Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Resolved Up. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 85%

Total Value

$8.7K

Combined PnL

$584.63

Smart Money Signal

41 of 49 top traders (84%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%28 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up41 traders

Total Value$8.7K

Total Shares8,672

Combined PnL+$777.71

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares717

Combined PnL-$193.08

Up — 84%Down — 16%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$3.4K	$3.4K	+$34.02	56% 29588-23194 (52782)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 92.2¢	$463.52	$495.56	+$32.04	56% 15338-12043 (27381)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 93.4¢	$401.89	$392.09	-$9.8	64% 59684-34217 (93901)
machinelearned	Upavg 70.6¢	$304.4	$393.69	+$89.29	55% 9284-7686 (16970)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 79.8¢	$357.39	$386.87	+$29.47	48% 5197-5597 (10794)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 68¢	$282.86	$343.2	+$60.35	50% 5897-5900 (11797)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 89¢	$275.99	$299.99	+$24	51% 17357-16841 (34198)
pspspsps5	Upavg 78.8¢	$228.98	$290.6	+$61.62	46% 39224-46633 (85857)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Upavg 75.4¢	$220.51	$241.46	+$20.94	62% 29310-18336 (47646)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 90.3¢	$207.73	$230.03	+$22.3	57% 76018-58426 (134444)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Upavg 62.8¢	$176.93	$204.99	+$28.06	59% 25673-17812 (43485)
SP spartacray	Upavg 68.5¢	$175.9	$200.79	+$24.88	53% 27933-24698 (52631)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 84.4¢	$172	$169.41	-$2.58	51% 10713-10214 (20927)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 49.5¢	$139.18	—	-$139.18	58% 39201-28267 (67468)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Upavg 84.1¢	$115.66	$136.24	+$20.58	58% 61970-45344 (107314)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335	Upavg 77.9¢	$98.17	$122.55	+$24.37	53% 9979-9007 (18986)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 80.2¢	$94.11	$114.34	+$20.22	55% 13084-10661 (23745)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 76.1¢	$86.11	$105.32	+$19.21	54% 16142-13537 (29679)
0X 0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877	Upavg 50¢	$51	$100	+$49	52% 9157-8459 (17616)
OhioAI<$100	Upavg 70.1¢	$63.13	$90	+$26.87	54% 10131-8505 (18636)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 58¢	$76.9	$121.45	+$44.55	49% 79457-82870 (162327)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 89.2¢	$71.6	$80.24	+$8.64	55% 19429-15922 (35351)
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 51.8¢	$65.78	$111.8	+$46.02	59% 10509-7250 (17759)
GO GoodFallen<$100	Upavg 77¢	$48.75	$60	+$11.25	55% 14370-11758 (26128)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 79¢	$49.35	$62.44	+$13.08	65% 128149-68569 (196718)

THG.

Invested

$3,367.98

Value

$3.4K

PnL

+$34.02

Record

56%

29588-23194 (52782)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$463.52

Value

$495.56

PnL

+$32.04

Record

56%

15338-12043 (27381)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$401.89

Value

$392.09

PnL

-$9.8

Record

64%

59684-34217 (93901)

machinelearned

Invested

$304.4

Value

$393.69

PnL

+$89.29

Record

55%

9284-7686 (16970)

asdcaxz

Invested

$357.39

Value

$386.87

PnL

+$29.47

Record

48%

5197-5597 (10794)

ply-pm0

Invested

$282.86

Value

$343.2

PnL

+$60.35

Record

50%

5897-5900 (11797)

gansinimen

Invested

$275.99

Value

$299.99

PnL

+$24

Record

51%

17357-16841 (34198)

pspspsps5

Invested

$228.98

Value

$290.6

PnL

+$61.62

Record

46%

39224-46633 (85857)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Invested

$220.51

Value

$241.46

PnL

+$20.94

Record

62%

29310-18336 (47646)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$207.73

Value

$230.03

PnL

+$22.3

Record

57%

76018-58426 (134444)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Invested

$176.93

Value

$204.99

PnL

+$28.06

Record

59%

25673-17812 (43485)

spartacray

Invested

$175.9

Value

$200.79

PnL

+$24.88

Record

53%

27933-24698 (52631)

blue.birds

Invested

$172

Value

$169.41

PnL

-$2.58

Record

51%

10713-10214 (20927)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Down

Invested

$139.18

Value

—

PnL

-$139.18

Record

58%

39201-28267 (67468)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Invested

$115.66

Value

$136.24

PnL

+$20.58

Record

58%

61970-45344 (107314)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Invested

$98.17

Value

$122.55

PnL

+$24.37

Record

53%

9979-9007 (18986)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$94.11

Value

$114.34

PnL

+$20.22

Record

55%

13084-10661 (23745)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$86.11

Value

$105.32

PnL

+$19.21

Record

54%

16142-13537 (29679)

0x3708CEF9f92678DF15A0473e36c45d68A16cdAf9-1780222715877

Invested

$51

Value

$100

PnL

+$49

Record

52%

9157-8459 (17616)

OhioAI<$100

Invested

$63.13

Value

$90

PnL

+$26.87

Record

54%

10131-8505 (18636)

OhioRiskManagement

Invested

$76.9

Value

$121.45

PnL

+$44.55

Record

49%

79457-82870 (162327)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$71.6

Value

$80.24

PnL

+$8.64

Record

55%

19429-15922 (35351)

1000monkeys

Invested

$65.78

Value

$111.8

PnL

+$46.02

Record

59%

10509-7250 (17759)

GoodFallen<$100

Invested

$48.75

Value

$60

PnL

+$11.25

Record

55%

14370-11758 (26128)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$49.35

Value

$62.44

PnL

+$13.08

Record

65%

128149-68569 (196718)

Smart Money Signal

41 of 49 top traders (84%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%28 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd5d0ae40...aa2349

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793746200

Traders in this Market

THG.

Up — $3.4K

+$34.02

CrouchPredictions

Up — $495.56

+$32.04

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $392.09

-$9.8

machinelearned

Up — $393.69

+$89.29

asdcaxz

Up — $386.87

+$29.47

ply-pm0

Up — $343.2

+$60.35

gansinimen

Up — $299.99

+$24

pspspsps5

Up — $290.6

+$61.62

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Up — $241.46

+$20.94

uninformedfloww

Up — $230.03

+$22.3

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