Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
30
Up 62%
$3.4K
-$520.13
Smart Money Signal
19 of 30 top traders (63%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.4¢ | $921.12 | $935.99 | +$14.88 | 93% 24070-1801 (25871) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 91.9¢ | $587.59 | $572.24 | -$15.34 | 50% 5488-5538 (11026) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 84.8¢ | $267.36 | $269 | +$1.64 | 55% 7679-6277 (13956) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Downavg 25.1¢ | $337.78 | — | -$337.78 | 55% 15723-13089 (28812) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 71.5¢ | $254.95 | $237.99 | -$16.96 | 57% 12686-9747 (22433) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 64.8¢ | $231.43 | $209.24 | -$22.19 | 56% 13969-11089 (25058) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 83.2¢ | $208.41 | $186.4 | -$22.01 | 60% 12463-8270 (20733) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 74.4¢ | $141.09 | $156.99 | +$15.9 | 54% 8234-6922 (15156) |
 Atomforge | Upavg 96.6¢ | $159.97 | $153.94 | -$6.03 | 65% 4192-2299 (6491) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 58.8¢ | $134.84 | $229.32 | +$94.49 | 58% 38265-27402 (65667) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 91.5¢ | $119.88 | $99.99 | -$19.88 | 55% 8849-7304 (16153) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.1¢ | $60 | — | -$60 | 62% 44084-27095 (71179) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Downavg 16.1¢ | $104.28 | — | -$104.28 | 66% 99414-51548 (150962) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 97.8¢ | $76.31 | $72.08 | -$4.23 | 63% 52258-31335 (83593) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $51.6 | $65.32 | +$13.72 | 65% 126019-67412 (193431) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 77.3¢ | $46.68 | $60.36 | +$13.68 | 66% 126669-65209 (191878) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 73.5¢ | $29.4 | $40 | +$10.6 | 55% 24090-19445 (43535) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $32.76 | $36 | +$3.24 | 49% 78322-81818 (160140) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 69.2¢ | $32.43 | $45.16 | +$12.73 | 64% 24337-13438 (37775) |
SE seeeeeeb<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $30.55 | $47 | +$16.45 | 52% 769-716 (1485) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 51.2¢ | $28.49 | — | -$28.49 | 59% 6971-4900 (11871) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.6¢ | $25 | — | -$25 | 35% 19006-36004 (55010) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.6¢ | $42.28 | — | -$42.28 | 66% 112380-59138 (171518) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 84.9¢ | $12.96 | $15.26 | +$2.3 | 46% 38481-45439 (83920) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.55 | — | -$1.55 | 52% 90979-85505 (176484) |
Invested
$921.12
Value
$935.99
PnL
+$14.88
Record
93%
24070-1801 (25871)
Invested
$587.59
Value
$572.24
PnL
-$15.34
Record
50%
5488-5538 (11026)
Invested
$267.36
Value
$269
PnL
+$1.64
Record
55%
7679-6277 (13956)
Invested
$337.78
Value
—
PnL
-$337.78
Record
55%
15723-13089 (28812)
FairValueMachineInvested
$254.95
Value
$237.99
PnL
-$16.96
Record
57%
12686-9747 (22433)
Invested
$231.43
Value
$209.24
PnL
-$22.19
Record
56%
13969-11089 (25058)
Invested
$208.41
Value
$186.4
PnL
-$22.01
Record
60%
12463-8270 (20733)
Invested
$141.09
Value
$156.99
PnL
+$15.9
Record
54%
8234-6922 (15156)
AtomforgeInvested
$159.97
Value
$153.94
PnL
-$6.03
Record
65%
4192-2299 (6491)
Invested
$134.84
Value
$229.32
PnL
+$94.49
Record
58%
38265-27402 (65667)
machinelearnedInvested
$119.88
Value
$99.99
PnL
-$19.88
Record
55%
8849-7304 (16153)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$60
Value
—
PnL
-$60
Record
62%
44084-27095 (71179)
Invested
$104.28
Value
—
PnL
-$104.28
Record
66%
99414-51548 (150962)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$76.31
Value
$72.08
PnL
-$4.23
Record
63%
52258-31335 (83593)
Invested
$51.6
Value
$65.32
PnL
+$13.72
Record
65%
126019-67412 (193431)
Invested
$46.68
Value
$60.36
PnL
+$13.68
Record
66%
126669-65209 (191878)
Invested
$29.4
Value
$40
PnL
+$10.6
Record
55%
24090-19445 (43535)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$32.76
Value
$36
PnL
+$3.24
Record
49%
78322-81818 (160140)
Invested
$32.43
Value
$45.16
PnL
+$12.73
Record
64%
24337-13438 (37775)
Invested
$30.55
Value
$47
PnL
+$16.45
Record
52%
769-716 (1485)
Invested
$28.49
Value
—
PnL
-$28.49
Record
59%
6971-4900 (11871)
Invested
$25
Value
—
PnL
-$25
Record
35%
19006-36004 (55010)
Invested
$42.28
Value
—
PnL
-$42.28
Record
66%
112380-59138 (171518)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$12.96
Value
$15.26
PnL
+$2.3
Record
46%
38481-45439 (83920)
Invested
$1.55
Value
—
PnL
-$1.55
Record
52%
90979-85505 (176484)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $935.99
ply-pm0
Up — $572.24
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $269
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRDown — $0
FairValueMachine
Up — $237.99
GoodFallen
Up — $209.24
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $186.4
sfkjbsr457
Up — $156.99
Atomforge
Up — $153.94
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $229.32