Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Down 68%
$3.0K
$69.31
Smart Money Signal
20 of 29 top traders (69%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | -$1.2 | 59% 62529-43642 (106171) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 88.5¢ | $459.78 | $519.28 | +$59.5 | 55% 8834-7294 (16128) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 85.5¢ | $286.25 | $319.56 | +$33.31 | 66% 99403-51545 (150948) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 85.4¢ | $278.37 | $263.8 | -$14.57 | 50% 5477-5524 (11001) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 92.2¢ | $233.67 | $229.49 | -$4.18 | 54% 8224-6907 (15131) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 66.9¢ | $132.71 | $159.43 | +$26.72 | 55% 15710-13078 (28788) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 85.1¢ | $121.14 | $120.78 | -$0.36 | 55% 7664-6267 (13931) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $44.4 | $60 | +$15.6 | 65% 125977-67395 (193372) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 51.5¢ | $42.39 | $82.37 | +$39.98 | 59% 6966-4892 (11858) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 88.6¢ | $37.3 | $42.09 | +$4.79 | 66% 126616-65192 (191808) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 91.8¢ | $31.82 | $34.65 | +$2.83 | 61% 95475-60241 (155716) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $32.99 | — | -$32.99 | 57% 12676-9740 (22416) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.7¢ | $31.35 | — | -$31.35 | 56% 13958-11077 (25035) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.5¢ | $23.25 | — | -$23.25 | 57% 71395-54409 (125804) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 80.6¢ | $20.45 | $25.36 | +$4.91 | 55% 18138-14723 (32861) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 67.5¢ | $17 | $25.18 | +$8.18 | 58% 60853-44436 (105289) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $13.78 | — | -$13.78 | 60% 12450-8258 (20708) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.5¢ | $16.4 | — | -$16.4 | 62% 44057-27075 (71132) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $11.28 | $12.67 | +$1.39 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $14.99 | $17.85 | +$2.86 | 66% 112373-59102 (171475) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $3.09 | — | -$3.09 | 49% 78295-81799 (160094) |
PA Parad0X<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $12 | $21.05 | +$9.05 | 56% 2253-1755 (4008) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $10.56 | $11 | +$0.44 | 52% 90943-85477 (176420) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $8.47 | $16.29 | +$7.82 | 56% 8178-6319 (14497) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.2¢ | $2.04 | — | -$2.04 | 46% 38451-45413 (83864) |
Invested
$1,051.85
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$1.2
Record
59%
62529-43642 (106171)
machinelearnedInvested
$459.78
Value
$519.28
PnL
+$59.5
Record
55%
8834-7294 (16128)
Invested
$286.25
Value
$319.56
PnL
+$33.31
Record
66%
99403-51545 (150948)
Invested
$278.37
Value
$263.8
PnL
-$14.57
Record
50%
5477-5524 (11001)
Invested
$233.67
Value
$229.49
PnL
-$4.18
Record
54%
8224-6907 (15131)
Invested
$132.71
Value
$159.43
PnL
+$26.72
Record
55%
15710-13078 (28788)
Invested
$121.14
Value
$120.78
PnL
-$0.36
Record
55%
7664-6267 (13931)
Invested
$44.4
Value
$60
PnL
+$15.6
Record
65%
125977-67395 (193372)
Invested
$42.39
Value
$82.37
PnL
+$39.98
Record
59%
6966-4892 (11858)
Invested
$37.3
Value
$42.09
PnL
+$4.79
Record
66%
126616-65192 (191808)
Invested
$31.82
Value
$34.65
PnL
+$2.83
Record
61%
95475-60241 (155716)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$32.99
Value
—
PnL
-$32.99
Record
57%
12676-9740 (22416)
Invested
$31.35
Value
—
PnL
-$31.35
Record
56%
13958-11077 (25035)
Invested
$23.25
Value
—
PnL
-$23.25
Record
57%
71395-54409 (125804)
Invested
$20.45
Value
$25.36
PnL
+$4.91
Record
55%
18138-14723 (32861)
Invested
$17
Value
$25.18
PnL
+$8.18
Record
58%
60853-44436 (105289)
Invested
$13.78
Value
—
PnL
-$13.78
Record
60%
12450-8258 (20708)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$16.4
Value
—
PnL
-$16.4
Record
62%
44057-27075 (71132)
Invested
$11.28
Value
$12.67
PnL
+$1.39
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
Invested
$14.99
Value
$17.85
PnL
+$2.86
Record
66%
112373-59102 (171475)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.09
Value
—
PnL
-$3.09
Record
49%
78295-81799 (160094)
Invested
$12
Value
$21.05
PnL
+$9.05
Record
56%
2253-1755 (4008)
Invested
$10.56
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.44
Record
52%
90943-85477 (176420)
Invested
$8.47
Value
$16.29
PnL
+$7.82
Record
56%
8178-6319 (14497)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.04
Value
—
PnL
-$2.04
Record
46%
38451-45413 (83864)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $1.1K
machinelearned
Down — $519.28
Bonereaper
Down — $319.56
ply-pm0
Down — $263.8
sfkjbsr457
Down — $229.49
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $159.43
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $120.78
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $60
13897651
Down — $82.37
asdaefef
Down — $42.09