Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 39% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
31
Up 60%
$2.1K
-$59.39
Smart Money Signal
12 of 31 top traders (39%)19 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Upavg 90.3¢ | $483.66 | $535.88 | +$52.22 | 74% 102892-36499 (139391) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.3¢ | $472.86 | $481 | +$8.14 | 93% 24070-1801 (25871) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 72¢ | $361.03 | $363.27 | +$2.24 | 55% 8849-7304 (16153) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 80.3¢ | $200.87 | $201.27 | +$0.4 | 55% 7679-6277 (13956) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 72.9¢ | $192.24 | $202.21 | +$9.97 | 60% 12463-8270 (20733) |
DV dvasdkasodk | Upavg 77.3¢ | $95.86 | $102.1 | +$6.24 | 52% 90979-85505 (176484) |
GA gansinimen | Upavg 97¢ | $145.99 | $100 | -$45.99 | 51% 17192-16694 (33886) |
AA aaa221 | Upavg 75.4¢ | $107.57 | $59.99 | -$9.59 | 64% 24337-13438 (37775) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $20.5 | $53.95 | +$33.45 | 35% 19006-36004 (55010) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $60.51 | — | -$60.51 | 58% 51244-37362 (88606) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.2¢ | $40 | — | -$40 | 55% 18159-14741 (32900) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $8 | — | -$8 | 57% 12732-9446 (22178) |
SF sfkjbsr457CTR | Downavg 25.9¢ | $415.05 | — | +$19.16 | 54% 8234-6922 (15156) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 79.8¢ | $23.76 | — | -$23.76 | 56% 58449-45097 (103546) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $3.35 | — | -$3.35 | 55% 24090-19445 (43535) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3676-2845 (6521) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 99414-51548 (150962) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 65.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 38265-27402 (65667) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 52.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 8198-6333 (14531) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4192-2299 (6491) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Downavg 35.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 5488-5538 (11026) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 78322-81818 (160140) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 126019-67412 (193431) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 64.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 71448-54444 (125892) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 59.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 112380-59138 (171518) |
BoneOhioInvested
$483.66
Value
$535.88
PnL
+$52.22
Record
74%
102892-36499 (139391)
Invested
$472.86
Value
$481
PnL
+$8.14
Record
93%
24070-1801 (25871)
machinelearnedInvested
$361.03
Value
$363.27
PnL
+$2.24
Record
55%
8849-7304 (16153)
Invested
$200.87
Value
$201.27
PnL
+$0.4
Record
55%
7679-6277 (13956)
Invested
$192.24
Value
$202.21
PnL
+$9.97
Record
60%
12463-8270 (20733)
Invested
$95.86
Value
$102.1
PnL
+$6.24
Record
52%
90979-85505 (176484)
Invested
$145.99
Value
$100
PnL
-$45.99
Record
51%
17192-16694 (33886)
Invested
$107.57
Value
$59.99
PnL
-$9.59
Record
64%
24337-13438 (37775)
Invested
$20.5
Value
$53.95
PnL
+$33.45
Record
35%
19006-36004 (55010)
Invested
$60.51
Value
—
PnL
-$60.51
Record
58%
51244-37362 (88606)
Invested
$40
Value
—
PnL
-$40
Record
55%
18159-14741 (32900)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
-$8
Record
57%
12732-9446 (22178)
Invested
$415.05
Value
—
PnL
+$19.16
Record
54%
8234-6922 (15156)
Invested
$23.76
Value
—
PnL
-$23.76
Record
56%
58449-45097 (103546)
Invested
$3.35
Value
—
PnL
-$3.35
Record
55%
24090-19445 (43535)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3676-2845 (6521)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
99414-51548 (150962)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
38265-27402 (65667)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
8198-6333 (14531)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4192-2299 (6491)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
5488-5538 (11026)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
78322-81818 (160140)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
126019-67412 (193431)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
71448-54444 (125892)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
112380-59138 (171518)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Up — $535.88
hoodquant
Up — $481
machinelearned
Up — $363.27
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $201.27
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $202.21
dvasdkasodk
Up — $102.1
gansinimen
Up — $100
aaa221
Up — $59.99
Little-big
Up — $53.95
PBot-6
CTRDown — $0