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Down
FairValueMachineCTR<$100UpUp
Istaroth<$100DownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 50%
Total Value
$90.69
Combined PnL
$45.8
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$90.69
Total Shares91
Combined PnL+$90.23
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares78
Combined PnL-$44.43
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a<$100 | Downavg 37.7¢ | $32.29 | $85.69 | +$53.4 | 52% 2180-1978 (4158) |
FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 56.8¢ | $41.59 | — | -$41.59 | 54% 13761-11752 (25513) |
HO hoodquantCTR<$100 | Upavg 56.7¢ | $2.84 | — | -$2.84 | 89% 29663-3561 (33224) |
Istaroth<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $0.65 | $5 | +$4.35 | 13% 603-4221 (4824) |
TH THG. | Downavg 99¢ | $3.4K | — | +$32.48 | 56% 30456-23661 (54117) |
0X
0xdc27...afdd9a<$100Invested
$32.29
Value
$85.69
PnL
+$53.4
Record
52%
2180-1978 (4158)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$41.59
Value
—
PnL
-$41.59
Record
54%
13761-11752 (25513)
HO
hoodquantCTR<$100Invested
$2.84
Value
—
PnL
-$2.84
Record
89%
29663-3561 (33224)
Istaroth<$100Invested
$0.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.35
Record
13%
603-4221 (4824)
TH
THG.Invested
$3,360.52
Value
—
PnL
+$32.48
Record
56%
30456-23661 (54117)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x940e1e38...1505ed
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1794144000