Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 81%
$3.7K
$401.54
Smart Money Signal
19 of 25 top traders (76%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TE Telawin | Upavg 38.3¢ | $500 | $1.3K | +$805.22 | 50% 349-344 (693) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 75.4¢ | $518.3 | $416.84 | -$101.46 | 50% 5477-5524 (11001) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 72.5¢ | $320.45 | $414.9 | +$94.45 | 55% 8834-7294 (16128) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 82.4¢ | $242.59 | $275.87 | +$33.27 | 60% 12450-8258 (20708) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 73.9¢ | $217.79 | $204.58 | -$13.2 | 55% 15710-13078 (28788) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 81.5¢ | $256.92 | $211.08 | -$45.83 | 46% 38451-45413 (83864) |
PB PBot-6 | Upavg 48¢ | $72 | $150 | +$78 | 58% 51216-37341 (88557) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 65.9¢ | $133.11 | $132.58 | -$0.53 | 66% 99403-51545 (150948) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 70.4¢ | $119.15 | $110.09 | -$9.06 | 55% 7664-6267 (13931) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 76.5¢ | $104.55 | $114.58 | +$10.03 | 56% 13958-11077 (25035) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 82.7¢ | $74.06 | $89.59 | +$15.53 | 49% 78295-81799 (160094) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 82.3¢ | $68.38 | $81.01 | +$12.63 | 55% 24070-19444 (43514) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $73.5 | $75 | +$1.5 | 74% 102879-36496 (139375) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 82.3¢ | $65.81 | $57.73 | +$7.02 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $39.6 | $40 | +$0.4 | 93% 24047-1801 (25848) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 56.1¢ | $21.45 | $38.22 | +$16.77 | 55% 18138-14723 (32861) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.5¢ | $11.14 | — | -$11.14 | 63% 52248-31272 (83520) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 32¢ | $10.5 | $26.56 | +$16.06 | 58% 60853-44436 (105289) |
SF sfkjbsr457CTR | Downavg 29.4¢ | $425.65 | — | +$5.04 | 54% 8224-6907 (15131) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 57% 12676-9740 (22416) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3673-2843 (6516) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 66.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 38241-27378 (65619) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 53.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 8178-6319 (14497) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 125977-67395 (193372) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 42¢ | $1.2K | — | -$511.05 | 57% 71395-54409 (125804) |
Invested
$500
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$805.22
Record
50%
349-344 (693)
Invested
$518.3
Value
$416.84
PnL
-$101.46
Record
50%
5477-5524 (11001)
machinelearnedInvested
$320.45
Value
$414.9
PnL
+$94.45
Record
55%
8834-7294 (16128)
Invested
$242.59
Value
$275.87
PnL
+$33.27
Record
60%
12450-8258 (20708)
Invested
$217.79
Value
$204.58
PnL
-$13.2
Record
55%
15710-13078 (28788)
pspspsps5Invested
$256.92
Value
$211.08
PnL
-$45.83
Record
46%
38451-45413 (83864)
Invested
$72
Value
$150
PnL
+$78
Record
58%
51216-37341 (88557)
Invested
$133.11
Value
$132.58
PnL
-$0.53
Record
66%
99403-51545 (150948)
Invested
$119.15
Value
$110.09
PnL
-$9.06
Record
55%
7664-6267 (13931)
Invested
$104.55
Value
$114.58
PnL
+$10.03
Record
56%
13958-11077 (25035)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$74.06
Value
$89.59
PnL
+$15.53
Record
49%
78295-81799 (160094)
Invested
$68.38
Value
$81.01
PnL
+$12.63
Record
55%
24070-19444 (43514)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$73.5
Value
$75
PnL
+$1.5
Record
74%
102879-36496 (139375)
Invested
$65.81
Value
$57.73
PnL
+$7.02
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
Invested
$39.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$0.4
Record
93%
24047-1801 (25848)
Invested
$21.45
Value
$38.22
PnL
+$16.77
Record
55%
18138-14723 (32861)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$11.14
Value
—
PnL
-$11.14
Record
63%
52248-31272 (83520)
Invested
$10.5
Value
$26.56
PnL
+$16.06
Record
58%
60853-44436 (105289)
Invested
$425.65
Value
—
PnL
+$5.04
Record
54%
8224-6907 (15131)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
57%
12676-9740 (22416)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3673-2843 (6516)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
38241-27378 (65619)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
8178-6319 (14497)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
125977-67395 (193372)
Invested
$1,217.24
Value
—
PnL
-$511.05
Record
57%
71395-54409 (125804)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Telawin
Up — $1.3K
ply-pm0
Up — $416.84
machinelearned
Up — $414.9
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $275.87
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $204.58
pspspsps5
Up — $211.08
PBot-6
Up — $150
Bonereaper
Up — $132.58
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $110.09
GoodFallen
Up — $114.58