Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Resolved Down. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 45%

Total Value

$686.92

Combined PnL

-$56.64

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 27 top traders (30%)19 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$686.92

Total Shares687

Combined PnL+$247.89

Up19 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,680

Combined PnL-$304.53

Down — 30%Up — 70%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Downavg 52.4¢	$169	$269.8	+$100.79	55% 7655-6261 (13916)
LI Little-big	Downavg 52.5¢	$131.19	$250	+$118.81	35% 18983-35988 (54971)
machinelearned	Downavg 69.9¢	$105.53	$121	+$15.47	55% 8826-7287 (16113)
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR	Upavg 67.1¢	$187.69	—	-$184.74	60% 12443-8250 (20693)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 59¢	$65.49	—	-$65.49	64% 24226-13368 (37594)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 91.8¢	$27.98	$30.46	+$2.48	56% 58403-45070 (103473)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 34¢	$5.33	$15.66	+$10.33	52% 90910-85451 (176361)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$9.49	—	-$9.49	63% 52240-31232 (83472)
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100	Upavg 64¢	$12.79	—	-$12.79	55% 24060-19438 (43498)
SF sfkjbsr457CTR	Upavg 30.8¢	$246.34	—	+$23.34	54% 8217-6898 (15115)
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100	Upavg 54.5¢	—	—	+$0	55% 15701-13072 (28773)
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100	Upavg 54.2¢	—	—	+$0	56% 13954-11066 (25020)
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	56% 3666-2839 (6505)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100	Upavg 28.3¢	—	—	+$0	57% 12667-9734 (22401)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 56.4¢	—	—	+$0	58% 38225-27367 (65592)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 2¢	—	—	+$0	59% 62520-43633 (106153)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Downavg 50.9¢	—	—	+$0	56% 8168-6307 (14475)
AtomforgeCTR<$100	Upavg 15¢	—	—	+$0	65% 4171-2279 (6450)
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100	Upavg 38¢	—	—	+$0	50% 5470-5516 (10986)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 63.1¢	—	—	+$0	49% 78260-81715 (159975)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	Upavg 64¢	—	—	+$0	50% 7913-7939 (15852)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 14¢	$395.44	—	-$55.36	57% 71362-54385 (125747)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 66¢	—	—	+$0	46% 38429-45392 (83821)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 79¢	—	—	+$0	64% 40407-23120 (63527)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 77¢	—	—	+$0	66% 126575-65169 (191744)