Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Up 65%
2 arb excluded
$2.5K
$322.23
Smart Money Signal
13 of 21 top traders (62%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 65.8¢ | $458.91 | $413.08 | -$45.83 | 50% 5459-5511 (10970) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 62.5¢ | $431.93 | $691.39 | +$259.46 | 58% 38198-27356 (65554) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 77¢ | $261.82 | $318.87 | +$57.05 | 60% 12433-8243 (20676) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 65¢ | $233.41 | $272.91 | +$39.49 | 54% 8204-6894 (15098) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 74¢ | $218.95 | $269.99 | +$51.04 | 55% 15691-13067 (28758) |
 machinelearnedARB<$100 | Upavg 70.3¢ | $127.99 | $134.95 | +$6.97 | 55% 8816-7280 (16096) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 16.3¢ | $33.08 | — | -$33.08 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 70.3¢ | $94.91 | $134.95 | +$40.05 | |
 pspspsps5ARB<$100 | Downavg 40.3¢ | $149.14 | $92.29 | -$56.85 | 46% 38408-45370 (83778) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 40.3¢ | $87.31 | — | -$87.31 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 67¢ | $61.83 | $92.29 | +$30.46 | |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $26.07 | — | -$23.92 | 55% 7645-6254 (13899) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 55¢ | $73.13 | $121 | +$47.87 | 56% 8153-6296 (14449) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.9¢ | $66.14 | — | -$66.14 | 49% 78195-81703 (159898) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 66.8¢ | $41.1 | $60 | +$18.9 | 56% 13945-11059 (25004) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $7.3 | $5 | -$2.3 | 64% 40387-23103 (63490) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 67.1¢ | $28.3 | $38.67 | +$10.37 | 55% 18106-14696 (32802) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $20.63 | $27.5 | +$6.88 | 57% 12658-9728 (22386) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 36.1¢ | $11.51 | — | -$11.51 | 64% 24172-13343 (37515) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 94.4¢ | $23.75 | $25.16 | +$1.41 | 56% 58383-45054 (103437) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 58% 51183-37311 (88494) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $14.1 | $15 | +$0.9 | 58% 60824-44408 (105232) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $9.11 | — | -$9.11 | 63% 52223-31187 (83410) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 62% 44015-27038 (71053) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $4.83 | $7.55 | +$2.72 | 55% 24051-19433 (43484) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112359-59057 (171416) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3666-2839 (6505) |
Invested
$458.91
Value
$413.08
PnL
-$45.83
Record
50%
5459-5511 (10970)
Invested
$431.93
Value
$691.39
PnL
+$259.46
Record
58%
38198-27356 (65554)
Invested
$261.82
Value
$318.87
PnL
+$57.05
Record
60%
12433-8243 (20676)
Invested
$233.41
Value
$272.91
PnL
+$39.49
Record
54%
8204-6894 (15098)
Invested
$218.95
Value
$269.99
PnL
+$51.04
Record
55%
15691-13067 (28758)
machinelearnedARB<$100Invested
$127.99
Value
$134.95
PnL
+$6.97
Record
55%
8816-7280 (16096)
Both legs:
pspspsps5ARB<$100Invested
$149.14
Value
$92.29
PnL
-$56.85
Record
46%
38408-45370 (83778)
Both legs:
Invested
$26.07
Value
—
PnL
-$23.92
Record
55%
7645-6254 (13899)
Invested
$73.13
Value
$121
PnL
+$47.87
Record
56%
8153-6296 (14449)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$66.14
Value
—
PnL
-$66.14
Record
49%
78195-81703 (159898)
Invested
$41.1
Value
$60
PnL
+$18.9
Record
56%
13945-11059 (25004)
ohioism<$100Invested
$7.3
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.3
Record
64%
40387-23103 (63490)
Invested
$28.3
Value
$38.67
PnL
+$10.37
Record
55%
18106-14696 (32802)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$20.63
Value
$27.5
PnL
+$6.88
Record
57%
12658-9728 (22386)
Invested
$11.51
Value
—
PnL
-$11.51
Record
64%
24172-13343 (37515)
Invested
$23.75
Value
$25.16
PnL
+$1.41
Record
56%
58383-45054 (103437)
Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
58%
51183-37311 (88494)
Invested
$14.1
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.9
Record
58%
60824-44408 (105232)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$9.11
Value
—
PnL
-$9.11
Record
63%
52223-31187 (83410)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
62%
44015-27038 (71053)
Invested
$4.83
Value
$7.55
PnL
+$2.72
Record
55%
24051-19433 (43484)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112359-59057 (171416)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3666-2839 (6505)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm0
Up — $413.08
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $691.39
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $318.87
sfkjbsr457
Up — $272.91
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $269.99
machinelearned
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
CTRDown — $0
wzbbb
Up — $121
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0