Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 82%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

-$0.99

Smart Money Signal

15 of 18 top traders (83%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up15 traders

Total Value$902.11

Total Shares902

Combined PnL+$115.65

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares237

Combined PnL-$116.63

Up — 83%Down — 17%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm0ARB<$100	Upavg 80.3¢	$298.08	$300.06	+$1.99	50% 5488-5538 (11026)
└ Up leg	Upavg 80.3¢	$240.97	$300.06	+$59.09
└ Down leg	Downavg 19.1¢	$57.11	—	-$57.11
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsARB<$100	Upavg 65.8¢	$190.5	$150	-$40.5	55% 15723-13089 (28812)
└ Up leg	Upavg 65.8¢	$98.7	$150	+$51.3
└ Down leg	Downavg 25.1¢	$91.8	—	-$91.8
pspspsps5	Upavg 86.5¢	$149.72	$173.05	+$23.33	46% 38481-45439 (83920)
SF sfkjbsr457ARB<$100	Upavg 83.3¢	$109.94	$96	-$13.94	54% 8234-6922 (15156)
└ Up leg	Upavg 83.3¢	$79.92	$96	+$16.08
└ Down leg	Downavg 24.6¢	$30.02	—	-$30.02
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100	Downavg 38.3¢	$80.03	—	-$80.03	56% 8198-6333 (14531)
OhioRiskManagement	Upavg 86.4¢	$107.16	$124	+$16.84	49% 78322-81818 (160140)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Upavg 80.8¢	$71.82	$75.94	+$4.12	55% 7679-6277 (13956)
BoneOhio	Upavg 76¢	$76.76	$101	+$24.24	74% 102892-36499 (139391)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 92.7¢	$59.84	$64.58	+$4.74	66% 126669-65209 (191878)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 96.2¢	$62.08	$64.5	+$2.42	61% 95670-60340 (156010)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 96¢	$59.4	$61.88	+$2.48	65% 126019-67412 (193431)
machinelearned<$100	Upavg 76¢	$38.9	$50	+$11.1	55% 8849-7304 (16153)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100	Upavg 97¢	$55.66	$44	-$11.66	60% 12463-8270 (20733)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 54.7¢	$26.39	$48.25	+$21.86	59% 6971-4900 (11871)
SE seeeeeeb<$100	Upavg 75¢	$25.8	$34.4	+$8.6	52% 769-716 (1485)
BO Bonereaper<$100	Upavg 69¢	$24.67	$23	-$1.67	66% 99414-51548 (150962)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 75¢	$19.5	$26	+$6.5	56% 58449-45097 (103546)
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100	Downavg 41¢	$15.65	—	-$15.65	56% 13969-11089 (25058)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100	Downavg 42.2¢	$20.95	—	-$20.95	57% 12686-9747 (22433)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 76¢	$8.75	$11.51	+$2.76	64% 24337-13438 (37775)
AR arcsine-barrister<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	56% 3676-2845 (6521)