Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Down 68%
$8.3K
$519.31
Smart Money Signal
20 of 29 top traders (69%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $4.8K | $4.8K | +$4.8 | 59% 62520-43633 (106153) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 83.4¢ | $676.37 | $720.16 | +$43.8 | 50% 5470-5516 (10986) |
TE Telawin | Downavg 51.7¢ | $500 | $966.99 | +$466.99 | 50% 349-344 (693) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 95.6¢ | $377.38 | $394.61 | +$17.23 | 46% 38429-45392 (83821) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Downavg 94.1¢ | $290.38 | $272.14 | -$18.24 | 54% 8217-6898 (15115) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 87.5¢ | $218.07 | $223.85 | +$5.78 | 66% 99391-51542 (150933) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 55¢ | $161.65 | — | -$161.65 | 58% 38225-27367 (65592) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 49.5¢ | $99.41 | $201 | +$101.59 | 56% 8168-6307 (14475) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 50.7¢ | $95.24 | $188 | +$92.76 | 35% 18983-35988 (54971) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 94.5¢ | $97.55 | $90 | +$3.38 | 64% 24226-13368 (37594) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 92.9¢ | $86.88 | $71.4 | -$15.48 | 55% 8826-7287 (16113) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100 | Downavg 86.2¢ | $66 | $72.37 | +$6.36 | 60% 12443-8250 (20693) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $78.32 | $88 | +$9.68 | 55% 7655-6261 (13916) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $39.75 | $40 | +$0.25 | 56% 58403-45070 (103473) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $43.79 | $30 | -$13.79 | 56% 13954-11066 (25020) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 86.6¢ | $22.71 | $26.24 | +$3.53 | 66% 126575-65169 (191744) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 62% 44041-27052 (71093) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $33.75 | $35.16 | +$1.41 | 49% 78260-81715 (159975) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 87.9¢ | $28.39 | $32.31 | +$3.92 | 52% 90910-85451 (176361) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.3¢ | $19.6 | — | -$19.6 | 55% 15701-13072 (28773) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $8.51 | $18.51 | +$10 | 65% 125846-67348 (193194) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 55% 18125-14708 (32833) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $4.7 | $10 | +$5.3 | 58% 51198-37322 (88520) |
AS asabovesobelow2CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.2¢ | $9.75 | — | -$9.75 | 68% 1666-769 (2435) |
VE Vega7CTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $9.85 | — | -$9.85 | 73% 2943-1073 (4016) |
Invested
$4,793.21
Value
$4.8K
PnL
+$4.8
Record
59%
62520-43633 (106153)
Invested
$676.37
Value
$720.16
PnL
+$43.8
Record
50%
5470-5516 (10986)
Invested
$500
Value
$966.99
PnL
+$466.99
Record
50%
349-344 (693)
pspspsps5Invested
$377.38
Value
$394.61
PnL
+$17.23
Record
46%
38429-45392 (83821)
Invested
$290.38
Value
$272.14
PnL
-$18.24
Record
54%
8217-6898 (15115)
Invested
$218.07
Value
$223.85
PnL
+$5.78
Record
66%
99391-51542 (150933)
Invested
$161.65
Value
—
PnL
-$161.65
Record
58%
38225-27367 (65592)
Invested
$99.41
Value
$201
PnL
+$101.59
Record
56%
8168-6307 (14475)
Invested
$95.24
Value
$188
PnL
+$92.76
Record
35%
18983-35988 (54971)
Invested
$97.55
Value
$90
PnL
+$3.38
Record
64%
24226-13368 (37594)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$86.88
Value
$71.4
PnL
-$15.48
Record
55%
8826-7287 (16113)
Invested
$66
Value
$72.37
PnL
+$6.36
Record
60%
12443-8250 (20693)
Invested
$78.32
Value
$88
PnL
+$9.68
Record
55%
7655-6261 (13916)
Invested
$39.75
Value
$40
PnL
+$0.25
Record
56%
58403-45070 (103473)
Invested
$43.79
Value
$30
PnL
-$13.79
Record
56%
13954-11066 (25020)
Invested
$22.71
Value
$26.24
PnL
+$3.53
Record
66%
126575-65169 (191744)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
62%
44041-27052 (71093)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$33.75
Value
$35.16
PnL
+$1.41
Record
49%
78260-81715 (159975)
Invested
$28.39
Value
$32.31
PnL
+$3.92
Record
52%
90910-85451 (176361)
Invested
$19.6
Value
—
PnL
-$19.6
Record
55%
15701-13072 (28773)
Invested
$8.51
Value
$18.51
PnL
+$10
Record
65%
125846-67348 (193194)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
55%
18125-14708 (32833)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.3
Record
58%
51198-37322 (88520)
Invested
$9.75
Value
—
PnL
-$9.75
Record
68%
1666-769 (2435)
Invested
$9.85
Value
—
PnL
-$9.85
Record
73%
2943-1073 (4016)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $4.8K
ply-pm0
Down — $720.16
Telawin
Down — $966.99
pspspsps5
Down — $394.61
sfkjbsr457
Down — $272.14
Bonereaper
Down — $223.85
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
wzbbb
Down — $201
Little-big
Down — $188
aaa221
Down — $90