Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
31
Down 57%
$2.0K
-$369.08
Smart Money Signal
21 of 31 top traders (68%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$14.31 | 93% 24070-1801 (25871) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 94.6¢ | $429.62 | $454.13 | +$24.51 | 74% 102892-36499 (139391) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 53.8¢ | $121.05 | $173.13 | +$52.07 | 55% 7679-6277 (13956) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR | Upavg 57.1¢ | $218.84 | — | -$218.84 | 60% 12463-8270 (20733) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 99¢ | $118 | $100 | -$18 | 51% 17192-16694 (33886) |
PB PBot-6 | Downavg 52¢ | $52 | $100 | +$48 | 58% 51244-37362 (88606) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Upavg 53.6¢ | $166.83 | — | -$166.83 | 55% 8849-7304 (16153) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $22.8 | $40 | +$17.2 | 55% 24090-19445 (43535) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 49.6¢ | $19.8 | $39.94 | +$20.14 | 55% 18159-14741 (32900) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 88.5¢ | $28.06 | $30 | +$1.94 | 56% 58449-45097 (103546) |
LI Little-bigCTR | Upavg 45.4¢ | $113.56 | — | -$113.56 | 35% 19006-36004 (55010) |
SF sfkjbsr457CTR | Upavg 47.3¢ | $226.84 | — | -$13.33 | 54% 8234-6922 (15156) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 36.3¢ | $9.46 | — | -$8.94 | 64% 24337-13438 (37775) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 66.3¢ | $7.76 | — | -$7.76 | 52% 90979-85505 (176484) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3676-2845 (6521) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 56.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 99414-51548 (150962) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 38265-27402 (65667) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 8198-6333 (14531) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4192-2299 (6491) |
PL ply-pm0<$100 | Downavg 75.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 5488-5538 (11026) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 78322-81818 (160140) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 85.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 126019-67412 (193431) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 82.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 71448-54444 (125892) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 112380-59138 (171518) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 96.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 38481-45439 (83920) |
Invested
$1,065.69
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$14.31
Record
93%
24070-1801 (25871)
BoneOhioInvested
$429.62
Value
$454.13
PnL
+$24.51
Record
74%
102892-36499 (139391)
Invested
$121.05
Value
$173.13
PnL
+$52.07
Record
55%
7679-6277 (13956)
Invested
$218.84
Value
—
PnL
-$218.84
Record
60%
12463-8270 (20733)
Invested
$118
Value
$100
PnL
-$18
Record
51%
17192-16694 (33886)
Invested
$52
Value
$100
PnL
+$48
Record
58%
51244-37362 (88606)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$166.83
Value
—
PnL
-$166.83
Record
55%
8849-7304 (16153)
Invested
$22.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$17.2
Record
55%
24090-19445 (43535)
Invested
$19.8
Value
$39.94
PnL
+$20.14
Record
55%
18159-14741 (32900)
Invested
$28.06
Value
$30
PnL
+$1.94
Record
56%
58449-45097 (103546)
Invested
$113.56
Value
—
PnL
-$113.56
Record
35%
19006-36004 (55010)
Invested
$226.84
Value
—
PnL
-$13.33
Record
54%
8234-6922 (15156)
Invested
$9.46
Value
—
PnL
-$8.94
Record
64%
24337-13438 (37775)
Invested
$7.76
Value
—
PnL
-$7.76
Record
52%
90979-85505 (176484)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3676-2845 (6521)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
99414-51548 (150962)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
38265-27402 (65667)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
8198-6333 (14531)
Atomforge<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4192-2299 (6491)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
5488-5538 (11026)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
78322-81818 (160140)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
126019-67412 (193431)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
71448-54444 (125892)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
112380-59138 (171518)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
38481-45439 (83920)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.1K
BoneOhio
Down — $454.13
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $173.13
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
CTRUp — $0
gansinimen
Down — $100
PBot-6
Down — $100
machinelearned
CTRUp — $0
sir-upalot
Down — $40
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $39.94
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $30