Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 48% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Up 44%
$2.5K
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
14 of 29 top traders (48%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 50.9¢ | $376.27 | $738.94 | +$362.67 | 58% 38265-27402 (65667) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $425.12 | $429.41 | +$4.29 | 93% 24070-1801 (25871) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Downavg 38.9¢ | $570.59 | — | -$570.59 | 55% 15723-13089 (28812) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 43.9¢ | $144.15 | $259.93 | +$115.78 | 57% 12686-9747 (22433) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 63.5¢ | $153.35 | $227.07 | +$73.72 | 60% 12463-8270 (20733) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Downavg 33.7¢ | $238.35 | — | -$238.35 | 50% 5488-5538 (11026) |
GO GoodFallenCTR | Downavg 30.9¢ | $275.84 | — | -$275.84 | 56% 13969-11089 (25058) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 37.1¢ | $63.06 | $170 | +$106.94 | 56% 8198-6333 (14531) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Downavg 28.9¢ | $276.14 | — | -$276.14 | 66% 99414-51548 (150962) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 65.6¢ | $190.72 | $164.93 | -$25.78 | 54% 8234-6922 (15156) |
LI Little-bigCTR | Downavg 63.1¢ | $201.73 | — | -$201.73 | 35% 19006-36004 (55010) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8 | Upavg 87.8¢ | $139.78 | $123.71 | -$16.07 | 65% 126019-67412 (193431) |
AS asdaefef | Upavg 82.9¢ | $127.76 | $110.95 | -$16.81 | 66% 126669-65209 (191878) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 69.1¢ | $136.24 | $97.49 | -$35.95 | 55% 7679-6277 (13956) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 52.5¢ | $59.29 | $83.59 | +$24.29 | 46% 38481-45439 (83920) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $55.99 | $79.99 | +$24 | 55% 24090-19445 (43535) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 53.4¢ | $70.13 | — | -$58.23 | 61% 95670-60340 (156010) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $8.4 | $40 | +$31.6 | 56% 58449-45097 (103546) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $6.75 | — | -$6.75 | 55% 18159-14741 (32900) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 46.4¢ | $67.82 | — | -$67.82 | 62% 44084-27095 (71179) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 64.9¢ | $87.12 | — | -$87.12 | 59% 6971-4900 (11871) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $61.13 | — | -$61.13 | 74% 102892-36499 (139391) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 51.4¢ | $25.95 | — | -$25.95 | 52% 90979-85505 (176484) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.5¢ | $22.94 | — | -$22.94 | 64% 40441-23156 (63597) |
 machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $17.07 | — | -$17.07 | 55% 8849-7304 (16153) |
Invested
$376.27
Value
$738.94
PnL
+$362.67
Record
58%
38265-27402 (65667)
Invested
$425.12
Value
$429.41
PnL
+$4.29
Record
93%
24070-1801 (25871)
Invested
$570.59
Value
—
PnL
-$570.59
Record
55%
15723-13089 (28812)
FairValueMachineInvested
$144.15
Value
$259.93
PnL
+$115.78
Record
57%
12686-9747 (22433)
Invested
$153.35
Value
$227.07
PnL
+$73.72
Record
60%
12463-8270 (20733)
Invested
$238.35
Value
—
PnL
-$238.35
Record
50%
5488-5538 (11026)
Invested
$275.84
Value
—
PnL
-$275.84
Record
56%
13969-11089 (25058)
Invested
$63.06
Value
$170
PnL
+$106.94
Record
56%
8198-6333 (14531)
Invested
$276.14
Value
—
PnL
-$276.14
Record
66%
99414-51548 (150962)
Invested
$190.72
Value
$164.93
PnL
-$25.78
Record
54%
8234-6922 (15156)
Invested
$201.73
Value
—
PnL
-$201.73
Record
35%
19006-36004 (55010)
Invested
$139.78
Value
$123.71
PnL
-$16.07
Record
65%
126019-67412 (193431)
Invested
$127.76
Value
$110.95
PnL
-$16.81
Record
66%
126669-65209 (191878)
Invested
$136.24
Value
$97.49
PnL
-$35.95
Record
55%
7679-6277 (13956)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$59.29
Value
$83.59
PnL
+$24.29
Record
46%
38481-45439 (83920)
Invested
$55.99
Value
$79.99
PnL
+$24
Record
55%
24090-19445 (43535)
Invested
$70.13
Value
—
PnL
-$58.23
Record
61%
95670-60340 (156010)
Invested
$8.4
Value
$40
PnL
+$31.6
Record
56%
58449-45097 (103546)
Invested
$6.75
Value
—
PnL
-$6.75
Record
55%
18159-14741 (32900)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$67.82
Value
—
PnL
-$67.82
Record
62%
44084-27095 (71179)
Invested
$87.12
Value
—
PnL
-$87.12
Record
59%
6971-4900 (11871)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$61.13
Value
—
PnL
-$61.13
Record
74%
102892-36499 (139391)
Invested
$25.95
Value
—
PnL
-$25.95
Record
52%
90979-85505 (176484)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$22.94
Value
—
PnL
-$22.94
Record
64%
40441-23156 (63597)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$17.07
Value
—
PnL
-$17.07
Record
55%
8849-7304 (16153)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $738.94
hoodquant
Up — $429.41
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRDown — $0
FairValueMachine
Up — $259.93
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $227.07
ply-pm0
CTRDown — $0
GoodFallen
CTRDown — $0
wzbbb
Up — $170
Bonereaper
CTRDown — $0
sfkjbsr457
Up — $164.93