Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Resolved Down. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 67%

Total Value

$694.52

Combined PnL

$222.68

Smart Money Signal

Down

15 of 29 top traders (52%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%26 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down15 traders

Total Value$694.52

Total Shares695

Combined PnL+$258.81

Up14 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares91

Combined PnL-$36.13

Down — 52%Up — 48%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Downavg 71.6¢	$199.84	$233.48	+$33.64	55% 7679-6277 (13956)
SF sfkjbsr457	Downavg 75.1¢	$208.41	$212.56	+$216.7	54% 8234-6922 (15156)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Downavg 83.4¢	$136.77	$102.5	-$34.26	60% 12463-8270 (20733)
machinelearned<$100	Downavg 70.5¢	$65.42	$82.15	+$16.73	55% 8849-7304 (16153)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 56.6¢	$28.46	$50.29	+$21.83	64% 24337-13438 (37775)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 69.3¢	$9.38	$13.54	+$4.16	52% 90979-85505 (176484)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 48¢	$24	—	-$24	58% 51244-37362 (88606)
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100	Upavg 23¢	$5.18	—	-$5.18	55% 24090-19445 (43535)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 38.3¢	$6.95	—	-$6.95	55% 18159-14741 (32900)
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100	Upavg 34.7¢	—	—	+$0	55% 15723-13089 (28812)
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100	Upavg 38.9¢	—	—	+$0	56% 13969-11089 (25058)
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	56% 3676-2845 (6521)
BO BonereaperCTR<$100	Upavg 29.6¢	—	—	+$0	66% 99414-51548 (150962)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100	Upavg 36.5¢	—	—	+$0	57% 12686-9747 (22433)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 49.2¢	—	—	+$0	58% 38265-27402 (65667)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 4.6¢	—	—	+$0	59% 62545-43652 (106197)
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100	Upavg 51¢	—	—	+$0	56% 8198-6333 (14531)
Atomforge<$100	Downavg 70¢	—	—	+$0	65% 4192-2299 (6491)
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100	Upavg 31.2¢	—	—	+$0	50% 5488-5538 (11026)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 66.5¢	—	—	+$0	65% 126019-67412 (193431)
RL RLWG<$100	Downavg 72¢	—	—	+$0	50% 7925-7961 (15886)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 75¢	—	—	+$0	57% 71448-54444 (125892)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 11.1¢	—	—	+$0	46% 38481-45439 (83920)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 40¢	—	—	+$0	64% 40441-23156 (63597)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 53.4¢	—	—	+$0	59% 6971-4900 (11871)