Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Down 65%
$1.4K
$167.44
Smart Money Signal
15 of 29 top traders (52%)14 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700 | Downavg 55.7¢ | $273.12 | $490.33 | +$217.21 | 63% 1777-1035 (2812) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 71.3¢ | $242.43 | $335.34 | +$92.91 | 46% 38451-45413 (83864) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 71.1¢ | $159.7 | $224.56 | +$64.86 | 55% 8834-7294 (16128) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Downavg 79.9¢ | $133.76 | $152 | +$18.24 | 55% 7664-6267 (13931) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 62.1¢ | $39.82 | $63.43 | +$23.6 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $25 | $50 | +$25 | 58% 51216-37341 (88557) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 59.6¢ | $50.43 | $46.04 | -$4.39 | 60% 12450-8258 (20708) |
SF sfkjbsr457CTR | Upavg 33.2¢ | $286.89 | — | +$1.75 | 54% 8224-6907 (15131) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $23.5 | $25.26 | +$1.76 | 56% 58419-45082 (103501) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $17.8 | $20 | +$2.2 | 55% 24070-19444 (43514) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $16.92 | $18.8 | +$1.88 | 66% 126616-65192 (191808) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $16.92 | $18.19 | +$1.27 | 61% 95475-60241 (155716) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $12.65 | — | -$12.65 | 63% 52248-31272 (83520) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 43.4¢ | $24.1 | — | -$24.1 | 55% 18138-14723 (32861) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 58% 60853-44436 (105289) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100 | Upavg 29.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 15710-13078 (28788) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 13958-11077 (25035) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3673-2843 (6516) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 99403-51545 (150948) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 12676-9740 (22416) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 55.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 38241-27378 (65619) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 62529-43642 (106171) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 8178-6319 (14497) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4179-2286 (6465) |
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 5477-5524 (11001) |
Invested
$273.12
Value
$490.33
PnL
+$217.21
Record
63%
1777-1035 (2812)
pspspsps5Invested
$242.43
Value
$335.34
PnL
+$92.91
Record
46%
38451-45413 (83864)
machinelearnedInvested
$159.7
Value
$224.56
PnL
+$64.86
Record
55%
8834-7294 (16128)
Invested
$133.76
Value
$152
PnL
+$18.24
Record
55%
7664-6267 (13931)
Invested
$39.82
Value
$63.43
PnL
+$23.6
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
Invested
$25
Value
$50
PnL
+$25
Record
58%
51216-37341 (88557)
Invested
$50.43
Value
$46.04
PnL
-$4.39
Record
60%
12450-8258 (20708)
Invested
$286.89
Value
—
PnL
+$1.75
Record
54%
8224-6907 (15131)
Invested
$23.5
Value
$25.26
PnL
+$1.76
Record
56%
58419-45082 (103501)
Invested
$17.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.2
Record
55%
24070-19444 (43514)
Invested
$16.92
Value
$18.8
PnL
+$1.88
Record
66%
126616-65192 (191808)
Invested
$16.92
Value
$18.19
PnL
+$1.27
Record
61%
95475-60241 (155716)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$12.65
Value
—
PnL
-$12.65
Record
63%
52248-31272 (83520)
Invested
$24.1
Value
—
PnL
-$24.1
Record
55%
18138-14723 (32861)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
58%
60853-44436 (105289)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
15710-13078 (28788)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13958-11077 (25035)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3673-2843 (6516)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
99403-51545 (150948)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
12676-9740 (22416)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
38241-27378 (65619)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
62529-43642 (106171)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
8178-6319 (14497)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4179-2286 (6465)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
5477-5524 (11001)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x9CBB1a5C3352691F07E2e26209193Ce5a2C433d0-1777993226700
Down — $490.33
pspspsps5
Down — $335.34
machinelearned
Down — $224.56
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $152
aaa221
Down — $63.43
PBot-6
Down — $50
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $46.04
sfkjbsr457
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $25.26
sir-upalot
Down — $20