Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
26
Up 72%
$3.7K
$175.54
Smart Money Signal
19 of 26 top traders (73%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 57.2¢ | $799.71 | $836.79 | +$37.08 | 50% 5459-5511 (10970) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 73.5¢ | $632.16 | $859.87 | +$227.71 | 58% 38198-27356 (65554) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 56.9¢ | $507.71 | $603.61 | +$95.9 | 55% 15691-13067 (28758) |
SF sfkjbsr457 | Upavg 70.7¢ | $278.6 | $278.55 | -$0.05 | 54% 8204-6894 (15098) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 82.8¢ | $268.14 | $255.73 | -$12.41 | 60% 12433-8243 (20676) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 79.7¢ | $180.28 | $206.9 | +$26.62 | 46% 38408-45370 (83778) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 49.6¢ | $161.58 | $185.16 | +$23.58 | 56% 13945-11059 (25004) |
LI Little-bigCTR | Downavg 41.7¢ | $146 | — | -$146 | 35% 18977-35980 (54957) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 76.9¢ | $123.42 | $95.33 | -$28.09 | 55% 8816-7280 (16096) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Upavg 71.7¢ | $74.19 | $77.11 | +$2.92 | 57% 12658-9728 (22386) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 84.4¢ | $50.86 | $60.23 | +$9.37 | 66% 126538-65157 (191695) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 72.4¢ | $39.75 | $54.87 | +$15.12 | 52% 90876-85429 (176305) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5eCTR<$100 | Downavg 41.2¢ | $90.05 | — | -$90.05 | 55% 7645-6254 (13899) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $45.6 | $60.8 | +$15.2 | 65% 125844-67348 (193192) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 44.4¢ | $22.2 | — | -$22.2 | 58% 51183-37311 (88494) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 75.8¢ | $19.28 | $25.43 | +$6.15 | 65% 4158-2273 (6431) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.7¢ | $7.47 | — | -$7.47 | 63% 52223-31187 (83410) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $19 | $25.68 | +$6.68 | 62% 44015-27038 (71053) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 48.1¢ | $7.48 | $15.54 | +$8.06 | 64% 24172-13343 (37515) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $4.34 | $14 | +$9.66 | 49% 78195-81703 (159898) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 61.4¢ | $19.15 | — | -$19.15 | 64% 40387-23103 (63490) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 41.2¢ | $9.59 | $23.27 | +$13.68 | 58% 60824-44408 (105232) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 29.7¢ | $6.16 | $20.76 | +$14.6 | 55% 24051-19433 (43484) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 38.3¢ | $9.75 | — | -$9.75 | 55% 18106-14696 (32802) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $1.62 | — | -$1.62 | 66% 112359-59057 (171416) |
Invested
$799.71
Value
$836.79
PnL
+$37.08
Record
50%
5459-5511 (10970)
Invested
$632.16
Value
$859.87
PnL
+$227.71
Record
58%
38198-27356 (65554)
Invested
$507.71
Value
$603.61
PnL
+$95.9
Record
55%
15691-13067 (28758)
Invested
$278.6
Value
$278.55
PnL
-$0.05
Record
54%
8204-6894 (15098)
Invested
$268.14
Value
$255.73
PnL
-$12.41
Record
60%
12433-8243 (20676)
pspspsps5Invested
$180.28
Value
$206.9
PnL
+$26.62
Record
46%
38408-45370 (83778)
Invested
$161.58
Value
$185.16
PnL
+$23.58
Record
56%
13945-11059 (25004)
Invested
$146
Value
—
PnL
-$146
Record
35%
18977-35980 (54957)
machinelearnedInvested
$123.42
Value
$95.33
PnL
-$28.09
Record
55%
8816-7280 (16096)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$74.19
Value
$77.11
PnL
+$2.92
Record
57%
12658-9728 (22386)
Invested
$50.86
Value
$60.23
PnL
+$9.37
Record
66%
126538-65157 (191695)
Invested
$39.75
Value
$54.87
PnL
+$15.12
Record
52%
90876-85429 (176305)
Invested
$90.05
Value
—
PnL
-$90.05
Record
55%
7645-6254 (13899)
Invested
$45.6
Value
$60.8
PnL
+$15.2
Record
65%
125844-67348 (193192)
Invested
$22.2
Value
—
PnL
-$22.2
Record
58%
51183-37311 (88494)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$19.28
Value
$25.43
PnL
+$6.15
Record
65%
4158-2273 (6431)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$7.47
Value
—
PnL
-$7.47
Record
63%
52223-31187 (83410)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$19
Value
$25.68
PnL
+$6.68
Record
62%
44015-27038 (71053)
Invested
$7.48
Value
$15.54
PnL
+$8.06
Record
64%
24172-13343 (37515)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$4.34
Value
$14
PnL
+$9.66
Record
49%
78195-81703 (159898)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$19.15
Value
—
PnL
-$19.15
Record
64%
40387-23103 (63490)
Invested
$9.59
Value
$23.27
PnL
+$13.68
Record
58%
60824-44408 (105232)
Invested
$6.16
Value
$20.76
PnL
+$14.6
Record
55%
24051-19433 (43484)
Invested
$9.75
Value
—
PnL
-$9.75
Record
55%
18106-14696 (32802)
Invested
$1.62
Value
—
PnL
-$1.62
Record
66%
112359-59057 (171416)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm0
Up — $836.79
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $859.87
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $603.61
sfkjbsr457
Up — $278.55
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $255.73
pspspsps5
Up — $206.9
GoodFallen
Up — $185.16
Little-big
CTRDown — $0
machinelearned
Up — $95.33
FairValueMachine
Up — $77.11