Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
31
Up 44%
$1.4K
-$544.94
Smart Money Signal
20 of 31 top traders (65%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 57.4¢ | $359.69 | $396.35 | +$36.66 | 55% 7664-6267 (13931) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 71.9¢ | $299.89 | $281.08 | -$16.12 | 60% 12450-8258 (20708) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 74.1¢ | $274.06 | $277.09 | +$3.03 | 55% 8834-7294 (16128) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 42.6¢ | $82.85 | $156.24 | +$73.39 | 46% 38451-45413 (83864) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 83.6¢ | $99.44 | — | -$99.44 | 66% 126616-65192 (191808) |
SI sir-upalot | Upavg 69.4¢ | $70.64 | $100 | +$29.36 | 55% 24070-19444 (43514) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $81.09 | $57.19 | +$17.7 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 32.7¢ | $65.64 | $56 | +$17.82 | 61% 95475-60241 (155716) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $6.89 | $40.44 | +$33.55 | 52% 90943-85477 (176420) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 52.8¢ | $45.61 | — | -$45.61 | 64% 40419-23136 (63555) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 38.7¢ | $21.5 | — | -$21.5 | 58% 60853-44436 (105289) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.9¢ | $94.65 | — | -$94.65 | 35% 18993-35997 (54990) |
SF sfkjbsr457CTR | Downavg 46.6¢ | $544.4 | — | +$28.75 | 54% 8224-6907 (15131) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.5¢ | $11.74 | — | -$11.74 | 63% 52248-31272 (83520) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 22.9¢ | $30.5 | — | -$30.5 | 55% 18138-14723 (32861) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.4¢ | $25.3 | — | -$25.3 | 57% 12730-9443 (22173) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $10.5 | — | -$10.5 | 56% 58419-45082 (103501) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100 | Upavg 50.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 15710-13078 (28788) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 38.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 13958-11077 (25035) |
AR arcsine-barrister<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3673-2843 (6516) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 30.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 99403-51545 (150948) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 29.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12676-9740 (22416) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 50.4¢ | $852.95 | — | -$429.85 | 58% 38241-27378 (65619) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 56.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 8178-6319 (14497) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 36.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4179-2286 (6465) |
Invested
$359.69
Value
$396.35
PnL
+$36.66
Record
55%
7664-6267 (13931)
Invested
$299.89
Value
$281.08
PnL
-$16.12
Record
60%
12450-8258 (20708)
machinelearnedInvested
$274.06
Value
$277.09
PnL
+$3.03
Record
55%
8834-7294 (16128)
pspspsps5Invested
$82.85
Value
$156.24
PnL
+$73.39
Record
46%
38451-45413 (83864)
Invested
$99.44
Value
—
PnL
-$99.44
Record
66%
126616-65192 (191808)
Invested
$70.64
Value
$100
PnL
+$29.36
Record
55%
24070-19444 (43514)
Invested
$81.09
Value
$57.19
PnL
+$17.7
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
Invested
$65.64
Value
$56
PnL
+$17.82
Record
61%
95475-60241 (155716)
Invested
$6.89
Value
$40.44
PnL
+$33.55
Record
52%
90943-85477 (176420)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$45.61
Value
—
PnL
-$45.61
Record
64%
40419-23136 (63555)
Invested
$21.5
Value
—
PnL
-$21.5
Record
58%
60853-44436 (105289)
Invested
$94.65
Value
—
PnL
-$94.65
Record
35%
18993-35997 (54990)
Invested
$544.4
Value
—
PnL
+$28.75
Record
54%
8224-6907 (15131)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$11.74
Value
—
PnL
-$11.74
Record
63%
52248-31272 (83520)
Invested
$30.5
Value
—
PnL
-$30.5
Record
55%
18138-14723 (32861)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$25.3
Value
—
PnL
-$25.3
Record
57%
12730-9443 (22173)
Invested
$10.5
Value
—
PnL
-$10.5
Record
56%
58419-45082 (103501)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
15710-13078 (28788)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13958-11077 (25035)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3673-2843 (6516)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
99403-51545 (150948)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12676-9740 (22416)
Invested
$852.95
Value
—
PnL
-$429.85
Record
58%
38241-27378 (65619)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
8178-6319 (14497)
Atomforge<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4179-2286 (6465)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $396.35
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $281.08
machinelearned
Up — $277.09
pspspsps5
Up — $156.24
asdaefef
CTRDown — $0
sir-upalot
Up — $100
aaa221
Up — $57.19
asidjasiodja
Up — $56
dvasdkasodk
Up — $40.44
ohioism
CTRDown — $0