Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 77%
$1.4K
$148.27
Smart Money Signal
17 of 23 top traders (74%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 76¢ | $307.11 | $306.97 | -$0.14 | 50% 5470-5516 (10986) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 71¢ | $225.65 | $283.51 | +$57.86 | 55% 15701-13072 (28773) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 77.1¢ | $198.62 | $257.46 | +$58.84 | 55% 8826-7287 (16113) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $80.25 | $95.91 | +$15.66 | 56% 13954-11066 (25020) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 83.5¢ | $74.23 | $88 | +$13.77 | 60% 12443-8250 (20693) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 76.3¢ | $57.24 | $60 | +$7.7 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 61.8¢ | $52.52 | $55.5 | +$2.98 | 57% 12667-9734 (22401) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $36.61 | — | -$36.61 | 56% 8168-6307 (14475) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 77.5¢ | $42.45 | $30 | -$12.45 | 64% 40407-23120 (63527) |
SE seeeeeeb<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $34.36 | $41.4 | +$7.04 | 52% 764-713 (1477) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 59.9¢ | $34.66 | $57.85 | +$23.19 | 59% 6957-4888 (11845) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $23.75 | $25 | +$1.25 | 62% 44041-27052 (71093) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $25.6 | $32.41 | +$6.81 | 65% 125846-67348 (193194) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 79.2¢ | $23.75 | $30 | +$6.25 | 58% 60841-44423 (105264) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 67.2¢ | $19.27 | $28.66 | +$9.39 | 66% 126575-65169 (191744) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $12.47 | $15.53 | +$6.31 | 55% 7655-6261 (13916) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.8¢ | $6.63 | — | -$6.63 | 46% 38429-45392 (83821) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 70.4¢ | $11.4 | $16.19 | +$4.79 | 55% 18125-14708 (32833) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $8.84 | — | -$8.84 | 35% 18983-35988 (54971) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $5.88 | $6.19 | +$0.31 | 65% 4171-2279 (6450) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $4.7 | — | -$4.7 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.4¢ | $4.49 | — | -$4.49 | 49% 78260-81715 (159975) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3666-2839 (6505) |
Invested
$307.11
Value
$306.97
PnL
-$0.14
Record
50%
5470-5516 (10986)
Invested
$225.65
Value
$283.51
PnL
+$57.86
Record
55%
15701-13072 (28773)
machinelearnedInvested
$198.62
Value
$257.46
PnL
+$58.84
Record
55%
8826-7287 (16113)
Invested
$80.25
Value
$95.91
PnL
+$15.66
Record
56%
13954-11066 (25020)
Invested
$74.23
Value
$88
PnL
+$13.77
Record
60%
12443-8250 (20693)
Invested
$57.24
Value
$60
PnL
+$7.7
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$52.52
Value
$55.5
PnL
+$2.98
Record
57%
12667-9734 (22401)
Invested
$36.61
Value
—
PnL
-$36.61
Record
56%
8168-6307 (14475)
ohioism<$100Invested
$42.45
Value
$30
PnL
-$12.45
Record
64%
40407-23120 (63527)
Invested
$34.36
Value
$41.4
PnL
+$7.04
Record
52%
764-713 (1477)
Invested
$34.66
Value
$57.85
PnL
+$23.19
Record
59%
6957-4888 (11845)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$23.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.25
Record
62%
44041-27052 (71093)
Invested
$25.6
Value
$32.41
PnL
+$6.81
Record
65%
125846-67348 (193194)
Invested
$23.75
Value
$30
PnL
+$6.25
Record
58%
60841-44423 (105264)
Invested
$19.27
Value
$28.66
PnL
+$9.39
Record
66%
126575-65169 (191744)
Invested
$12.47
Value
$15.53
PnL
+$6.31
Record
55%
7655-6261 (13916)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$6.63
Value
—
PnL
-$6.63
Record
46%
38429-45392 (83821)
Invested
$11.4
Value
$16.19
PnL
+$4.79
Record
55%
18125-14708 (32833)
Invested
$8.84
Value
—
PnL
-$8.84
Record
35%
18983-35988 (54971)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$5.88
Value
$6.19
PnL
+$0.31
Record
65%
4171-2279 (6450)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.7
Value
—
PnL
-$4.7
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.49
Value
—
PnL
-$4.49
Record
49%
78260-81715 (159975)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3666-2839 (6505)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm0
Up — $306.97
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $283.51
machinelearned
Up — $257.46
GoodFallen
Up — $95.91
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $88
aaa221
Up — $60
FairValueMachine
Up — $55.5
wzbbb
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
Up — $30
seeeeeeb
Up — $41.4