2
Record
53%
564-506 (1070)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$56.02
Value
$63.21
PnL
+$7.19
Record
37%
186-313 (499)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$54.72
Value
$62.29
PnL
+$7.57
Record
38%
195-324 (519)
Invested
$43.91
Value
$52.63
PnL
+$8.72
Record
64%
784-440 (1224)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$42.59
Value
$30
PnL
-$12.59
Record
53%
3898-3390 (7288)
Invested
$23.08
Value
$29.62
PnL
+$6.54
Record
47%
226-258 (484)
Invested
$26.69
Value
$27.23
PnL
+$0.54
Record
98%
867-17 (884)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$18.05
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.95
Record
44%
400-513 (913)
Invested
$8.85
Value
$10.73
PnL
+$1.88
Record
55%
552-445 (997)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Down — $2.9K
0x50f7
Down — $2.5K
Bonereaper
Down — $2.1K
machinelearned
Down — $900
almach
Down — $500
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $480
1000monkeys
Down — $454.6
CrouchPredictions
Down — $382.01
0x7743AEa53ACd19E496C1C515EB0a143fb437fB42-1780258394212
Down — $357.38
MayorMamdani
Down — $219