Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 81% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Up 88%
$6.9K
$361.05
Smart Money Signal
21 of 26 top traders (81%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $4.4K | $4.3K | -$28.3 | 59% 62520-43633 (106153) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 95.2¢ | $394.64 | $414.75 | +$20.11 | 46% 38429-45392 (83821) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 70.3¢ | $332.07 | $354.06 | +$21.99 | 50% 5470-5516 (10986) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 78.8¢ | $228.02 | $269.98 | +$41.97 | 55% 8826-7287 (16113) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 71.1¢ | $198.38 | $232.73 | +$34.35 | 54% 8217-6898 (15115) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 96¢ | $149.73 | $156 | +$6.27 | 49% 78260-81715 (159975) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 49.6¢ | $135.77 | $145.09 | +$9.32 | 55% 15701-13072 (28773) |
 FairValueMachine | Upavg 69.9¢ | $121.04 | $159.98 | +$38.94 | 57% 12667-9734 (22401) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 63¢ | $115.69 | $145.42 | +$29.74 | 56% 13954-11066 (25020) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 73.2¢ | $77.22 | $80.93 | +$3.71 | 66% 99391-51542 (150933) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 37¢ | $46.75 | $126.35 | +$79.6 | 56% 58403-45070 (103473) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 75.2¢ | $50.24 | $63.84 | +$13.6 | 55% 7655-6261 (13916) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Upavg 43.2¢ | $21.18 | $49 | +$27.82 | 60% 12443-8250 (20693) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 62.2¢ | $32.24 | $51.8 | +$19.56 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 62.4¢ | $37.54 | $60.18 | +$22.64 | 65% 125846-67348 (193194) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 83.3¢ | $38.3 | $45.97 | +$7.67 | 61% 95474-60238 (155712) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 80.6¢ | $35.62 | $44.19 | +$8.57 | 66% 126575-65169 (191744) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 86.5¢ | $34.6 | $40 | +$5.4 | 55% 24060-19438 (43498) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $36.1 | $38 | +$1.9 | 52% 90910-85451 (176361) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $12.73 | $28.29 | +$15.56 | 65% 4171-2279 (6450) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 63.8¢ | $10.4 | $16.3 | +$5.9 | 55% 18125-14708 (32833) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 31.6¢ | $17.99 | — | -$17.99 | 64% 40407-23120 (63527) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.1¢ | $3.55 | — | -$3.55 | 66% 112365-59078 (171443) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $0.22 | — | -$0.22 | 58% 38225-27367 (65592) |
Invested
$4,366.31
Value
$4.3K
PnL
-$28.3
Record
59%
62520-43633 (106153)
pspspsps5Invested
$394.64
Value
$414.75
PnL
+$20.11
Record
46%
38429-45392 (83821)
Invested
$332.07
Value
$354.06
PnL
+$21.99
Record
50%
5470-5516 (10986)
machinelearnedInvested
$228.02
Value
$269.98
PnL
+$41.97
Record
55%
8826-7287 (16113)
Invested
$198.38
Value
$232.73
PnL
+$34.35
Record
54%
8217-6898 (15115)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$149.73
Value
$156
PnL
+$6.27
Record
49%
78260-81715 (159975)
Invested
$135.77
Value
$145.09
PnL
+$9.32
Record
55%
15701-13072 (28773)
FairValueMachineInvested
$121.04
Value
$159.98
PnL
+$38.94
Record
57%
12667-9734 (22401)
Invested
$115.69
Value
$145.42
PnL
+$29.74
Record
56%
13954-11066 (25020)
Invested
$77.22
Value
$80.93
PnL
+$3.71
Record
66%
99391-51542 (150933)
Invested
$46.75
Value
$126.35
PnL
+$79.6
Record
56%
58403-45070 (103473)
Invested
$50.24
Value
$63.84
PnL
+$13.6
Record
55%
7655-6261 (13916)
Invested
$21.18
Value
$49
PnL
+$27.82
Record
60%
12443-8250 (20693)
Invested
$32.24
Value
$51.8
PnL
+$19.56
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
Invested
$37.54
Value
$60.18
PnL
+$22.64
Record
65%
125846-67348 (193194)
Invested
$38.3
Value
$45.97
PnL
+$7.67
Record
61%
95474-60238 (155712)
Invested
$35.62
Value
$44.19
PnL
+$8.57
Record
66%
126575-65169 (191744)
Invested
$34.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$5.4
Record
55%
24060-19438 (43498)
Invested
$36.1
Value
$38
PnL
+$1.9
Record
52%
90910-85451 (176361)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$12.73
Value
$28.29
PnL
+$15.56
Record
65%
4171-2279 (6450)
Invested
$10.4
Value
$16.3
PnL
+$5.9
Record
55%
18125-14708 (32833)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$17.99
Value
—
PnL
-$17.99
Record
64%
40407-23120 (63527)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
Invested
$3.55
Value
—
PnL
-$3.55
Record
66%
112365-59078 (171443)
Invested
$0.22
Value
—
PnL
-$0.22
Record
58%
38225-27367 (65592)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $4.3K
pspspsps5
Up — $414.75
ply-pm0
Up — $354.06
machinelearned
Up — $269.98
sfkjbsr457
Up — $232.73
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $156
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $145.09
FairValueMachine
Up — $159.98
GoodFallen
Up — $145.42
Bonereaper
Up — $80.93